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JREwing
146 Comments
Petroleo Brasileiro: Reality Begins to Bite
Crude Oil Inventories
Dennis Gartman On Gold
Big Oil Asks: Where Will Tomorrow's Oil Come From?
Petroleo Brasileiro: Reality Begins to Bite
Petroleo Brasileiro: Reality Begins to Bite
But considering, that Brazil has price controls for petroleum products in place - pansy poetry socialist government it has - i will not go long PBR. Until Brazilians pay market price, there is no demand destruction taking place, and PBR will never get to be an exporter, but an importer like in March, when they had to import 660 000 barrels.
Options Trader: Tuesday Outlook
OPEC Signals U.S. Rally
They claim, they have 260 billion of oil, and that for 20 years in a row. Well that is some miracle.
If the Saudis really are so concerned about the world economy, then why the hell don't use their infamous '3 MILLION BARREL SPARE CAPACITY' and crush the price of oil, like they did in the past.
Because they don't have any spare capacity. Not a barrel not cup.
Or does anyone think, that they would invest billions to bring a field online, they abandoned years ago, because it was to expensive back then?
At 120 Dollar Oil every field on this planet produces at the limit. If anyone thinks otherwise, than i am sorry.
And again i have to bring following argument:
If revenues of oil-service companies around the world multiplied over the last couple of years, then why didn't production?? Because for the last 50 years the world lived in this unnatural state, where oil came from several giant fields. These fields were every oil companies dream.
Huge and easy to deplete. And they made oil cheaper than Coca-Cola.
These fields are gone, or about to be gone.
Easy oil is gone, now comes the hard part.
Folks wake up, these are not the eighties, when Reagan gave the Saudis a call and they crashed the oil-price in a heartbeat.
The Crude Oil Price Disconnect
The author is another one of these 'Joe Kernen' types, who think that once an oil field is discovered, it produces instantly at an maximum daily rate and does so until the end of time. And anyhow, oil should be for free. People, who think that is true, probably believe in Santa Claus, too.
Yes, there are still nice discoveries made, and to be made. But new discoveries take a long time to come online. However,in the time new fields come online, existing field are being depleted. For the 'Joe Kernen' types, this means, that they run out of oil. So much for the supply picture.
Now for the demand picture. Just a few things here. China imports of diesel/heating oil quadrupled year over year. Even Japan import a lot more than the year before. India Up.... thailand up....... Australia up and so on. And to make bad things worse: There is no demand destruction in these emerging markets, because the millions and millions of people there don not feel the Pain at the pump, because they get a painkiller from the government in form of price controls. Just check out the Petrochina numbers from yesterday.
So, when you consider the above and the fact that US supplies are 30 million barrels less than last year at this time, THERE IS NO REASON, why OIL PRICES should not be higher than last year.
P.S. I stopped watching CNBC, because i couldn't stand the daily question: What is the 'real' price of oil? What are these people communists? The real price is the latest tick at NYMEX front month contract. Not what you wish for!!
In Oil we trust!
3 Reasons Why The Euro May Fall Further
T. Boone Pickens Predicts $125/Barrel Oil
The Stock Market Correlation Game: Case in Point - Oil
Dollar Doldrums Will Soon Be History - Barron's
Let's take oil. So i am an oil company. The price of oil goes up (supposedly driven speculators, who are of course directly related to the devil), but there is no actual increase in demand.
So why would I pay a company like Halliburton billons of dollars to increase my production? Doesn't add up, does it?
I don't know where the dollar is heading. I just know, that it is more likely, that dollar is more of a commodity play, than commodities are a dollar play.
P.S: The Euro is overvalued against the USD.
Big Oil Asks: Where Will Tomorrow's Oil Come From?
Questioning the Link Between Commodity Wealth and Oppression
Everybody who says that please: Don't you ever drive a car, don't ever take a plane, don't ever heat your home, don't ever buy an iPhone (plastic is made of oil), don't ever use an asphalt road,... in other words don't be a part of western civilization, because for all those things you need OOOOOOOOIIIIIIIIIIIIII...