OldWarrior

OldWarrior
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  • Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments !! Chapter 132....   [View instapost]
    I'll take that Bet IT. There are always ways to make money if you have disciplined price and Time sell targets along with the right buy signals.
    Aug 4, 2015. 09:39 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments !! Chapter 130......  [View instapost]
    Be sure you read TQQQ's current holdings. When I last looked, they not only held the Index, but >7% of the fund was AAPL. That is on top of AAPL's excessive weight in the NASDQ. With AAPL Tanking, I would not be a buyer of TQQQ until AAPL stabilizes.
    Aug 4, 2015. 09:28 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • POSTINGS FOR THE 3RD "IT MOCK PORTFOLIO" CHALLENGE.....CHAPTER 1 !!  [View instapost]
    Remember that part of the Oil Glut is the slowdown in China, and some is the expected addition of Iranian oil into the world markets. While both are probably more psychological than real, it also means that if the Iran deal falls through, Oil will rebound, at least short term.
    Aug 4, 2015. 07:41 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • POSTINGS FOR THE 3RD "IT MOCK PORTFOLIO" CHALLENGE.....CHAPTER 1 !!  [View instapost]
    Are you looking at the same Challenge I am? I show:
    1 OldWarrior 69,104.45 191,941.00 250,000.00 261,045.45 4.42%
    2 cbowman 87,583.78 171,603.25 250,000.00 259,187.03 3.67%
    3 EconomicAnalyst 134,553.75 120,216.70 250,000.00 254,770.45 1.91%
    4 deercreekvols 8,423.78 246,007.50 250,000.00 254,431.28 1.77%
    5 CarltonRitz 85,796.02 168,160.00 250,000.00 253,956.02 1.58%
    6 interesting times 12,895.66 239,870.29 250,000.00 252,765.95 1.11%
    7 ceristeare11 106,002.03 146,539.00 250,000.00 252,541.03 1.02%
    8 lockbrain 166,277.65 85,915.08 250,000.00 252,192.73 0.88%
    9 NoBrainer 491.93 250,850.01 250,000.00 251,341.94 0.54%
    10 CoreFour 229.44 250,645.74 250,000.00 250,875.18 0.35%
    11 Stockoholic 130,281.73 119,575.91 250,000.00 249,857.64 -0.06%
    12 GoneFishing 253.31 249,282.18 250,000.00 249,535.49 -0.19%
    13 SecondGrader 326.64 248,947.92 250,000.00 249,274.56 -0.29%
    14 Stoopid 199,827.21 49,271.31 250,000.00 249,098.52 -0.36%
    15 Humteedumtee 52,540.00 193,984.00 250,000.00 246,524.00 -1.39%
    16 MadcapLaughs 9,639.22 236,660.00 250,000.00 246,299.22 -1.48%
    17 User7 72,709.43 173,563.63 250,000.00 246,273.06 -1.49%
    18 JohnBinTN 35,671.76 209,369.95 250,000.00 245,041.71 -1.98%
    19 MadcapLaughs-II 711.14 242,282.80 250,000.00 242,993.94 -2.80%
    20 OAG 178.81 236,565.00 250,000.00 236,743.81 -5.30%
    21 InterestingTimes2 50,379.94 185,770.00 250,000.00 236,149.94 -5.54%
    22 nocnurzfred 470.29 232,182.45 250,000.00 232,652.74 -6.94%
    23 FEDDUP 411.33 203,040.00 250,000.00 203,451.33 -18.62%
    24 rockysinn 1.44 184,613.20 250,000.00 184,614.64 -26.15%
    Aug 3, 2015. 05:55 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • POSTINGS FOR THE 3RD "IT MOCK PORTFOLIO" CHALLENGE.....CHAPTER 1 !!  [View instapost]
    Their "Hat Trick" isn't quite complete yet. The ETF fund hit a wall the last couple down days.
    1 cbowman 6,899.91 117,743.30 100,000.00 124,643.21 24.64%
    2 JohnBinTN 613.50 123,108.70 100,000.00 123,722.20 23.72%
    3 OldWarrior 10,888.33 105,976.00 100,000.00 116,864.33 16.86%
    4 SunshineLollipop 4,104.25 110,610.98 100,000.00 114,715.23 14.72%
    Jul 22, 2015. 09:11 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • POSTINGS FOR THE 3RD "IT MOCK PORTFOLIO" CHALLENGE.....CHAPTER 1 !!  [View instapost]
    Current C3 Positions
    STZ 400 $116.66 117.92 $47,168.00 1.08%
    ALGN 600 $63.48 66.04 $39,624.00 4.03%
    JAZZ 300 $175.70 182.99 $54,897.00 4.15%
    ACHC 600 $78.92 80.58 $48,348.00 2.10%
    Jul 20, 2015. 06:33 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments !! Chapter 130......  [View instapost]
    "even if China's government doesn't always tell the truth, they likely usually do tell the truth and would have no motivation to lie about something as insignificant as gold reserves."

    I hope you were just being sarcastic.
    What makes you think the quantity of China's gold reserve could be classed as "Insignificant"?
    The amount of gold reserve literally defines the value of a country's currency.
    Jul 20, 2015. 06:29 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments !! Chapter 130......  [View instapost]
    Al
    The question now is "Will Charles follow that precedent and abdicate since he also married a divorced commoner?"
    Jul 20, 2015. 06:25 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments !! Chapter 130......  [View instapost]
    From what I have picked up on recent evaluations of Tit's body, it appears that he died of sepsis from a broken leg. Now whether that was in battle, or just a chariot accident still seems unclear.
    Jul 20, 2015. 06:24 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • POSTINGS FOR THE 3RD "IT MOCK PORTFOLIO" CHALLENGE.....CHAPTER 1 !!  [View instapost]
    I quit trading on the IT2 Challenge. I guess I could pop in and update it.
    Meantime, I got up to #2 as of this afternoon in IT3
    Jul 16, 2015. 03:49 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments !! Chapter 128....  [View instapost]
    OK Back from vacation and may be ready to make some RLP moves. While signed up for the new Challenge, I have made no trades yet, thus I'm not showing in the Rankings. Hope to start trading on Wednesday. Will post my moves in the other Blog.

    I actually plan on having a second portfolio, the second one based upon Cabot Top Ten. That is a market letter for short term traders like me. Like most, they are more miss than hit, but they charge very little. The trick is to not buy the letter on their first offer. I wait until they start getting desperate and I get their letter for under $100/year. Use a junk mail email addy with them though or they will spam you to oblivion.
    Jul 8, 2015. 12:33 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Forum On The Tools And Philosophy Of Blockdesk.com, Peter F. Way And His Usage Of Market Maker's Hedging Strategies  [View instapost]
    Deeply sorry not to reply sooner but I have been on vacation and failed to check SA. I get bad wifefaction if I spend vacation time on the computer instead of on her.
    Thankfully, JALG answered at least as well as I ever could. When there are few comparable RI experiences, sometimes all 2 of the MMs (or just 1) may be revealing an opinion on a stock and one must remember that the entire premise of Peter's work is to determine what the players who move the market are thinking. When so few of these players have shown any interest in a stock at the current price/performance situation that the equity is experiencing; you no longer have the odds in your favor.
    Peter's policy is to not even attempt to analyze stocks that are under $10 (I believe because they are too easily manipulated). He also requires a certain amount of hedging activity on a stock before he can form an opinion. When you read his articles, look at the BTFs that he displays. Many will be red background in the box labeled "Sample Size". When you see a red flag in a BTF, that is Peter's way of warning the reader that the sample experiences are inadequate for reliable analysis.

    There are more often many more stocks out there that are far more investable than ones with the red flags.
    Jul 8, 2015. 12:09 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • POSTINGS FOR THE 3RD "IT MOCK PORTFOLIO" CHALLENGE.....CHAPTER 1 !!  [View instapost]
    What I am seeing on GPL is a company in dire straights. They have only had 2 GAAP positive earnings since Q1 2013, and apparently the BOD and CEO are bad liars as I can find no positive non-GAAP estimates at all. Most companies use non-GAAP reports to spin their company in a positive light, but I see no attempt there. IMO the short on this stock is held largely by the insiders and from the looks of their (adjusted for splits) chart, there is little of value left to even offer potential creditors.

    IMO Sell on any spikes and take the Tax Losses over as many years as you can.

    Even if Silver rebounds, I doubt they can sell enough to meet their debts.
    Jul 7, 2015. 11:49 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments !! Chapter 123....  [View instapost]
    It's only a 30 day Target. I'm 60 days into my holding. That's still ~10% gain if it hits it. Not a huge % chance it will at this point. You never know though, the ANAC that I bought 6/1 at $71.05 hit my $79.77 PT today. I sold at that price, but it topped today at $81.43.

    If I had been at my computer, I might have held out for a bit more and then watched it fall to it's ~$79.05 latest price (I didn't look at close, this is an after-hours quote.
    Jun 24, 2015. 09:34 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments !! Chapter 125...  [View instapost]
    @ceristeare

    While Buy and Hold investors dislike such moves as BABA makes, for us near term traders, volatility is our friend. I will look into it deeper as one of the potential positions in the next Challenge (as well as some possible RLP investing).
    Since Blockdesk will not have enough prior history on BABA to make certainty inferences, I'll have to do some spreadsheet work on it.
    Jun 24, 2015. 05:00 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
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