Great article. Eagerly look forward to your next article.
Like mistermaumau I see this rather as validating the silicon solar panel technology, not really a traditional paradigm shift as it is not a new technology replacing another. Makes the outlook for FSLR look very bleak, so why do they still get these high ratings.
Also my comment on the oil prices. The "falling" oil price (very relative) is seen as tempering demand for panels, but all I really see is shipping costs for panels from China coming down...
As usual American investors seem to be oblivious to what is happening over here. In London, Renesola is down 14% and on the NYSE it opened up a couple of percent. If there ever was a hedging opportunity. Hello, sell while you can. NOW..
Another baseless article, bad and baseless call to short on a very bad day.
In Germany all the solar shares are well up after Bosch announced it would buy Ersol, one of the larger German Solar players. Ersol is up 63% to nearly the bid price of 101€, from 63% at the close. Ersol, the second biggest solar cell manufacturer had a market cap of 3.6 Bio €, only after Q-Cells (comparable to first solar with thin film), which has a cap of 8.4€.
It was obvious to me that Ersol was lagging because of competition from our Chinese friends, even though they never even mentioned it.
Hold on, this could be the beginning of a bigger wave in consolidation.
Understand your regret, but just be happy, and wait for the next opportunity, if there is one, rather than getting burned by running behind the facts. Going short is a very bad idea with these very volatile Chinese stock with a very big potential. Sit tight, and don't miss out the ride on the next leg of the bull run. If you really don't want to miss out, and you feel it's really going to go down, take a smaller position now and load up as it goes down. Point is, long is the only strategy here, unless we're in the stratosphere with PE's of well beyond 30+. CSIQ and SOLF are still around 10, way to go.
You could also short the higher PE shares like STP and FSLR and load up on the lower PE shares like CSIQ and SOLF. That way you're hedged, but you'll miss out on a lot of potential. But you know what, if you dare to go short, that show's you have a lot of courage, and this is really a chicken strategy, so follow the marbles strategy and go all out for the +.
I'm long CSIQ (from 19) and SOLF (from 18!), and boy, you need nerve to just sit tight and do nothing, but I'm convinced CSIQ is going much higher, only, it may be too soon. I'm looking for signs of the entire Chinese shares correction to shows signs of abating. I don't think it's far off, perhaps one more leg, but not more than that. If there is another leg, (hope not!) then make sure you're on the train. SOLF is another story, they caught me with a dilutive share action. Even so, I'm still looking for 20+.
Solar Grade: A Silicon Revolution [View article]
Like mistermaumau I see this rather as validating the silicon solar panel technology, not really a traditional paradigm shift as it is not a new technology replacing another. Makes the outlook for FSLR look very bleak, so why do they still get these high ratings.
Also my comment on the oil prices. The "falling" oil price (very relative) is seen as tempering demand for panels, but all I really see is shipping costs for panels from China coming down...
Regards
ReneSola: Secondary Offering Pressures Shares [View article]
Solar Again Under Attack [View article]
Solar Again Under Attack [View article]
In Germany all the solar shares are well up after Bosch announced it would buy Ersol, one of the larger German Solar players. Ersol is up 63% to nearly the bid price of 101€, from 63% at the close. Ersol, the second biggest solar cell manufacturer had a market cap of 3.6 Bio €, only after Q-Cells (comparable to first solar with thin film), which has a cap of 8.4€.
It was obvious to me that Ersol was lagging because of competition from our Chinese friends, even though they never even mentioned it.
Hold on, this could be the beginning of a bigger wave in consolidation.
Short this at your peril.
Marc
Solar Stocks Continue to Roll [View article]
Understand your regret, but just be happy, and wait for the next opportunity, if there is one, rather than getting burned by running behind the facts. Going short is a very bad idea with these very volatile Chinese stock with a very big potential. Sit tight, and don't miss out the ride on the next leg of the bull run. If you really don't want to miss out, and you feel it's really going to go down, take a smaller position now and load up as it goes down. Point is, long is the only strategy here, unless we're in the stratosphere with PE's of well beyond 30+. CSIQ and SOLF are still around 10, way to go.
You could also short the higher PE shares like STP and FSLR and load up on the lower PE shares like CSIQ and SOLF. That way you're hedged, but you'll miss out on a lot of potential. But you know what, if you dare to go short, that show's you have a lot of courage, and this is really a chicken strategy, so follow the marbles strategy and go all out for the +.
I'm long CSIQ (from 19) and SOLF (from 18!), and boy, you need nerve to just sit tight and do nothing, but I'm convinced CSIQ is going much higher, only, it may be too soon. I'm looking for signs of the entire Chinese shares correction to shows signs of abating. I don't think it's far off, perhaps one more leg, but not more than that. If there is another leg, (hope not!) then make sure you're on the train. SOLF is another story, they caught me with a dilutive share action. Even so, I'm still looking for 20+.