sorgmot- The fed, despite the news on inflation, has itself stated that it does not see the need to put caution on cutting interest rates and european banks arent going to cut their rates thats a deffinite. So if both parties plan on being that stubborn despite what they see in front of them it will take them a while to change and go into your positive direction. Oh and england is also starting to waver on the idea of helping the u.s. at all costs. Its hard to tell what your trying to say with that first sentence. so what you think its going to go down in the long term then up later? or do you go along with the rest of your paragraph saying that it will go up as nations take their money of the dollar? therby forcing the fed to increase rates.
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