Steve20423

Unemployment: It's Even Worse than You Think

In the great reshuffle America will feel like we are the hardest hit because we have such a high standard of living. many third workd countries the workers are walking or riding bicycles to work.
Our wages must come down to meet the global market place wages. But this is good thing because this depresses the cost of living which in turn reduces pressure on Social Security. As was seen this year payments are fixed for next year ie no COLA .
Meanwhile our natural resources are diminishing.
The problem is developing countries don't pay "Fair Wages". They pay wages that barely allow life to be sustained but not to buy excess of consumer goods and allow savings to occur. So how much growth can those markets yield?

I agree with the comment that we are creating a permanent underclass that will likely be always dependent on the goverment.
Healthcare reform will result in confiscatory taxes that will mark the point of no return to prosperity because no entitlement has ever been cut, and the goverment is powerless to effect cost containment.

To quote musicians as is done in the article;

It's the end of the world as we know it....and I feel fine!

REM

10 Stocks Ramping Up Their Dividends

Michael D is cynic, not all sales in the medical field are done this way. If they are, health care is in far worse shape than anyone can imagine. I work for a company that does quite a bit of business in the Far East and Russia and we have some competing products in seversal industries one is quite unique but simply makes no sense to operate because the specific power consumption is very high. Our CEO thinks I am technically inept because my counterparts all sell these oversea

Cramer's Lightning Round - Crossing the Rubicon (10/16/09)

He needs somebody to buy his stock when it's high so he recommends it to fatten the price just prior to slaughter of the suckers! He's a televised version of pump and dump.
He get's away with it because of the disclaimer on his broadcast.
He's entertaining, but his advice is worthless.


On Oct 20 09:16 AM needhelpbrok wrote:

> I would just like to know one thing WHY is all his stock at the 52
> week hi when he recommend them. Why did he not recommend them at
> the Low so you could really make mad money

Six 'Hardwood' Dividend Stocks

I understand your yield on cost explanation but not sure It is always relevant. If I buy a stock and it yields 5% and and the price of the stock falls. If the stock rises a year from now and the dividend increases, my yield increases but in this moment in time I should decide if I should deploy these assets elsewhere depending on the continued growth prospects of the company compared to the rest of the universe in this case Dividend achievers. This excecise should be done each time the portfolio is updated with new purchases and new cost basis created. With the mindset " Is this the best place I should put my money now" Money as you know has time value. Yield on cost should probably be adjusted against the MMF rate too because buying a low yield only makes sense if the the company has extraordinary growth prospects.
I really enjoy your work. In my opinion, I think over diversification results in mediorce results and concentration of the portfolio in the best investments will be far more rewarding. IE put you eggs in one basket and watch the basket closely!

Investor's Business Daily-100 China Edition?

Interesteing all 8 are from socialist countries! Anybody that has ever been to Vermont where Green Mountain is located knows what I'm talking the truth. Maybe it's time to embrace socialism Mao style.
TIC :)

While Citigroup Jumps on John Paulson's Investment, AIG Jumps on Anything

Hey it's the "United Socialist States of America" USSA get it right next time comrade ;)


On Aug 28 07:17 AM Roger Knights wrote:

> "the United States of Socialism"
>
> "The USSA" says it more succinctly.

7 Cash Rich Stocks Offering Stingy Dividends

This is a silly statement: about Franklin. You could make the same claim about GM, Bethlehem Steel , etc etc etc. What a company did decades ago is meaningless without some idea about what they plan to do tomorrow. Franklin might be a great company with great management but the NEW economy is changing and to advise putting money in any investment without constant monitoring could be a big mistake. Resources need to be allocated to where they will do the most good.


On Aug 27 09:23 AM Thrift Maven wrote:

> Franklin resources returned $1,000,000 for every $1,000 invested
>
> during an 18 year period for the great '80's - '90's bull market.
> It was the most successful stock of those years. It is far better
> to let them handle the money than to pass out a few paltry dollars
> here and there. Put ten or twenty shares in your Roth IRA, reinvest
> those small dividends, let Franklin do what it does best and you
> should have a wonderful return in twenty five years.

How Low Can Natural Gas Prices Go?

I have a long position in UNG. how do you figure we make a profit soon If there is no demand large enough to offset inventory and enhanced production capability? It appears the price will remain low for some time unitl demand picks to offset supply. that could be years

Did I miss something?


On Aug 27 08:48 AM learnmoney wrote:

> At least you are honest about your long position in UNG. I have one
> too and soon we will make a very healthy return........

UNG Hasn't Changed the Laws of Natural Gas Supply and Demand

Classic buy low and be patient. I keep buying as much UNG as I can below 13. It's reaaly easy for many oil burners to convert to Gas. If you expect to make a quick buck day trading this probably won"t work so well unless of course we have one good storm. Last time I checked we're in Hurricane season.

GM Volt Takes on Electric Vehicle Competition

This is cute for city dwellers that don't use any fuel. The bulk of fuel is consumed on the freeway. What will be the fuel economy when this thing has to run on its' generator?

My diesel Passat has a 750 mile range with 50 year old technology that has only been revised to handle the low sulfur fuel with a catalytic converter and improved turbo and fuel injectors std stuff. Less than 7 cents a mile for a full size car at $2.75/gal.
Each VW has gone in excess of 300,000 miles and I can buy fuel where i need it.
GM and Ford both make very good diesels they sell in Europe. Sell them here!

Sell Off Ahead? 25 Ways to Profit and Protect from a Stock Market Correction

Ok so there is going to be a correction. A stopped clock is right twice a day. I would guess there will be a correction timining is the elusive unknown and equity holders would be wise to use trailing stops to preserve capital. I have ridden the market into the trough too many times and will never do so again.
Any holding I have a gain in will be sold 5 -10% below its recent high.
Can SDS and other short indexes actually go to or approach Zero net asset value?

Market Cycles: A Look at the Historical Evidence

I believe the Fed and Government intervention are prolonging the agony and the middle class and fiscally responsible will pay due to those actions.

What should happen is the inevitable reduction in size of the US auto industry a result of the slowing growth in America and many competitors, a wholesale exchange of real estate from the defaulting owners to now responsible renters who should be able to buy those properties for 25-30 cents on the dollar. Sure that would hurt my own home equity position for a number of years but that's paper pain unless I am forced to sell. But that won't happen because the fed fears deflation. I fear the dilution of my dollar.
Should we be buying Silver??

Market Cycles: A Look at the Historical Evidence

I think you should borrw or at worst case rent the John Deere>
Holes are pretty Energy effiicent a little damp though> : )


On Aug 07 01:11 PM Go Lakers wrote:

> The dumbest post I might have ever seen. Buy a John Deere machine,
> dig a hole and live in it. That will be the best place if what you
> describe comes to even remotely pass.

Market Cycles: A Look at the Historical Evidence

I agree with David. I think massive vibrations of rockets launching would be interesting study particularly at resonance. However, market cycles to investors simply result in buying (Opportunity) and selling(Capital Preservation). The other people who have short time frames are simply speculators. Forget about the market, buy companies and know their management their goals their story. Their story becomes your story as owner, it's your management. I am not sure the best wat to do all these things but Peter Lynch wrote If people bought stock like they buy houses they would rarely lose money. I don't plan to sell my house. It's 105 ft above sea level overlooking Buzzards Bay Impervious to the Ocean bulit on solid rock here in the East we are in the middle of a tectonic plate so earthquakes are remote possibility. The well produces over 60GPM It will likely remain in my family for generations. I try to buy stock the same way the way I Seek Alpha is with a trailing stop loss. Stick with a universe of well managed companies and after stopping out of a selection redeploy the cash to aniother asset that has the best expected ROI. Often I end up buying the same company for a lower price a few weeks later because better prospects don't (and they shouldn't) exist in the short if you've done the work. Longer term things change and that requires deeper analysis.

Are REITs and Utilities Good Dividend Investments?

I don't doubt your analytical ability but your basic assumptions may be flawed. Warren Buffet bought Berkshire Hathaway many moons ago and so much as admitted it was a mistake. Hence he used the Cash the from that business to purchae higher quality businesses. Hence Berkshire has no more textile operations. HIs mistake was assuming the assets on the books were really assets. In this case the Looms.
At the time those looms had no value to anyone. Had he understood the business he would have understood that fact.
I'm sure you understand the mathemathics of your model but there is more to it than math. I think every business model may have it's own acceptable level of debt especially Real Estate and Utilities. At the end of the day what is really needed is an assessment of the business model and management 's ability to execute their plan. Execution of the plan is judged on whether management meets the stated plan objective.
Maybe I'm wrong but machine shops have different metrics that coffee shops and different metrics as compared to real estate or utilities etc etc.. If you want to invest in a market segment you need to compare all the companies in that segment to each other and select the best opportunitiy on the basis it will enable you to achieve your goals.