16 Reasons for Equities Markets to Fall Soon [View article]
Hey Guys... There are always two sides to any situation (just ask your wife/girlfriend). While an awful lot of arguments can be cited for a lower market in the near/intermediate term, a similar number (in importance, at least) can be cited for an opposite viewpoint - they can all be boiled down to ONE though - investor psychology. I agree fully that the market is due for a correction. But it is where it is, despite all the doom & gloom arguments, because investors as a whole prefer to ignore the awful realities of today and prefer to "anchor" their strategies on the fact that the market - over the long term - will inevitably continue on its merry way due to the indisputable resilience of the human spirit. OK, I perhaps digress here. But the point is, in the short/intermediate term (you decide what that is), the market is over-extended. Viewed over the longer term, it is no doubt cheap and will continue to gradually climb higher and higher - it always has, and that's because we as a species inevitably adapt and move forward. So, define your investment strategy within a defined time perspective, and move on. Just remember that investor psychology incorporates two rather dismal attributes - fear and greed - and these always produce market price oscillations, up...down...up...down.... That's the nature of the beast, so live with it by adapting to it. Good luck, and then some.
Market Cycles: A Look at the Historical Evidence [View article]
To properly appreciate the notion of cycles, simply add the notion of Reversion to the Mean to your repertoire - or, as some might say, the propensity of humans over time to repeatedly oscillate from an extreme of (optimism) greed to an extreme of (pessimism) fear. Cycles, of whatever duration, merely reflect the human character of investors.
Letting the Reinflation Genie Out of the Bottle [View article]
I've been reading Seeking Alpha for some time and have found many contributor as well as reader comments to be informative and of interest. Seldom, however, have I found as relevant an issue being discussed with insight, and with informed opinion among the readers (for the most part), as I have on this site. I've added you to my favorites list and will look forward to further relevant insights from you and your readers in the future. Thank you!
Global Market Roundup: Will the Bailout Work? [View article]
Excellent review! The Doom & Gloom scenario seems almost universal - indicating that perhaps the worst has already been discounted. But "hold on" for more volatily until the dust settles and investors begin looking past the devastation to the inevitable economic and market recovery.
16 Reasons for Equities Markets to Fall Soon [View article]
There are always two sides to any situation (just ask your wife/girlfriend). While an awful lot of arguments can be cited for a lower market in the near/intermediate term, a similar number (in importance, at least) can be cited for an opposite viewpoint - they can all be boiled down to ONE though - investor psychology.
I agree fully that the market is due for a correction. But it is where it is, despite all the doom & gloom arguments, because investors as a whole prefer to ignore the awful realities of today and prefer to "anchor" their strategies on the fact that the market - over the long term - will inevitably continue on its merry way due to the indisputable resilience of the human spirit. OK, I perhaps digress here.
But the point is, in the short/intermediate term (you decide what that is), the market is over-extended. Viewed over the longer term, it is no doubt cheap and will continue to gradually climb higher and higher - it always has, and that's because we as a species inevitably adapt and move forward. So, define your investment strategy within a defined time perspective, and move on.
Just remember that investor psychology incorporates two rather dismal attributes - fear and greed - and these always produce market price oscillations, up...down...up...down.... That's the nature of the beast, so live with it by adapting to it.
Good luck, and then some.
Market Cycles: A Look at the Historical Evidence [View article]
Letting the Reinflation Genie Out of the Bottle [View article]
Global Market Roundup: Will the Bailout Work? [View article]
Shifting Emphasis from Inflation to Growth [View article]
Emphasize Capital Preservation in these Mean Markets [View article]