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6 Comments
Oil Majors Exiting the Gas Station Business
Why $200 Oil Is Good for US Markets
Has Oil Production Reached a 'De Facto' Peak?
1) Greed increases global crude production (higher the oil price the more incentive to add production).
2) High oil price feeds greed (producing nations need more and more money to keep their people happy, new infrastructure projects).
3) NOC incompetence or lack of efficiency (poor business practices) limit global crude production during high and low price environments (just the way it is).
4) Hoarding occurs when the incompetence of a nation's NOC(s) and/or political system is so great that greed (the needs of their people) does not provide enough incentive to increase/stabilize production (it becomes their plan to save oil in the ground since it can't be produced anytime soon by NOC).
5) Politics are the root of all problems (NOC competence won't improve without a major change in political will).
6) International oil companies can increase production if given a chance/access and some resemblance of fair business practices (requires political will).
What I'm Reading This Week: Commodities, Inflation and BRICs
There's many prospects in the world, including supposed mature middle east regions, that have potential for new production. Economics are better for many of these "use to be" marginal areas. Some aren't even that marginal (even at $50/brl), there's just been no quality focus by controlling NOC's and their governments (locking out majors). Political issues are now the main limiting factor for replacing/increasing crude production. If the extreme inefficiencies of NOC's could be removed tomorrow there would be no debate about peak oil, at least for a few more decades. Destroying US/European majors ability to do what their good at will definitely maintain the current $/barrel up trend. Maybe that's someone's goal?
Oil to $200? Fundamentals Don't Support It
Why Do Oil Prices Keep Rising?
Might work in a small "high density" European type country. Not in the US with the long distances we must travel. Unless your proposing controlling freedom of movement too.