At least one major quant I know of told me there would be a "change of regime" coming, due to his observation that the EUR/USD was showing the LPPL signature of a bubble.
I think it turns out that the Euro was just one bubble trade in a big package of dollar-traded commodity bubbles. Versus the dollar, I think it's now clear that major foreign currencies were acting like just another traded commodity.
Now that the big one - oil - or the big two, perhaps - oil and the euro - have broken, it's deflation time.
"Deflation" - you may want to look that word up, because it doesn't seem to be in the popular parlance these days.
Market Nosedive Pushes Dollar Down [View article]
Huh?
Short rates MAKE a forex price.
There is a historic level of not getting it on this site.
Job Numbers Don't Freak Out Dollar Bulls [View article]
You think the Fed needs to print more dollars?
Job Numbers Don't Freak Out Dollar Bulls [View article]
Job Numbers Don't Freak Out Dollar Bulls [View article]
It actually makes a lot of sense. See my blog: financialroadtosociali...
May you live in interesting times.
A Closer Look at the Dollar Rally [View article]
I think it turns out that the Euro was just one bubble trade in a big package of dollar-traded commodity bubbles. Versus the dollar, I think it's now clear that major foreign currencies were acting like just another traded commodity.
Now that the big one - oil - or the big two, perhaps - oil and the euro - have broken, it's deflation time.
"Deflation" - you may want to look that word up, because it doesn't seem to be in the popular parlance these days.