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  • Utilities Beginning to Generate Interest for Longs [View article]
    Worth a beginning look perhaps... but be careful. There was definitely massive over-valuation in the utility sector over the last few years. Look at how utilities performed before that, and they can often be analzed as an interest-rate vehicle. What type of dividends do they pay in relation to bond classes? While its true the garden-variety recession might result in this sector being a reasonable place to park, what we have coming could be dramatically different. Both in the level of reduced consumption and in sharply increased long-term bond rates due to the most MASSIVE injections of government currency ever. Take a look at how another sector which is seemingly another good place to look is getting slammed, muni-bonds. The market seems to be starting to incorporate much heightened long term rate concerns. There have been many times when a rise in long-term yields results in utilities yields (dividends) going up in tandem as their prices going down. Yes, keep your eyes on this... nibble perhaps.... but be VERY careful.
    Oct 15 17:43 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
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