Is It Time to Buy? What History Shows [View article]
Two generations of "buy and hold" bulls, does not mean we can't have a 20 year bear market. And if you forgot, stock price is based on earnings. And earnings are dropping. Dump your advisors and mutual fund managers. They want you to believe it's 1987, or they will all be out of jobs if it's 1929. It's in their interest to pull the wool over your eyes! Hope is a dangerous thing here. Go short or stay in cash. Cash has a better return than anything out there this past year.
Is It Time to Buy? What History Shows [View article]
How many times have I seen this claptrap written! A bear market lasts decades, no 1.5 years! PEs of 6 and dividends of 6% is what is needed. When we get to the bottom, the bulls will be long gone and not many will have the interest or the money to buy. Stock ownership will be at a historic low. Wake up. This is no "normal" pullback and it's not 1987. It's 1929 and just like then, the bulls were desperate for the good times to come back and would convince themselves any way they could that despite the bad news, it would be better in a few months.
Three Financial Stocks Worth Holding [View article]
All three will have to be bailed, and their stock will go the same way as the rest. If they survive, the business model will not be the same and profits will NEVER be the same.
Cheerleading for an 0-9 Team To Go 1-9 [View article]
If it looks good at 8500, it will look better at 6500, then 4500, then 2500. The buy the dip mentality will be beat into the ground over the next few years! You are using a bull market mentality in a bear market.
Four Commonsense Clues to a Genuine Market Bottom [View article]
Oil's rise and the market fall did not have anything to do with each other and history shows that. For a time in the fall they did move counter, but oil was used as an excuse by writers who didn't know what else to blame for the day to day movements. Correlations change. Look at gold. It used to move with oil and now it's moving in lockstep with the dow. Silver and gold were in step before and now they diverge all the time.
Until it bottoms, SKF is the ultra short real estate ETF and is a good buy here. It's in the 120's, topped at $215 and you can expect it to hit or exceed that on the next dropped shoe. But sell it soon after that shoe has dropped, because it will fall back again as the market thinks for the 4th time, that the worst is over.
$6 gas will solve the oil problem. It needs to stay high enough that continued investment in alt. energies takes place. It gas goes back to $3, then investment in alt. energies will dry up. Not something we all want to hope for, but the only real solution.
Haven't we had a 30% correction in the grains already and a 5-10% correction in the metals? Barrons made a good case for a drop, but I think most of it already has happened. I think they will be in for another big drop should the stock market have a big and overdue drop. Then, it will be time to go long and stay long for the next few years. Supply and demand and soaring coast to produce will only continue over the next few years. Read Jim Rogers or search for some of the videos on Youtube.
ProShares UltraShort China ETF: Caveat Emptor! [View article]
I have held for quite awhile too and very very dissapointed. If SDS and QID can do it, I don't see why they can't do this either. It's just fuzzy math, and highly deceptive. Explain to me why today FXP is down 5% when last night the China index went down 5%. Shouldn't FXP be up at least 3 or 4%? And why all the intraday moves as well? Shouldn't it stay fairly stable during the US market since the Asian markets are closed??
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