silverspring

Is Rising Inflation Creating a Headwind for Long Bonds?

Commodity price pressure is the one which will cause inflation anyway in medium term, therefore affects bond yield to go up in the similiar term (fight inflation!). Shorting 5yr bond and at the same time buying 2yr bond should give us positive MTM provided current credit crunch will continue for another year which forces Fed to ease overnight rate more. In short, play with the balancing process of inner force of Fed's rate easing and outter greater force of international commodity market.