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OldWarrior

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  • Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments!! Chapter 83....... [View instapost]
    First; Eboo Patel is from India, not the Middle East.

    Next;
    I do not fear a person because of his/her name, or even religion; but only his/her actions. If you have any evidence of misdeeds by these people, please present it.
    (Skip the litany against BHO because if there was any substantive evidence of anything beyond differing philosophy, the Opposition Party would be bringing charges in the House (which they control)).

    Anyone who actually has read up on the Muslim Religion knows that it is not a religion of hate and murder. In itself, it is no more hostile to other religions than Christianity is. In any event, looking at the history of "The Church", Christians should not throw stones. The Inquisition is as much an example of people using their religion as an excuse for murder as any Jihad. A few of you out there are even old enough to remember the murder of Lord Mountbatten by the IRA, and the religious wars in Ireland since WW2. Should we then impeach Catholics? Protestants?

    When the above Texan kills a ratsnake when mistaking it for a rattlesnake, is he not behaving like a religious fanatic in killing because he "perceived" a threat when there was none? I am of course not implying that the murder of a reptile should be punished equal to that of a human, but the principle is the same. One may justifiably eliminate a true threat; but only after establishing that the threat is real.

    The fact is that I personally have killed humans without true justification (they had the misfortune of being in a "Free Fire Zone"), and that fact haunts me more than any of the other traumas that I experienced. Anyone who can kill without justification and not regret it has lost their humanity.
    Quite simply, they are as much a threat to their friends as their enemies.
    (I will kindly skip the expected rant about allowing rattlesnakes to live as they are as beneficial as they are harmful-I'll do that upon request)

    IT - You will inevitably have to deal with Muslims in positions of power in the US, as they are as much entitled to hold office in the US as any other person. Get over it and get over yourself as being the final arbiter of right and wrong. It ain't so. I personally welcome moderates of any religion or no religion to have a voice. It is the Radicals that I mistrust and even fear-They are our biggest threat.

    I will sleep as well tonight as any night, knowing that this country will continue to change with or without me; with or without my opinion.
    Oct 17 11:07 PM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments!! THE CHALLENGE ,PART 5 [View instapost]
    My IPXL hit it's Price Target and sold. It seems that it was my only stock still in thee green. In any event, I am calling a bottom between now and Nov 1. The reason is a rebound forming in the Russel 2k

    This is assuming that no more Ebola patients get into the US. There are 2 nurses sick as of this writing, I pray for them and that no more of those workers that cared for the guy who died get ill.
    Did you see the Video of them transferring the latest nurse to Atlanta? There were a number of people in HazMat suits, and some idiot with a clipboard unsuited as they walked her onto the Plane. UNBELIEVABLE.
    Oct 15 10:11 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments!! Chapter 82....... [View instapost]
    There is no legal way to beat T-Bills and yet guarantee no loss. Block his number and move on!
    Oct 14 11:13 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments!! Chapter 82....... [View instapost]
    Think Madoff
    Oct 14 11:09 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments!! Chapter 82....... [View instapost]
    In English:
    I would buy on any pre-market strength.
    Oct 6 12:24 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments!! Chapter 82....... [View instapost]
    I figured IT saw it, but you said "and others" so I threw it here.
    I am still trying to research what is known about the vector chain, and the mechanism that causes the bleeding. I think that Vitamin C loss would be too easy an answer as the onset of organ destruction is so fast.
    Give me a few days to read some medical journals on Infectious Medicine. Maybe I'll find something useful that I can put into layman's terms.
    Oct 3 05:29 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments!! Chapter 82....... [View instapost]
    PSEC got whacked on the basis of uncertain interest rates ahead. When the big kids don't know where interest rates will go, interest dependent stocks like REITs and BDCs will get hit. Almost always oversold which makes for a Buy Opportunity.
    Oct 3 05:24 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments!! Chapter 82....... [View instapost]
    BIIB was in my Analysis Study. Data from 9/26:

    DATE TKR RH RL Current %GAIN WCD RI ODDS %P/O DH AROR SS CR R-R
    09/26/14 BIIB $384.68 $321.75 $333.54 15.30% -5.70% 18 84/100 8.50% 47 55.00% 38 of 1120 0.6 1.491
    RH=Range High, RL=Range Low, WCD=Worst case historical drawdown,AROR=Annualized Rate of Return, R-R= Risk/Reward Ratio.
    Bottom line was an 84% odds of a 15.3% upside over the next 3 months with a risk of seeing it drop by <6% along the way by historical standards.
    Oct 3 05:20 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments!! Chapter 82....... [View instapost]
    Reposted from the previous chapter at User7 request.

    "Ebola can indeed be airborne in the strictest sense, in that if someone coughs directly as you inhale, you can become exposed. Can it spread to an entire village that way? No. It is highly contagious while it is alive outside the body, but much like HIV, it can live for only a limited period of time. Essentially, once it is outside liquid water, it dies quickly. Quickly that is as compared to like Hep B, which can live on a counter top for weeks if not assaulted by a detergent, bleach, or other effective bactericidal agent. I use the term "bactericidal" kind of loosely there as they are viruses, not bacteria, but something like 5% bleach will kill the virus. Other viruses enter a "Spore" state where they are much harder to kill, but so far there is no evidence that Ebola can.

    Research continues though as to how it can be completely out of the Human Chain (by all evidence) and yet appear months or years later in the same region. The entire Vector chain is still unclear. "

    "
    User 7415181
    Comments (652) | + Follow | Send Message

    Darn it OW,


    "Research continues though as to how it can be completely out of the Human Chain (by all evidence) and yet appear months or years later in the same region. The entire Vector chain is still unclear."


    Now answers to this would be something that I think would put IT and other's minds at ease. But there is no such info. Instead, on the way home from work, I was treated to a "special radio" show as to how ebola is transmitted / don't worry blah blah blah. Which will freak out people more as everybody on the show was "it's all good, everything's fine" while evading questions like how it got into the country.


    They were basically saying that since everyone gets a temperature taken that leaves such&such country so it's a good protocol. Nevermind the incubation period before someone would show signs of infection. (I'm not digging on the local press minimizing this, but agree that it's not as bad as a nasty flu outbreak)


    If you haven't yet, please pass your posts along to IT's next chapter. "
    Oct 3 05:13 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments!! THE CHALLENGE ,PART 3 [View instapost]
    Dr Ken
    I agree, but if you look, we moved to Chapter 4 almost a month ago. You should maybe post there. Those are a good strategy as long as you don't hold the 3x shorts too long. The 3x Longs will be great once the correction stops. I used them a LOT in the first 2 Q's.
    Oct 2 06:28 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments!! Chapter 82....... [View instapost]
    The next question to be looking at is "What event will stop the bleeding?"
    There is no question that we are in correction, now we have to look for a catalyst to make us want to begin investing again.
    Oct 2 06:21 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments!! Chapter 81.......  [View instapost]
    Too bad I cannot touch my portfolio without blowing the test, but I am going to take a Bath until we hit a bottom.
    In my RLP, I am 65% cash and plan on being 80% by Friday close.
    Oct 2 06:17 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments!! Chapter 81.......  [View instapost]
    IT
    There really is no point in worrying , as if you get it, you are pretty much dead, and if not, no need to worry!!!

    In reality, this guy presents a unique test of it's ability to spread through a population when the patient is asymptomatic, as either 20+ people will get it, or no one.
    News at 8
    Oct 2 06:14 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments!! Chapter 81.......  [View instapost]
    Coins, They gave us Plague Shots in VN every 6 months, but why so often if the immunization was effective, and why bother if not?
    I'll have to research y-Pistes (sp?).
    Pneumonia has so many different causative agents that it is again worthless to inoculate. Consider that Legionaire's Disease is a form of pneumonia, as well as many bacterial agents and even fungus. My lungs are full of nodules caused by a fungus common to chicken farms because I lived within a mile of 1 for 8 years.
    Oct 2 06:11 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments!! Chapter 81.......  [View instapost]
    Ebola can indeed be airborne in the strictest sense, in that if someone coughs directly as you inhale, you can become exposed. Can it spread to an entire village that way? No. It is highly contagious while it is alive outside the body, but much like HIV, it can live for only a limited period of time. Essentially, once it is outside liquid water, it dies quickly. Quickly that is as compared to like Hep B, which can live on a counter top for weeks if not assaulted by a detergent, bleach, or other effective bactericidal agent. I use the term "bactericidal" kind of loosely there as they are viruses, not bacteria, but something like 5% bleach will kill the virus. Other viruses enter a "Spore" state where they are much harder to kill, but so far there is no evidence that Ebola can. Research continues though as to how it can be completely out of the Human Chain (by all evidence) and yet appear months or years later in the same region. The entire Vector chain is still unclear.
    Oct 2 05:59 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
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