I worked my way through school (as a cook, retail clerk, factory worker, computer support technician, waiter, counselor, corrections officer, and campus police) and earned economics & accounting degrees, plus some "certified nerd" credentials. (I was possibly the only accountant in history who was ever on a CERT/tactical team.) Became a fiscal analyst and college bursar; managed cash, card processing, receivables, and collections. Semi-retired young and became a landlord... . . . Governments are in a race to devalue their currencies. A defense is to own the tangible things that people in any country must have: natural resources & real estate.
I'm an investment professional with more than 15 years of trading experience.
My current and upcoming articles will contain a short synopsis of overall market developments on a weekly basis. Particular focus is on VIX-related instruments.
Vance Harwood is a private investor and consultant whose interests include macroeconomic forecasting, investor psychology, and volatility as an asset class. His investment activities include trading index ETFs, volatility related ETPs and their associated options. He blogs at sixfigureinvesting.com—mostly about volatility, but occasionally about options strategies, bond funds, and general market topics. He tracks the USA based volatility ETPs and has simulated the performance of most of them back to the initiation of VIX Futures in 2004.
A couple things Vance believes:
The past does not predict the future (see Nassim Taleb’s “Fooled by Randomness”). This invalidates much technical analysis–although I think the psychology of stock movements is very important
Past behavior of assets relative to each other (e.g., bonds vs stocks) does not guarantee future behavior
Markets fall a lot faster than they go up, typically at least 2X
“Buy and hold” ensures that you will experience the worst days as well as the best days of the market
Investing in individual stocks carries many more unknowns than aggregates like index ETFs (e.g., earnings surprises, analyst’s ratings)
I rub shoulders with the brightest and sharpest financial minds on a full-time basis. I have made great calls, I have made stupid calls over the course of my career as a professional investment executive.
As a student of the market, I use my educational background in psychology and business to understand the market environment and identify opportunities for generating performance. I have completed my MBA, obtained my CFA charter and I am a licensed derivatives trader.
My biggest aspiration for contributing on SA is to shine a light on stocks, bonds and volatility instruments so that the readers may learn and profit. I also find writing to be quite stimulative and helps me improve my thought process, which is a huge bonus.
I am an individual investor and entrepreneur based in London, United Kingdom. My primary focus is on systematic trading strategies, low volatility investing and tactical asset allocation. I am also a founder a freely available portfolio risk analytics tool investspy.com.
I was an award winning hedge fund manager in the strategy of convertible arbitrage. I've run volatility/credit derivative strategies for the proprietary trading desk of a major bank and traded options as a market maker on a major options exchange. I was classically trained as a high yield analyst and move onto to my first love portfolio management and trading. I have a Masters in Finance.
As I said:
I discovered the Gospel in July 1979. It is worth trillions of economic dollars. It should be classified as "top secret" by the CIA. I should be awarded the Nobel Prize in economics.
A prior post.:
"John, the #'s (which represent AD), for the 3rd qtr. are 2x that of the 2nd qtr. And that's without extrapolation and assuming Vt remains constant (& Vt will rise). - 20 Jul 2016, 06:50 PM
Dr. Leland Pritchard (Ph.D, Economics, Chicago School -1933,MS, Statistics):
"You have a predictive device nobody has hit on yet" - 9/8/81
And “considering the distortions in the def. of M1a and the rapid increase in the currency component, the correlation of the time series is remarkable”
Today's BEA release: Real gross domestic product increased at an annual rate of 3.5 percent in the third quarter of 2016 (table 1), according to the "third" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the second quarter, real GDP increased 1.4 percent.
I am going to change the world.
- Michel de Nostredame
In Cambridge economist, Alfred Marshall's "motives" for holding cash balances, or in this case not holding cash balances, the EXPECTATION, of a rise in the prices of things will induce a decrease in the demand for money (increase in Vt). It deals with the uncertainty which affects economic behavior, it "bridges the gaps of transition periods".
Mr. Berger is the creator and developer of the YDP screening tool, a chart system and its analysis for screening and monitoring dividend income equity investments. The recipient of Seeking Alpha's Outstanding Performance Award, he also has been Seeking Alpha's #3 ranked Author for Income Investing Strategy & #4 for Utilities.
20 years of sitting in the board room gives me unique insights into Oil & Gas investments and corporate deal making in general. Additionally, he offers a Premium Research subscription service for boosting income while reducing market risk using covered option writing on a dividend income equity portfolio.
Residing in Brazil gives me a local's inside view on the pulse of its economy, politics, investment climate and breaking news. A view of my front yard is available here.
A former Chief Operating Officer, Director, Vice President and General Manger of Oil and Gas for Southern Pacific's Oil and Gas Operations, Business owner, geologist, and cribbage player, I've been an investor for over 48 years (started young at 13) and learned my lessons the way that makes them stick, by hard knocks and both big and little mistakes. Hopefully I can share some of those lessons with others.
I am an American expatriate that decided to retire at age 57 in 2009 and now live in Brazil. As an early retiree I invest for income and manage portfolio risk by screening for strong and reliable historic data along with favorable fundamental and technical current trends.
I spend 6 months/year living at home in Brazil and 6 months/year traveling the world. I have structured my financial positions so that I live virtually tax free with much of my income exempt from US tax since I live ex patriot and a lot of my US derived income over the annual ex-patriate exemptions is held in my tax free ROTH and tax deferred IRA/SIMPLE plans. This enables my tax savings to pay for my 6 months of annual traveling :) .
My investing is for income and appreciation with a balance of low to moderate short term risk and low long term risk. To accomplish this I use quality dividend payors with a long track record of steady or increasing dividends along with slowly appreciating equity prices. I target a 6 to 9 % yield and almost exclusively require a minimum history of 5 years of steady/increasing dividends and no decreases in dividend ever or at least past 10 years. I diversify through sector, country and currency unit the stocks are traded in, and security type (equity, royalty trust, REIT, mlp, etf, and ADRs).
I use covered call writing to enhance my portfolio yield with no added risk. In fact, it lowers the risk substantially. Once I identify a stock I want to own and an entry price for it, I write cash covered puts at or below that entry price (with a minimum of 1%/month time premium. Thus i obtain at least a 12% annualized yield before compounding just from the option premium.
Likewise, I use the sale of cash covered puts to generate income and and generally get an entry point at 5 to 10% below my acceptable entry level price if/when the put stock does get presented. Thus my strategy provides a 12% pre compound yield on cash and entry into stock purchases at a 5 to 10% discount from "retail".
Because I only select stocks that I am willing to hold long term for their reliable dividend yields of > 6%, I am not concerned much with market volatility or short/midterm risk. Indeed, market volatility is my friend since it increases the premiums paid on the options I sell. I also selectively sell covered calls on positions I hold long so as to add to my yield that way while not taking on any additional risk.
This strategy has kept me happily living off my portfolio income and traveling 1/2 the year while my portfolio has been slowly increasing in value even after my harvesting income for living expenses. Of course my income will incrementally increase when social security kicks in for me in a few more years and I may then slightly mofidy my goals and strategies.
Readers can get an e-mail once a day from Seeking Alpha that lists all newly published articles of ALL the authors they follow in a single e-mail. To get these updates:
- a - Click "Alerts" along the top menu tab (just left of the green PRO tab)
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Hoya Capital Real Estate is a Connecticut-based Registered Investment Advisor that focuses on research of the commercial real estate industry, and advisory of well-balanced public real estate equity portfolios.
All of our research is for educational purpose only, always provided free of charge exclusively on Seeking Alpha. Recommendations and commentary are purely theoretical and not intended as investment advice. Information presented is believed to be factual and up-to-date, but we do not guarantee its accuracy and it should not be regarded as a complete analysis of the subjects discussed. For investment advice, consult your financial advisor.
Brian Harper, CFA is Chief Investment Officer of Harper Asset Management, LLC, which he founded in 2001. Harper Asset Management is a value-oriented investment manager, primarily managing separate accounts for high net worth individuals. Visit us at www.harperasset.com.
Harper Asset Mgmt operates a bottom-up, fundamental, research intensive approach to investing. We focus primarily on value, special-situation, and micro-cap issues.
An investor with circa 30 years of professional, managerial and financial experience, gathered through both private-individual activities as well as asset management type of roles.
I'm involved in running a leveraged fixed-income, absolute return, hedge fund that aims at providing its investors with double-digit returns, per annum. The fund runs a fast, frequent and furious trading strategy and it focuses on the very short term. Definitely not a Buy & Hold!
I'm also advising and consulting to private individuals, mostly HNWI that I had been serving through many years of working within the private banking, wealth management and asset management arenas. This activity focuses on the long run and it's mostly based on a Buy & Hold strategy.
Risk management is at the very core of our essence and while we normally take LONG-naked positions, we constantly hedge our positions, in order to protect the downside, that usually occurs at times when you least expect that to take place...
I cover all asset-classes though mostly focusing on cash cows and high dividend paying "machines" that may generate high (total) returns: Interest-sensitive, income-generating, instruments, e.g. Bonds, REITs, BDCs, Preferred Shares, MLPs, etc. combined with a variety of high-risk, growth and value stocks.
I believe and invest for the long run but I'm very minded of the short run too. While it's possible to make a massive-quick "kill", here and there, good things usually come in small packages; so do returns. Therefore, I (hope but) don't expect my investments to double in value over a short period of time. I do, however, aim at an annual double-digit returns on average, preferably on an absolute basis, i.e. regardless of markets' returns and directions.
Timing is Everything! While investors can't time the market, I believe that this applies only to the long term. In the short-term (a couple of months) one can and should pick the right moment and the right entry point, based on his subjective-personal preferences, risk aversion and goals. Long-term, strategy/macro, investment decisions can't be timed while short-term, implementation/micro, investment decision, can!
When it comes to investments and trading I believe that the most important virtues are healthy common sense, general wisdom, sufficient research, vast experience, strive for excellence, ongoing willingness to learn, minimum ego, maximum patience, ability to withstand (enormous) pressure/s, strict discipline and a lot of luck!...
"In a dark place we find ourselves, and a little more knowledge lights our way." -Master Yoda
I am a partner in an enterprise software implementation and business consulting firm, and previously worked as a senior associate in a large tax, audit, and consulting organization. I have an extensive professional background in the technology, retail and hospitality industries. I have been investing for over 20 years with the primary goals of a comfortable early retirement and philanthropic endeavors.
At first glance many situations appear obvious. Rigorous examination may reveal that the obvious is in fact impossible. My focus is on companies that unethically sell the impossible and thrive only with financial slight of hand. I am a retired businessman living near Austin Texas and I both delight and profit from shining some light on these deceptions.
My wife and I are now retired. We live off SS and the income from our portfolio. My investments are all income producers and include dividend growth stocks like T and MO, some higher yielding low growth issues like PNNT. and others in between. About 25% of my income comes from fixed income preferred issues. When I was younger I was more into growth, but my goal was to switch to income and live off that. So that is what I have achieved today. I also work as a tax preparer for the 4 months of tax season.
OppenheimerFunds, Inc., a leader in global asset management, is dedicated to providing solutions for its partners and end investors. OppenheimerFunds, including its subsidiaries, manages more than $217 billion in assets for over 13 million shareholder accounts, including sub-accounts, as of December 31, 2016.
Founded in 1959, OppenheimerFunds is an asset manager with a history of providing innovative strategies to its investors. The firm’s 15 investment management teams specialize in equity, fixed income, alternative, multi-asset, and revenue-weighted-ETF strategies, including ESG. OppenheimerFunds and its subsidiaries offer a broad array of products and services to clients, who range from endowments and sovereigns to financial advisors and individual investors. OppenheimerFunds and certain of its subsidiaries provide advisory services to the Oppenheimer family of funds, and OFI Global Asset Management offers solutions to institutions. For more information, visit oppenheimerfunds.com.
Self directed individual investor. I surpassed my own goals and expectations. I have been investing in the stock market since 1992. I used to day trade. Then I swing traded. Now I invest in dividend stocks with the focus on having the income exceed our needed expenses. I started investing in dividend stocks exclusively in 5/2011. I am ready to share my 22 years of experience in the stock market with young investors and retirees alike. I will share my mistakes and successes. Hopefully, I can help others avoid common mistakes.
RETIREMENT PORTFOLIO UPDATED As Of 6/3/2016
Current Allocations for my Retirement Portfolio:
1) MO = 100%
I have taken ROTH distributions in 2016 of about $113,000. This is the first year that I have taken distributions, they are non taxable and penalty free.
I currently have approximately 96.5% of my stock market assets in ROTH IRA's. I will convert the rest of my MO (from my SEP IRA) in 2017 into my ROTH IRA. My plan is to have 100% of my Retirement Portfolio in ROTH IRA's after the first trading day of 2017.
My Retirement Portfolio's return since 1/1/2009 according to Schwab.com's Portfolio performance: Full Disclosure - All of my funds were at Schwab in 2009 and 2010, In 2011 I started a Roth IRA at Fidelity, in 2014 I transferred funds from Schwab to Fidelity and in 2015 I transferred some funds to E-TRADE. Most of my funds are still at Schwab.
2009- + 165.95%
2010- + 28.02%
2011- (-) 1.99%
2012- + 11.59%
2013- (-) 5.31%
2014- + 38.84%
2015- + 6.11%
2016- YTD as of 6/10/2016 close + 19.25%
My Portfolio performance from 1992 - 1/1/2009 was not good. I was starting from a negative return since I had contributed more than my accounts were worth. 2008 had dropped my account about 75%!!!
My performance has been outstanding from 1/1/2009 till the present, my overall Retirement Portfolio performance has been exceptional, beating the S&P 500 substantially. My total value has increased more than 12 fold since my bottom in 2008!!!
Schwab.com's software does not have any data prior to 1/1/2009! They started the Portfolio performance function as of 1/1/2009.
I am a retired commercial banker and financial planner who manages his own portfolio. My portfolio consists almost entirely of fixed income securities, largely preferred and "baby bond ($25 par)" issues, generally below investment grade. My focus is on credit worthiness. I rely heavily on information provided in 10Qs and 10Ks.
WisdomTree launched its first ETFs in June of 2006, and is currently the industry's fifth largest ETF provider.
The WisdomTree Seeking Alpha profile will feature content by some of our leading analysts including:
Luciano Siracusano is WisdomTree's Chief Investment Strategist and Head of Sales. He is the co-creator with CEO Jonathan Steinberg of WisdomTree's patented Indexing methodology and has led the firm's sales force since 2008. Luciano is a regular guest on CNBC and FOX Business, and speaks frequently on ETFs, indexing and global financial markets. A former equity analyst at ValueLine, Luciano began his career as a speechwriter for former New York Governor Mario Cuomo and HUD Secretary Henry Cisneros. He graduated from Columbia University with a B.A. in Political Science in 1987.
As WisdomTree’s Director of Research, Jeremy Schwartz offers timely ideas and timeless wisdom on a bi-monthly basis. Prior to joining WisdomTree, Jeremy was Professor Jeremy Siegel's head research assistant and helped with the research and writing of Stocks for the Long Run and The Future for Investors. He is also the co-author of the Financial Analysts Journal paper “What Happened to the Original Stocks in the S&P 500?” and the Wall Street Journal article “The Great American Bond Bubble.”
Christopher Gannatti began at WisdomTree as a Research Analyst in December 2010, working directly with Jeremy Schwartz, CFA®, Director of Research. He is involved in creating and communicating WisdomTree’s thoughts on the markets, as well as analyzing existing strategies and developing new approaches. Christopher came to WisdomTree from Lord Abbett, where he worked for four and a half years as a Regional Consultant.
Rick Harper serves as the Head of Fixed Income and Currency for WisdomTree Asset Management, where he oversees fixed income and currency products developed through our collaborations with the BNY Mellon Corporation and Western Asset Management. Rick has over 19 years investment experience in strategy and portfolio management positions at prominent investment firms. Prior to joining WisdomTree in 2007, Rick held senior level strategist roles with RBC Dain Rauscher, Bank One Capital Markets, ETF Advisors, and Nuveen Investments.
Bradley Krom joined WisdomTree as a member of the Fixed Income and Currency team in December 2010. He is involved in creating and communicating WisdomTree’s thoughts on currency and fixed income markets, as well as analyzing existing and new fund strategies. Prior to joining WisdomTree, Bradley served as a senior trader on a proprietary trading desk at TransMarket Group.
Tripp Zimmerman, Research Analyst
Tripp Zimmerman began at WisdomTree as a Research Analyst in February 2013. He is involved in creating and communicating WisdomTree’s thoughts on the markets, as well as analyzing existing strategies and developing new approaches. Prior to joining WisdomTree, Tripp worked for TD Ameritrade as a fixed income specialist. Tripp also worked for Wells Fargo Advisors, TIAA-CREF and Evergreen Investments in various investment related roles. Tripp graduated from The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill with a dual degree in Economics and Philosophy. Tripp is a holder of the Chartered Financial Analyst designation.
Jonathan Steinberg, CEO
Prior to establishing WisdomTree, Jonathan founded, and served as Chairman and CEO of Individual Investor Group, Inc. From 1998 to 2004, he held the role of Editor-in-Chief of Individual Investor and Ticker magazines. Before his entrepreneurial accomplishments, Jonathan was an Analyst in the Mergers & Acquisitions division at Bear Stearns & Co. He attended The Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania and is the author of Midas Investing, published by Random House in 1996.
Zach Hascoe, Capital Markets
Zach Hascoe began at WisdomTree in August 2010, and works directly with David Abner, Head of Capital Markets. The Capital Markets group is involved in all aspects of the WisdomTree ETFs including product development, helping to seed and bring new products to market, as well as trading strategies and best execution strategies for the client base. Zach works closely with the trading and liquidity community and does analytics on ETF baskets and the capital markets. He is a frequent contributor to the WisdomTree blog on topics related to the capital markets, liquidity, structure and best execution. In addition, he manages the hedge fund relationships for the firm. Zach received a B.A. from Bucknell University and was Captain of the Bucknell Tennis Team.
The Parsimony community is made up of thousands of do-it-yourself dividend and income investors working toward one common goal...generating consistent income!
Our strategy is simple:1. Buy great dividend stocks at reasonable prices.2. Enhance income with conservative option strategies.3. Manage risk through diversification and exit strategies.
Our research (which includes dividend stock rankings, single stock Buy Zone reports, stock screens, and model portfolios) will give you all the tools you need to build and monitor your own DIY Dividend Portfolio and super charge that portfolio with conservative option strategies (cover calls and cash-secured puts).
For more information about our subscription services click the links below:
- DIY Dividend Portfolio
- Triple Income Portfolio (stocks + options)
I'm a long-time investor who has transitioned from 2,000+ trades a year, to a longer-term portfolio management method. I have an eclectic portfolio, as do many of you.
I blend EXTREME INCOME holdings, PLUS lower-yield dividend growth stocks in our retirement accounts (buffered by significant cash reserves). Recently I added a third leg--the weekly sale of covered calls on volatile stocks, gathering large premiums each week as the options expire (or roll them over...OR let the shares get called and start fresh the next Monday.). I often carry short positions to buffer downturns.
(I want to offer a "hat tip" to two special investors who have influenced my methods: "WmHilger1" and "GGjr", both on this site. You want to learn about Extreme Income investing, or selling covered calls on aggressive stocks? Read their posts and comments and come away a better investor.)
I want my OVERALL portfolio to grow via reinvested income; I spend some and reinvest some. I'm agnostic as to the source of the income (as long as it's reasonably sustainable).
Most of the time, I use leverage to boost returns in my taxable accounts. This has hurt at times; most of the time it has been a positive. I try to stay under 50% margin; I'll exceed that on occasion. Note my accounts are at IB, which has dirt cheap margin rates.
For Extreme Income, I like various Pimco CEF's; selected other CEF's; NLY; ORC; STON; VGR; AMZA; and others.
In my "Plus" (DGI) retirement accounts, KO, GIS, GILD, JNJ, HSY, GSK, CL and others. These have a ten-year hold, with all dividends reinvested. It's our "Private Pension" for my wife, who is younger than I am and has more accumulation time than I do.
For the final leg of my 3-legged investment stool, I sell covered calls each week to speculators who want to gamble on short-term stock price movements; I play the bank for them. Many of these options expire worthless. I'll use any stocks that work; lately energy stocks like CHK and MRO have proven fruitful. This income generation method takes more work than the others; it's worth it if done right.
August 2016 note: I believe precious metals are at the beginning of a new bull market. I've been involved in GDX since January, having bought it and sold covered calls against it. I recently added a cross-section of metals stocks to it, and hold them uncovered. Some names are PVG, IVN.to, SAND, SLW, FNV AND RGLD. The royalty companies are hugely attractive. Do your own research here; the wild swings in this sector will make your stomach churn.
Note neither the holdings nor methods are recommended for others. They work for me.
I am primarily an equities investor whose foremost objective is growing income for retirement. My investment strategy concentrates on maximizing returns while minimizing risk. The Core component of the strategy is accumulating dividend growth stocks. I also utilize options to enhance income and manage risk.I started investing in the stock market at the age of 15 in 2005. All my articles and comments are strictly my opinion and therefore do not constitute investment advice, nor do they constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.
First of all, let me state that I am NOT a CPA, attorney, nor financial planner. I am just a relatively savvy stock investor who wants to help the general public find their way through some of the maze of stock investing. I am 85 years young, although you might not think so from my accompanying newest picture. Yes, that is reallly me, age 84 and 11 months. I have been investing in stocks and bonds for about 60 of those years. It is now my main hobby. I invest mainly in high-yield stocks rated A- or lower down to B. I got stung a few years ago when Lehman Brothers, rated AAA, went down the tubes, costing me over $25,000, so decided to never again get involved with highly rated (over-rated) stocks that paid only small dividends. I prefer the high-yield stocks like BDCs, REITs, and MLPs from which I can get paid NOW, even though I actually expect to last another 20 years or so. I have developed my own stock investing system that I call MRHY (medium risk, high yield). I took early retirement in 1987 from a job as manager of a Computer Systems and Programming department at a large life insurance company. I am the holder of a CDP (Certificate in Data Processing) from the Data Processing Management Association (DPMA). During my working years, I frequentlly worked closely with the company actuaries and accountants. I even took some actuarial classes to be able to work with the actuaries in their own language and skills. Those experiences, plus my computer skills and high IQ, have alllowed me to build my stock portfolio from less than $300,000 in 1987 to over $600,000 in 2007. I also have the benefits of ~95% long term retention of whatever I read or hear, which is very useful in stock market investing. I inherited $everal hundred thou$and in 2011, which I have invested in medium-risk, high-yield stocks (MRHY), so that my total stock portfolio is now well over $1.25 million. The above Bio was posted a couple of years ago and has now (October, 2015) been updated. My stock holdings are now over $1.5 Million and my annual dividend income is now just over $175,000. I also collect income from SSA, 3 annuities that my deceased wife and I started receiving when we retired, and a restaurant seating about 120 that I bought in November, 2014, for a total annual income of about $240,000. Folks, if I can do it, you can too. All that it requires is a good brain with an understanding of the financial world, mathematics, and a little actuarial science, plus a high risk tolerance!
25 years in energy M&A/Corporate Finance business career. Senior officer for public E&P companies, including MLP, charged with overseeing (at different times) accounting, tax, legal, investment banking/analyst relations, investor relations, as well as business unit with land, engineering, geological and support functions. Used legal background to interface with and direct outside investment bankers, law firms and accounting firms in M&A transactions and offerings. Personal investments and trading 15 years.
MLPData is the leading site dedicated to providing investors with greater transparency into the full universe of Master Limited Partnerships and fund products. Our belief is that Master Limited Partnership's offer a very unique investment opportunity in light of the transformation of the North American Energy Landscape coupled with the unique tax considerations associated with distributions.
We are an independent and privately owned firm, launched by an entrepreneurial team with decades of experience in providing financial content and investment management services. Our objective is to expand the knowledge and investor interest in Master Limited Partnerships that are publicly traded, and the associated investment products such as Closed End Funds, Exchange Traded Notes and Funds and Mutual Funds.
50/50 Portfolio; Dec 2016 YOC 10.0% about 0? months before retirement, dividends at 72% of my gross employment income. I created a High Yield Investment dividend generator that contains a 50% weighting between agency mortgage REITs and BDCs.
**** Home of the POT (Portfolio Online Tracking) tool.
My current investment method started January 2014 to concentrate on high yield equities that put more importance on income and less on capital appreciation. Investment purchase is based on each individual stock generating a minimum dividend per year. As long as stocks are generating income to meet or exceed my minimum dividend they will not be added too or removed. Currently all dividends are reinvested back into stocks that require their dividends to be increased to meet my minimum yearly dividend. We will see how this works over the years.
1) The REIT sector consists of residential and commercial property investments. What better way to invest in hundreds of properties without actually owing the physical property.
2) The BDC are Business Development Companies that invest in hundreds of businesses that create products and employment opportunities. Here again the BDC does all the research to lend to businesses and the investor does not have to actually own the physical business.
3) The investment selection is based on this principle; BDCs outperform when markets are going up (positive correlation), and mREITs, outperform when markets are going down (negative correlation). This is based on a research study performed by Wells Fargo titled “The 50/50 Portfolio, Milton Friedman’s Only “Free” Lunch. And runs through an analysis in demonstrating how combining BDCs and Agency mREITs leads to sustainable long-term alpha throughout cycles.
4) Capital gain does not apply to my investment method since this implies the anticipation of buy and hope for price increase in order to sell at a profit. I have already stated the HYBRID method holds investments based on cost basis and dividends per share as the method of yearly appreciation.
5) A bird in the hand is worth 10 in a bush, applies to this investment style. The return I get on my investment is what counts toward the recapture of my initial investment cost. I can calculate how many years it will take before my initial cost will be repaid and that investment now becomes perpetual income. I’m not a trader, just a buy, hold and collector (dividends * shares). I can’t count on capital appreciation since all investments will increase and decrease in any market cycle. Dividends I can count on as payment for investment risk that accumulates over time.
6) Update 20140612, Portfolio Plan; Build a portfolio that generates income 150% of minimum required. Example I need 10K from 30 stocks made up of REITs and BDCs. Diversification is already built into each stock because each one contains hundreds of properties and business, so 30 stocks is plenty. Now to generate 10K minimum income I will establish a 50% margin of error (or income default). So to get 10K minimum I will need 15K of income (10K * 1.5). This means each stock is required to generate at least $500/yr each. I can withstand a 33% hit in the dividends and still meet my 10K minimum requirement. That is 10 stocks can go to zero and the remaining 20 will create my minimum 10K.
7) Update 20140729, I do not invest in individual companies, too risky. The following is the logic behind this statement compared to BDC investments. If I invest in 30 dividend companies, anyone of them may have financial problems and drag down the portfolio very quickly. The Due-Diligence (DD) would take all my time to analyze past performance and make judgments for the future, and current events can tank a stock fast. Every company needs money to run operations and for capital improvements and this is where BDCs come into play. The individual company has to borrow funds and BDCs are there to provide the capital. So the BDC is like a bank to lend money. Each BDC may contain hundreds of separate loans going to hundreds of different companies making the BDC less risky than owning individual companies. If one of the companies that the BDC has a loan with goes bankrupt, the BDC will recover some if not all of the loan monies lent to the failed company, and the BDC will continue with a very small disruption to its bottom line. So in effect owing BDCs that contain hundreds of investments (loans to companies) earning a consistent repayment to principal and interest is safer than just owning an individual low yielding company. When you invest in a BDC or REIT you are investing in the managers that perform the DD by analyzing the companies first before loaning them money to run their business.
Owing 10 or more BDCs is like having investments in thousands of companies with a very low risk of any one individual company causing portfolio damage, while your portfolio grows faster with the high yields from BDCs and REITs.
8) I have developed FREE Excel applications for planning retirement during the accumulation and distribution phase, the links are in my articles, (Dividend Growth Calculator... and Predicting Retirement...) As I develop additional Excel 2010 applications I'll make them available to all SA members. We are all in the same boat trying to achieve a better life in retirement.