FuturePundit

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Asia Tries to Prick the Petroleum Bubble [view article]
Chinese demand will not go down. The rate at which it goes up might slow. But the rapid rate of economic growth in China makes a decrease in energy consumption very unlikely. May 24 08:15 PM
Why Oil Won't Penetrate $150/Barrel [view article]
Asian economic growth pushes up demand. Geological limitations and political obstacles restrict supply. Prices go up.

We need a recession in order to cut back demand. How high will prices have to go to destroy enough demand to lower prices? That's the big question. May 24 08:11 PM
Capacity Utilization Numbers Not Signaling Recession [view article]
High commodity prices combined with a declining dollar are causing a surge in industries involved in energy extraction, mining, and agriculture. The declining dollar alone is a boost to various manufacturing industries. But we will eventually get forced into an inflationary recession. Apr 19 05:50 PM

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