"It’s simple economics. Fertilizer prices are not inelastic. High prices are reducing total fertilizer use around the world. We could see a big impact on reduced consumption when the Q2 numbers come out in the next few days."
Wrong. Fertilizer prices ARE relatively inelastic. As long as there's a strong demand for food, farmers are gonna try and grow it. In fact, the precise reason for the recent spike in fertilizer prices is BECAUSE of the ever-increasing world food demand. There's a pretty direct correlation between fertilizer prices and food prices, because as DeltaXray7 wisely said, "If farmers want good yields per acre then they have to fertilze [sic]."
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Great article. Demand for a commodity like oil is relatively inelastic, and it's going to take a few decades for consumers to find reliable close substitutes. Demand from Chindia will only increase, and the way it looks now, American energy policy is all talk and no game. And by the way, phinsuntanning, oil is here to stay, and although I agree that there is money to be made in gold, I think that the precious metal where the greatest profits lie is actually silver, due to its relative scarcity.
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"It’s simple economics. Fertilizer prices are not inelastic. High prices are reducing total fertilizer use around the world. We could see a big impact on reduced consumption when the Q2 numbers come out in the next few days."
Wrong. Fertilizer prices ARE relatively inelastic. As long as there's a strong demand for food, farmers are gonna try and grow it. In fact, the precise reason for the recent spike in fertilizer prices is BECAUSE of the ever-increasing world food demand. There's a pretty direct correlation between fertilizer prices and food prices, because as DeltaXray7 wisely said, "If farmers want good yields per acre then they have to fertilze [sic]."
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