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Haley
5 Comments
ETF Spreads Widen Substantially from a Year Ago
Matt
A Simple Momentum System for Beating the Market
The buy and hold arguement holds because eventually most stocks rise, and if you wait long enough your selections will as well. Combining sector rotation with long term objectives has been a hallmark of success for many long term holders thought of as buy and hold, the rotation is just slower for some people (Buffett) than others (Fisher). And some are much faster (Town).
It is not possible to copy Buffett's returns without copying his methodology, and that includes being an active manager, whether a a board member at Washington Post and Coke, or through selecting and retaining the management of the wholy owned companies.
Naturally all analysis is post, as are all back-testing analysis. You obviously can't analyze what hasn't happened, so that arguement seem disingenuous.
The risk is chasing old returns, so balancing over trading with getting in after the momentum has changed requires more thought. A less risky model may be to take benchmark risk against a market cap based world index like MSCI World by varying up or down the allocation of the sectors.
One thing missing is industry rotation in the article. Those that rotated out of retail, homebuilders, discretionary and autos last summer are and will likely continue to do well.
Matt
Top 50 ETFs by Revenue Per Fund
Off to see if iShares is public.
Matt
Top 50 ETFs by Revenue Per Fund
I have to say I found it very interesting. To see some direct competitors (IVV and SPY) have very small ERs. And compare that to those that should have ERs lower (EEM) and see none of the big funds companies has a reasonable alternative. Explains the slippage on some funds. I don't really care about the total dollars, but the ERs comparison is very interesting. It also shows iShares has done a great job of pricing their market. Off to see if they are public.
Matt
Is $3.25 Gas Helping Harley Davidson?
They make a discretionary product, and consumers' sentment is very low. This has been a horrible stock for 9 months and will continue to be bad until sentiment rises. I will continue to play it to the downside until sentiment rises. Likely at least another 6 months.