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OldWarrior

OldWarrior
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  • Strongest Price Growth Of Best Market Maker Ranked Stocks [View article]
    It certainly looks like it has more upside ahead right now. More than can be said for most stocks this month.
    Jan 15, 2015. 09:07 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments!! Chapter 96......  [View instapost]
    IT
    You mean by Year End 2015 right?
    US Dollar Index broke 90. PM's will still be on Holiday Sale this week.
    Dec 28, 2014. 08:43 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Gilead, Abbvie, Express Scripts, And Biotech Industry Turmoil Seen By Market-Makers [View article]
    @Sensible Investor
    While I have no argument with what you are saying, nor any way of either confirming or refuting your talking points, they are irrelevant. Such arguments inject emotion into investing, which seldom turns out well. The critical data is not which drug is better, cheaper, or coming off patent; but rather "What do the Market Makers think the direction of the stock prices will be in the near term, and what has the stock done in similar conditions in the past"?
    If you look at the date of figure 6, that is a chart of up to 2 years in the past, updated every Thursday. Thus the date is the 18th, and shows the price marker very high on the range. In other words, stretched up about as far as it can be. Subsequently, the 6 month chart that displays daily updates, shows a bigtime drop on the 23rd. A daily plot as of the 18th would probably have shown significant risk and a warning not to invest at that level. That is the value of knowing the daily reports.
    Had Peter displayed several pre-12/23 BTFs for ESRX, I would assume that they would be far above the 80% figure displayed as of the 23rd (after the Pop) while daily BTFs of BIB last week (before the fall) would have told the opposite story "Stay Away".
    Perhaps Peter still has access to last week's BTFs on BIB and ESRX and, if it helps, share them.
    Dec 24, 2014. 09:54 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Let's Give Thanks For Gold Being On Sale [View article]
    My pleasure Sawdust. Although I know little about the subject under discussion, at least I could help someone in my own small way. I have ~30 years of computer experience myself and have seen about every cyber threat imaginable. The more hits a site gets, the more likely that there will be semi-mirror sites, such as xxx.com.uk, where you think you are going to the well known .com site, when you get re-directed to a site in another country (in that example, United Kingdom <not meaning to single them out so save the flames please>).
    If you do not use a website reputation inspector program, there are a TON out there free like WOT (Web of Trust) as well as McAfee SiteAdvisor (comes with McAfee.). Using a program like that is at least as important as any Firewall, as if you log into a MalSite with credentials to a valid site, you are Pwned.
    Dec 24, 2014. 06:49 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Let's Give Thanks For Gold Being On Sale [View article]
    @Derwood:
    I found the article that sent me to the wrong page, It was in a post by Sawdustmaker
    "You could still go to ElliotWaveTrader.net and see the real meal being served instead of the slightly watered down not for subscribers version free of charge. But as you have already made clear you have no need to do so as you already know what you need to know. Yet you ask ME to prove you wrong? "
    Thus if you highlight that and right click it, you get sent to hyperspace.
    Again, using 2 t's is the correct addy.
    Dec 24, 2014. 12:03 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Let's Give Thanks For Gold Being On Sale [View article]
    Derwood:
    I simply highlighted the quoted address on the post, right clicked and it gave me the option to go to that link. If it was a spelling error, it was in that post (which I now cannot find). Using 2 t's got me to AVI's site, so I can only assume that someone set up a site with 1 t to try to script careless typists without security software. A practice not uncommon among hackers of the ScriptKiddie ilk.
    I repeat, I got no security warnings with the proper spelling, just AVI's Page.
    Doug:
    I was referring to CoinsK who is a Coin Dealer. He addresses our discussion accurately.
    I will look at your link and bookmark it for possible investment purposes. That is an entirely different subject. Obviously, when someone is using investment quantity purchases, you would no longer be using Retail-like markups.
    Dec 23, 2014. 11:53 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments!! THE CHALLENGE ,PART 6.. [View instapost]
    Not sure why the market is so erratic and generally bearish considering all the good economic news of US Jobs, Productivity, and the best rise in GDP since the recession began,; but I feel that the next week should set the tone for much of 2015. I am never quite able to grasp why a stock that is increasing it's market share, EPS, and decreasing it's debt should be falling like DXPE did, while companies like Amazon (that have NEVER shown a profit) can still stay at >$300/share.
    In fact, DXPE was recently announced as in the "Top 4 NASDAQ Stocks In The Industrial Equipment Wholesale Industry With The Highest Profit Margin", meanwhile dropping from near $70/share to below $50 earlier this month. With a PE of 12.8, and a share buyback having been announced the 17th, I am going to be ready to double down if the overall market shows some signs of life.
    Dec 23, 2014. 11:03 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Today: Top Of The VIX? Bottom For SVXY? [View article]
    @mrtechbarter
    I need to make a correction on the number of stocks you can enter in each Tool. You do get 50 in the Volatility Tool, but then only 20 in the other 2 tools. The reason I never noticed that was explained in a conversation with help@blockdesk.com where they said :

    'There is no specific feedback about exceeding the limit, because we encourage the user to always submit more than the limit in case one or more of their list is non-current. That way, they ensure getting a full 20 at a whack for O-P and R:R. Users can (and should!) submit more than 20 tickers, and it will just cheerfully spit out the first 20 that are available with current data and without any negative feedback. Prioritize the list with the most important ones first, and least important last."

    What that meant was that as I would enter more than 20 in the R-R and OP Tools, it never gave me an "Exceeded Quantity" message as it's ok to enter more. If you notice, if several stocks plot out the same, it sets 1 number there and there may be 10 or more stocks that are very close, so are all assigned to that number. Since I am only looking at the stocks well into the favorable range, I just figured that the dropped stocks did not meet all my criteria filters like # of similar prior experiences.

    My target,which now is almost always re-investing money from closed positions is that I am looking for (usually) no more than 2 positions to fill at one time, so I filter out all but ~4 stocks per 1 position to fill. For that reason, my lists of stock candidates is rarely more than 20-30, and for that reason, I quit looking at the max number of stocks possible to enter perhaps a year ago during Beta when we could enter 50 per tool.

    It does not affect my procedure as I am extracting the best 4-6 per Tool anyway, so I note the good ones and move to the next tool. (I have been helping the site for <i think> like 3 years now, so I often do not notice changes on the site as quickly as I should. Blame Pain Meds as well.)
    Dec 23, 2014. 10:01 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Let's Give Thanks For Gold Being On Sale [View article]
    @SKS1586
    I have heard some serious horror stories about the actual holdings of a couple ETFs like GLD and SLV. I cannot attest to their validity, but I think I will avoid those personally.
    Indeed on the ROI. I did better than 10% on my stock accounts this year, but I would really hate to have to take that off the top even before taxes. I have only a few old coins, no real PM investment.
    Dec 22, 2014. 12:21 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Today: Top Of The VIX? Bottom For SVXY? [View article]
    I personally rather like to start with 30-40 in each and see what pops out. I run the R-R first, then the Volatility and the Odds vs Payoff last.
    As a rule, I generally have a pretty short list of ~20 left over from the last run, to which I add new ideas. I often go back to previous months and look at some charts for my extras. I also developed a ranking system which I am backtesting that is similar to Peter's Weighted R-R Ratio, except I factor in the Cred Ratio, as well as normalizing the prior experiences as a % of Total rather than an absolute. I have yet to prove my system any more predictive than Peter's so I won't go into it until I am ready to post it in a Blog.
    Of course, If I have a fresh Int List, I start with that, but again I rank my best 10 with a mildly different formula.
    If I have the time, I have another Blog almost ready, but Christmas is interfering in my time Bigtime!.
    I need to make some minor updates to my other Blogs, like in 1 or 2 I say I use the Original date after several days of cross-testing, but I meant that to be "in the Study for consistancy" where in RL I use my latest BTF Data for Time and Price Targets. I just have not had time to do full updates in my Blogs. You might find them useful, they are at:
    http://seekingalpha.co...
    http://seekingalpha.co...
    http://seekingalpha.co...
    Dec 22, 2014. 12:14 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments!! Chapter 95...... [View instapost]
    Their hackers are trained in China, and are among the top mathematicians anywhere.
    In that uber closed society, children with math ability are singled out by age 7 and their math training is only exceeded by their brainwashing.
    Another example of NK's dedication to destroying the US is their monetary Forgery ability which is truly legendary. NK is the reason for all of the changes in paper US money in the last 2 decades. Do NOT underestimate them, nor the embarrassment that is probable at Sony. Any large Corporation that is as international as Sony is has a LOT to hide, not the least of which were the racial slurs and jokes in the emails about Obama as well as Angelina Jo whatshername. There will be more leaks in the near future whether Sony caves in even more or not. That is just how this world is.
    I personally do not think the worst, most embarrassing email in the world is worth even 1 young person's life, so what do you all propose? It's either a war of words, which we cannot win because our press blows everything out of proportion, or a nuclear exchange, which may well terminate our fragile climate even if just blown up at sea.
    Dec 21, 2014. 11:22 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Let's Give Thanks For Gold Being On Sale [View article]
    I tried to go to that link "elliotwavetrader.net" but my security programs blocked me out due to poor reputation and reported risks. I am not making this up and have no axe to grind. In fact this is my first visit to any of AVI's articles.
    I use McAfee and WOT and both strongly advised me not to proceed.

    Maybe if he gets back on SA AVI can explain the "Untrusted Site" tag to McAfee.
    Dec 21, 2014. 10:45 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Let's Give Thanks For Gold Being On Sale [View article]
    We're not all so lucky as to own a Coin Shop Coins. When I asked you about Premiums, you indicated that you charge 10%. Now I realize that most stores (except Groceries probably) have a 40% or greater markup so in that light 10% is not bad, but that still makes it hard for the retail investor to be talked into PM when they clearly see the Premium. It's like knowing exactly how much a Dealer pays for his cars on the Lot.

    It's not wrong to charge a premium (you have costs as well), it just seems that way when it's right in front of you.
    Dec 21, 2014. 10:16 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • It's An Ill Wind, But ETF Sails Catch 'Em All [View article]
    While the 3x took a beating on the last day there, look at the trend on the RUSL. not pretty.
    This is another example of the inherent risk in 3x Shorts and what happens if you hold them just 1 day too long.

    I might play with that 3x if I am seeing the Ruble go back into Free-Fall, but only if I saw that now. Oil appears to be stabilizing if my "Tea Leaves" are right.
    Dec 21, 2014. 10:06 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments!! Chapter 95...... [View instapost]
    Good to hear your location John. I will probably be shooting along I80 towards Chicago next summer to visit my son if I can get Respite time for care of my wife. Likely will need a coffee refill by the time I get that far from New Mexico.
    Dec 21, 2014. 09:41 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
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