Paul Price

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129 Comments

    • Wed Jun 18th 21:01 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Sanofi-Aventis: Play This Low-Risk Combo Along with Buffett
      Mr. B.S.

      If SNY go back to $46 in one year as you propose [and is possible] you would make a 41.2% gain on the shares.

      My combination play written up above is for SIX MONTHS [half a year] and will net 20% even if the shares DO NOT go up. The last time I checked a 20% half-year return is just as good as a 41% full-year return on an annualized basis and I don't need the big move in the stock that your example includes.

      View article »
    • Tue Jun 17th 08:42 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      It's Not Too Late to Buy Coal
      Buying coal stocks now, just after a parabolic run-up, is a recipe for disaster if you have a time horizon longer than a few weeks or months.
      View article »
    • Tue Jun 17th 08:39 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Precision Castparts: an Abandoned Growth Story, Part I
      PCP's 10-year meidan P/E is 14x. [source:value line]

      PCP has not traded at your projected long-term average annual P/E of 25 ever in the past 15 years.

      That seems to be way out of line based on all recorded history for these shares making your target price sound far-fetched.
      View article »
    • Sun Jun 15th 13:00 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      The Cheesecake Factory: Have Your Cake and Eat It Too
      I liked it then and I'm buying more now.
      View article »
    • Sun Jun 15th 10:03 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      The Cheesecake Factory: Have Your Cake and Eat It Too
      If you understood my posting you'd see that the combination play works even if the shares stay flat or even go down a bit.

      That cushion negates much of the 'headwinds' and , in my view, the extremely low valuation of the company more than offsets any macro-economic negatives.

      You are free to disagree. Don't buy if you think something else looks better.

      I rarely, if ever, buy options. I want time decay to be working for me, not against me.

      View article »
    • Sat Jun 14th 20:36 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      The Cheesecake Factory: Have Your Cake and Eat It Too
      At the current valuation CAKE has significant upside and little downside.

      The combo described reduces the break-even point even more.
      If you don't like it, buy something else.
      View article »
    • Fri Jun 13th 13:49 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      The Cheesecake Factory: Have Your Cake and Eat It Too
      You can only invest going forward.

      I love this stock from today's price point.
      View article »
    • Fri Jun 13th 10:39 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      UnitedHealth Group: Dominant Industry Leader on Sale
      From today's price UNH is likely to generate huge gains.

      The valuation has never been nearly this cheap based on all current estimates.

      Berkshire Hathaway added to its holdings in the March quarter and held 6,400,000 shares as of March 31, 2008.
      View article »
    • Thu Jun 12th 10:28 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      International Flavors & Fragrances: The Sweet Taste (and Smell) of Success
      The options month in my posting read Jan. 2009 but was actually prices from the Nov. 21, 2008 expiration date.

      All the numbers are correct but the return is generated over just 5 1/2 months rather than the 7 1/2 months indicated.
      View article »
    • Thu Jun 12th 08:08 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      International Flavors & Fragrances: The Sweet Taste (and Smell) of Success
      I agree. The stock itself looks to have good upside.

      For nervous investors, though, the combination play offers a great annualized return even if the shares do nothing or even go down a bit.
      View article »
    • Tue Jun 10th 07:59 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      A Low-Risk Cracker Barrel [CBRL Group] Options Play
      I do these trades virtually every day, exactly as I described.

      You are flat out wrong.
      View article »
    • Mon Jun 9th 23:04 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      A Low-Risk Cracker Barrel [CBRL Group] Options Play
      'Cash-on-cash' is self explanatory.

      Use of a 'margin type' account has absolutely nothing to do with taking any cash out of your pocket if you write puts against paid up equity that's already in your account.
      View article »
    • Mon Jun 9th 10:43 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      A Low-Risk Cracker Barrel [CBRL Group] Options Play
      The returns are exactly as described.

      Read the posting and decide for yourself.
      View article »
    • Fri Jun 6th 17:46 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      'Take Off' with Boeing Option Combination Plays
      'Long-term' is for trades that have a holding period of greater than one year.

      Short sales have no 'holding period' as such. You can be short a LEAP for two years but the trade still counts as 'short term' for tax purposes.
      View article »
    • Fri Jun 6th 14:10 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      'Take Off' with Boeing Option Combination Plays
      If you strictly sell naked puts you'll never get the chance at paying long-term capital gains [now 15%] as you can with stock you buy and write calls on.

      No matter what period of time you are short an option there is no holding period so all eventual gains are treated as short-term.

      I like to sell naked puts by themselves also. These write-ups are just examples of what I think look like good moderate to low-risk combinations.
      View article »
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