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OldWarrior

OldWarrior
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  • Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments!! Chapter 81.......  [View instapost]
    IT
    There really is no point in worrying , as if you get it, you are pretty much dead, and if not, no need to worry!!!

    In reality, this guy presents a unique test of it's ability to spread through a population when the patient is asymptomatic, as either 20+ people will get it, or no one.
    News at 8
    Oct 2 06:14 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments!! Chapter 81.......  [View instapost]
    Coins, They gave us Plague Shots in VN every 6 months, but why so often if the immunization was effective, and why bother if not?
    I'll have to research y-Pistes (sp?).
    Pneumonia has so many different causative agents that it is again worthless to inoculate. Consider that Legionaire's Disease is a form of pneumonia, as well as many bacterial agents and even fungus. My lungs are full of nodules caused by a fungus common to chicken farms because I lived within a mile of 1 for 8 years.
    Oct 2 06:11 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments!! Chapter 81.......  [View instapost]
    Ebola can indeed be airborne in the strictest sense, in that if someone coughs directly as you inhale, you can become exposed. Can it spread to an entire village that way? No. It is highly contagious while it is alive outside the body, but much like HIV, it can live for only a limited period of time. Essentially, once it is outside liquid water, it dies quickly. Quickly that is as compared to like Hep B, which can live on a counter top for weeks if not assaulted by a detergent, bleach, or other effective bactericidal agent. I use the term "bactericidal" kind of loosely there as they are viruses, not bacteria, but something like 5% bleach will kill the virus. Other viruses enter a "Spore" state where they are much harder to kill, but so far there is no evidence that Ebola can. Research continues though as to how it can be completely out of the Human Chain (by all evidence) and yet appear months or years later in the same region. The entire Vector chain is still unclear.
    Oct 2 05:59 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments!! Chapter 81.......  [View instapost]
    Some late upside helped a lot of us.
    1 cbowman 231.23 107,090.00 100,000.00 107,321.23 7.32%
    2 OldWarrior -76,852.13 179,921.05 100,000.00 103,068.92 3.07%
    3 JohnBinTN -25,795.21 127,908.50 100,000.00 102,113.29 2.11%
    4 Interesting 2,820.35 99,000.00 100,000.00 101,820.35 1.82%
    5 crademan 3,231.96 96,940.91 100,000.00 100,172.87 0.17%

    I see a fairly unstable market next week, but no big crash. Probably just like this week.
    Sep 26 04:49 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments!! Chapter 80....... [View instapost]
    You pulled the list before the 15 min delay finished.
    1 cbowman 231.23 107,090.00 100,000.00 107,321.23 7.32%
    2 OldWarrior -76,852.13 179,921.05 100,000.00 103,068.92 3.07%
    3 JohnBinTN -25,795.21 127,908.50 100,000.00 102,113.29 2.11%
    4 Interesting 2,820.35 99,000.00 100,000.00 101,820.35 1.82%
    5 crademan 3,231.96 96,940.91 100,000.00 100,172.87 0.17%
    Sep 26 04:45 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments!! THE CHALLENGE ,PART 4 [View instapost]
    Jinxed myself as well, lost everything today that I gained yesterday. I'm not worried though. As long as my stocks stay within the predicted worst case drawdown, and my sell target, I'm comfortable that they will recover before the 63 Market Days pass.
    Futures are up for Friday, so we should be ok.
    Sep 25 07:30 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments!! Chapter 80....... [View instapost]
    I just looked at SDRL's Chart and I don't even see a "Dead Cat Bounce". it's not a falling knife, it's a failing building!

    I'll look at the SEC filings as soon as I can, and do a little research; but it looks pretty nasty at a glance.
    Sep 25 01:36 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments!! Chapter 79....  [View instapost]
    That is exactly the reason that I switched to the methodology I am currently using. I finally have some solid, emotion free, Sell Targets.
    Making money has not been very hard since 2009, keeping it is. It just seemed like I was always selling just before the breakout, or right after a stock had lost 30% or more of the profits that I had once had.

    Anyway, that is why I do what I do. I always was at a loss as to when to sell.
    Sep 25 01:26 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments!! Chapter 79....  [View instapost]
    Remember that it was Cleveland that started the fire on the River years ago!!
    Sep 25 01:03 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple: Had Enough Reasoning / Guessing Why The Stock Must Go Up - Or Down? [View article]
    Tmigtkptmilmd
    The solution I have found is that along with the Intelligence Lists that Peter sells, you get quite a number of BTFs and other tools that can be used on ANY stock, not just the ones on the Intelligence List. I wind up using perhaps 30-40% of the BTFs on stocks in the Int Lists maximum, allowing me to follow a few stocks that I have other interests in. Some are stocks that have made me money in the past, and I like to check in on them on occasion. Others are like AAPL, Stocks that a LOT of people own, or at least want to, and by keeping tabs on them, I don't rely on an article with 1-2 day old Data. I have it right on my screen about 1 hour after the Markets Close.
    Sep 25 12:59 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Keurig Green Mountain Market Response Today Vs. MM Forecasts [View article]
    @pasquale
    I actually bought my current (1 cup size) French Press at the Starbucks across the street from the Denver VA in 95. I still like it better than my espresso machine to be honest. I can heat the water in a microwave in 1 minute, and inside 2 mins have great coffee.
    I know a lot of people have made a lot of money on Keurig, but I never bought any of the stock as I viewed it as a passing Fad. Maybe it actually will have a good holiday season, but I can't help but feel like I'm late to the Party, and the real party started the day this article was written.
    Sep 25 12:49 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments!! THE CHALLENGE ,PART 4 [View instapost]
    I know I said below that my choice would have been (JAZZ), but looking at prices after today's close, for my RLP, I rather like (ETE) better except if you do your own taxes, or like doing them. ETE added ~$30 onto my tax prep fees a couple years ago when I had bought them in my RLP. Since you like other stocks in that same tax category, It probably would not cost you much more. I am no Tax Expert. I just turn my papers over to my Tax Lawyer every Q. I think that it falls into a long term position better than JAZZ, but if I could get JAZZ at yesterday's Close, I would. You might notice that I hold 2-3 times as many dollars worth of it in this challenge as any other position. For that reason, I would not add to that position. For my RLP, a few shares of (NFLX) might be in order since they fell so far. I have not researched any of these before issuing my opinions as of tonight. Thus these are "Gut" feelings, and not related to my worksheets.
    Sep 25 12:35 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments!! THE CHALLENGE ,PART 4 [View instapost]
    IT It got a lot closer today.

    1 cbowman 106,830.64 6.83%
    2 OldWarrior 105,704.28 5.70%
    3 User7 102,376.17 2.38%
    4 Interesting 101,740.40 1.74%
    5 JohnBinTN 101,673.59 1.67%
    6 crademan 100,567.82 0.57%
    I stopped there to avoid embarrassing those in the Negative Column.
    I jumped 3.75% today.
    As for your question earlier, It's a tough question, but at those prices it would have to be (JAZZ), as it went up >$6 today, with the 3 month potential to continue, albeit more slowly. PT is >$175
    Sep 24 11:34 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments!! THE CHALLENGE ,PART 4 [View instapost]
    Crade
    You have to remember that I was raised Mennonite. While my family were not "Old Mennonite" (which is interchangeable with Amish), my grandparents were. My father's father was a Wood-wright, which is like a cabinet maker but not so specialized. I grew up using the same tools to build things under my father's watchful eye with many of the same tools you see on PBS "The Wood-wright's Shop". My father and especially my Grandfather hand made many of the tools I worked with. All I can say is "TG for Power Tools!!!!!" Getting a board perfectly flat with a hand plane is seriously tuff. I spent 3 months on an End Table when I was about 11, most of it just getting all the boards square in every dimension. I turned to being a metal-smith after that until I ran away and joined the Army. I could always make metal do what I wanted, but wood was just too soft or something. I found out a while back that the VA will buy me "Quality of Life" tools, where I could set up a Wrought-Iron shop, but I cant sell what I make for a profit. Strange rules.
    The Tourist shops now want far too much money for hand crafted furniture, but if you can find the little meat markets off the beaten path, you will find sausage to Die For. (if you are a non jewish carnivore). They use the whole hog, not just the scraps.
    Sep 24 11:24 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments!! THE CHALLENGE ,PART 4 [View instapost]
    My Current Holdings:

    Symbol
    Tkr Qty Paid Last Price Market Value Profit/Loss
    IPXL 600 23.56 24.28 14,568.00 3.06%
    ETE 300 58.10 59.81 17,943.00 2.94%
    IWP 115 87.27 89.04 10,239.60 2.03%
    AAPL 100 101.72 102.64 10,264.00 0.90%
    RGA 125 80.73 81.30 10,162.50 0.71%
    DXPE 132 76.72 76.49 10,096.68 -0.30%
    XBI 100 154.83 154.26 15,426.00 -0.37%
    JAZZ 265 163.12 158.82 42,087.30 -2.64%
    PPG 50 204.31 198.28 9,914.00 -2.95%
    FTNT 500 26.39 25.51 12,755.00 -3.33%
    MDSO 200 45.09 43.55 8,710.00 -3.42%
    M 200 61.71 58.64 11,728.00 -4.97%
    GWR 50 102.78 97.13 4,856.50 -5.50%

    I do not expect to make any trades within the next 2 weeks unless something jumps up to it's Sell Target as COF did a few days ago. That is the reason for so few in positive range, Many are new buys into a down market. Buys made after something sold at Price. It will take at least a month to get back up to serious profit again. Had I not replaced my stocks with new buys, I would be ~9% ($8965.14) up by my calculations. As much as I want to buy Short ETFs, that would invalidate my study here.
    Sep 23 06:40 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
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