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  • Applied Materials: Can They Make it in Solar? [View article]
    Chinese banks are not cash strapped at all. And they changed course.......
    Apr 07 19:06 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Lithium-ion Batteries: 9 Years of Price Stagnation [View article]
    From a pure technological standpoint, when you evaluate all the various gov. stimulus packages, loans and perks, one can clearly see the footprints of opponents to renewable energy at work. They are very clever in disguising this!
    But the underlying strategy is as simple as it is effective: divide et impera....
    Apr 07 10:41 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Lithium-ion Batteries: 9 Years of Price Stagnation [View article]
    Speaking of temperatures, (in)external heat is an inherent problem for for Li-ion packs. The cooling system alone adds ~$500 cost to a car. Then it drains about 100-200 kwh annual depending on what climate you live in.
    If it fails on a hot parking lot: you come back to a car with a battery that is lost. An insurance company would cover the risk, but at a cost.......
    Apr 06 15:58 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Oil As Money and the Decline of Energy Earnings [View article]
    Also Dow does not reflect higher eroei of alternatives, eg if Vestas Wind Systems etc would be in Dow, chart would look a lot better.
    Apr 06 11:02 am |Rating: +1 0 |Link to Comment
  • Oil As Money and the Decline of Energy Earnings [View article]
    A few minor points.
    Oil has been the primary energy source, supporting the pyramid and will be untill the end of this technology cycle. Your 12:1 eroei for oil average cannot be correct. 12:1 is the average for all energy sources (eg. Windpower has 20:1)
    With all the water pumped up in S. Arabia eroei there is ~10:1.
    Average oil eroei now about 3:1. Tar sands about 1:1. or even less.
    Now these are all using a standardized metric.
    By your definition we have to include eg. protecting the shipping lanes and war effort in oil eroei equation. Then oil eroi has been negative over your charts history. Hence the decline.

    Cook's scheme would be a very sophisticated form of bartertrade.
    Apr 06 10:56 am |Rating: +1 0 |Link to Comment
  • Lithium-ion Batteries: 9 Years of Price Stagnation [View article]
    The price stagnation is easy to understand. Before 2k real wages had increased and historically energy storage per dollar had been doubling every ten years -for the past 150 years or so.
    But there is every reason to believe that there may not be any improvement in this for the next 20 years:
    -U.S gov. debt causing inflation.
    -globalisation and overpopulation -devaluing people.
    -technological acceleration, keeping wages further down.

    Therefore Americans -except for select elite- will simply not be able to afford Li-ion powered cars, even if mass production of lithiumcarbonate would be possible/desirable, which it is not:

    -not environmentally sound. It would cause futher irreparible ecological damage to ecosystem.
    -world demand from portable electr, light ev (bikes) will absorp much of planned production increases.
    -realistic achievable production will be sufficient for only a small fraction of transportation needs.
    -most lithiumcarbonate reserves in geographical areas hostile to U.S. politics, possibility of new conflicts of interest.

    I think gov. loans to A123 etc. are very elitist. How does that help the American people?



    Apr 06 07:39 am |Rating: +2 -1 |Link to Comment
  • Could the Dow Sink Another 50% by 2012? [View article]
    So until there is a 'cleantech revolution' (see eg. the Merryll report), no long term appreciation of most asset classes can be expected.
    Of course this also creates enormous opportunities for new wealth creation.
    Apr 05 09:00 am |Rating: +4 -7 |Link to Comment
  • Could the Dow Sink Another 50% by 2012? [View article]
    Good points.
    At the end of THIS tech cycle, the weakest fundament of the DOW is a primary energy source (upon which all others are based) who's EROI -energetic return on investment- has become negative, if you define it smartly.
    We remember the "America is addicted to oil" phrase.
    Time is energy and the clock is running backwards.
    50% off could very well be, if current trends continue.
    Apr 05 08:30 am |Rating: +10 -5 |Link to Comment
  • Five Top Solar Power Stocks  [View article]
    Yes solar is a growth industry. But this article is full of misrepresentation, halftruths, contradictions and mistakes.
    Apr 05 06:13 am |Rating: +7 -10 |Link to Comment
  • Cleantech, Optimism Squared and the Battery Industry [View article]
    Also, but that is just my opinion, one has to realise that investors (here and elsewhere) have poured many millions of dollars in cleantech, batteries etc., so we -investment community- kind of like to keep track of current technology and its limits, if you know what i mean.
    Apr 04 18:23 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Cleantech, Optimism Squared and the Battery Industry [View article]
    Sorry, wrong. Can be found in the white papers here:
    strategicpolymers.com

    And BT is not a polymer.

    And no not off-topic. Cleantech, batteries and (Optimism)^........
    Apr 04 18:00 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Solar's Dead Cat Bounce May Be Over [View article]
    This just came to me:
    source: Sankei Shimbun Japan daily:

    'Japan to include 2 trillion yen -20 billion $- in spending to mount solar panels on public buildings as part of a stimulus package to be announced in april.'
    Apr 04 16:17 pm |Rating: +4 0 |Link to Comment
  • Cleantech, Optimism Squared and the Battery Industry [View article]
    Dave k

    Above you gave link and said: (quote) "replaced with a material having dielectric constant about 6000"
    Highest known polymer dielectric is a little over 50.
    No 100 x energy density in that either...

    Apr 04 14:00 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Solar's Dead Cat Bounce May Be Over [View article]
    Actually, due to matching dollars for cells at half price, he is off by about a factor of 2000.
    Apr 03 16:46 pm |Rating: +3 0 |Link to Comment
  • When Hedge Funds Embrace Regulation [View article]
    Half the hedgefunds are off-shore already. A good umbrella -not!
    Apr 03 15:27 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
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