Robert Sczech

The Gold-Oil Ratio Approaches All-time Lows

Industrial civilization can thrive without gold, but it can not survive without oil. Already a stagnating oil production can cause significant problems as we experience now. While gold is being mined for hoarding (all the gold ever mined is still around), oil is being burned within a few weeks after being produced. Worse still, once burned, oil can not be recovered, that is, oil is a nonrenewable resource.

I think the declining gold/oil ratio is just a reflection of a global revaluation process. Energy used to be extremely cheap, in the future all energy will be very expensive. My bet is that the gold/oil ratio will decline further towards a long term equilibrium value somewhere between 1 and 3.