Sean M

Is It Time to Buy? What History Shows

Two generations of "buy and hold" bulls, does not mean we can't have a 20 year bear market. And if you forgot, stock price is based on earnings. And earnings are dropping. Dump your advisors and mutual fund managers. They want you to believe it's 1987, or they will all be out of jobs if it's 1929. It's in their interest to pull the wool over your eyes! Hope is a dangerous thing here. Go short or stay in cash. Cash has a better return than anything out there this past year.

Is It Time to Buy? What History Shows

How many times have I seen this claptrap written! A bear market lasts decades, no 1.5 years! PEs of 6 and dividends of 6% is what is needed. When we get to the bottom, the bulls will be long gone and not many will have the interest or the money to buy. Stock ownership will be at a historic low. Wake up. This is no "normal" pullback and it's not 1987. It's 1929 and just like then, the bulls were desperate for the good times to come back and would convince themselves any way they could that despite the bad news, it would be better in a few months.

Four Commonsense Clues to a Genuine Market Bottom

Oil's rise and the market fall did not have anything to do with each other and history shows that. For a time in the fall they did move counter, but oil was used as an excuse by writers who didn't know what else to blame for the day to day movements. Correlations change. Look at gold. It used to move with oil and now it's moving in lockstep with the dow. Silver and gold were in step before and now they diverge all the time.

The Top 5 Looming Financial Issues

$6 gas will solve the oil problem. It needs to stay high enough that continued investment in alt. energies takes place. It gas goes back to $3, then investment in alt. energies will dry up. Not something we all want to hope for, but the only real solution.

Preparing for the Fall, Part II

Excellent article. QID is great since the Naz has just peaked last week and plenty of time to get on board for the ride down.