I am an individual investor with over 15 years experience in the stock and options markets. I focus on the precious metals, energy, and tech sectors. I believe that there are always opportunities in any kind of market, and I actively look for strategies to take advantage of these opportunities. My long-term outlook is that stock and commodity prices will go higher, and bond prices will go lower. Some of the investing principles that I follow include (1) taking what the market gives you, (2) investing where you have a competitive advantage, (3) having a plan in case a stock goes up or down, and (4) investing only when the odds are in your favor.
Dr. Ahanotu is a graduate of Stanford University with over twenty years of experience doing analytic modeling, executing pricing strategies through price optimization, and implementing, developing, and selling enterprise software. He adds to this industry experience another five overlapping years of research in knowledge management and organizational learning. Duru Ahanotu, Ph.D. founded Ahan Analytics, LLC to deliver sustainable, data-driven approaches for improving business performance. He recognizes the unique challenges companies face in leveraging their data to increase revenues, become more efficient, and drive profitability.
Before launching Ahan Analytics, LLC, Dr. Ahanotu was last a Sales Consultant in the Advertiser and Publisher Solutions (APS) group within Microsoft Advertising. In this capacity, he provided product knowledge, functional expertise, and technical support to APS account executives who sold APS’s suite of media monetization products. He led product demonstrations and increased the productivity of the sales team by training and certifying employees on the use and demonstration of the software. Dr. Ahanotu took on this role after Microsoft acquired his former employer Rapt, Inc. Rapt provided software solutions for maximizing revenue and yield for online media publishers.
With Rapt, Dr. Ahanotu last served as an Engagement Manager for a software implementation for a $100 million on-line publisher with a rapidly growing business. With his project team, Dr. Ahanotu created and coordinated novel approaches to inventory forecasting, structuring of product hierarchies, and ETL across software systems for order management, advertising delivery, and Rapt’s software. He also generated a step-by-step methodology for interpreting and using the results of price optimization.
As a Solutions Architect, Dr. Ahanotu served as the lead Solutions Consultant on client engagements and provided technical assistance and guidance to Solutions Consultants on other projects. Dr. Ahanotu designed and implemented price optimization solutions, demonstrating expertise in mathematical modeling, pricing, data analysis, SQL, and relational data models. He led discussions with customers and internal teams to improve implementation processes and product design.
Dr. Ahanotu held oversight responsibility for the analytic modeling for two projects using Price Director, Rapt’s price optimization software. Each project supported pricing decisions in Fortune 50 businesses: one business was a leading online media publisher, and the other was a rapidly growing technology company in a low margin business. Dr. Ahanotu helped the latter client integrate Price Director into pricing workflow. As part of this first-ever client implementation of Price Director, he worked closely with Product Management, Analytic Development, and Software Engineering to ensure that early-stage product functionality met client needs.
Dr. Ahanotu contributed several new methodologies for implementing Price Director analytics and conceptual frameworks for training clients on these analytics. He is a contributor on a related Rapt patent: “Method and System for Producing Optimized Prices for Products for Sale.” Dr. Ahanotu presented a white paper on the pricing of New Product Introductions at the 2006 INFORMS Annual Meeting. The Professional Pricing Society published this paper in The Journal of Professional Pricing (Vol. 16, No. 1, First Quarter 2007) as “Pricing New Products: Turning Portfolio Uncertainty Into Profits.”
Prior to Rapt, Dr. Ahanotu was a consultant with Integral, Inc, a small strategic management consulting firm. During his three-year tenure, he consulted on product development and technology strategy focused on high tech and pharmaceutical companies. Prior to Integral, he developed mathematical programming algorithms for managing and optimizing “Y2K” projects as an independent contractor. Prior to this work, he implemented expert systems for diagnosing and troubleshooting automotive and semiconductor manufacturing equipment as a Business Solutions Project Manager and Consultant for Expert Edge, Inc.
Dr. Ahanotu earned a Master’s and Ph.D. in Engineering-Economic Systems (1999), a B.S. in Mechanical Engineering, and Honors in Values, Technology, Science, and Society (1991) - all at Stanford University.
Avi Gilburt is a lawyer and accountant by training. He formerly was a partner and National Director at a national firm.
Mr. Gilburt is also the Managing Member of Gilburt Financial Services, LLC, which provides:
- Financial market analysis to the public through ElliottWaveTrader.net;
- Elliott Wave market analysis to institutional clients;
- Specific stock analysis to retail clients; and
- Webinars and personal coaching on Elliott Wave analysis.
He is also the Managing Member of the of the consulting firm of Gilburt & Associates, LLC, which specializes in transaction structuring and tax services.
Jack Lifton is an Independent consultant and commentator, focusing on the market fundamentals and future end use trends of the rare metals. He specializes in the sourcing of nonferrous strategic metals and on due diligence studies of businesses in that space. His work includes exploration, mining, refining and the recovery of metal values by the recycling of not only metals and their alloys but also of metal-based chemicals used as raw materials for component manufacturing.
Mr. Lifton has more than 50 years of experience in the global OEM automotive, heavy equipment, electrical and electronic, mining, smelting, and refining industries. His background includes the sourcing, manufacturing, and sales of platinum group metal products, rare earth compounds, and ceramic specialties used to make catalytic converters, oxygen sensors, batteries, and fuel cells. He is knowledgeable in locating and analyzing new and recycled supplies of 'minor metals' including tellurium, selenium, indium, gallium, silicon, germanium, molybdenum, tungsten, manganese, chromium, and the rare earth metals.
Today he primarily consults to institutional investors doing due diligence on metals related opportunities and to natural resource ventures on technologies and markets.
Jack wrote a weekly column on minor metals for Resource Investor for three years until December 2008, during which he authored more than 125 original articles. He is also speaks on minor metals fundamentals and end-uses at private, public, and professional meetings.
Since 2007 he has made presentations at conferences, seminars, and workshops all over the world more than 50 times.
Today the Mays Report™ has become an operating unit of Mays Research™ and is expected to restart operations and relaunch the Mays Report™ web site sometime during 2016.
Mays Research™ is an independent investment research firm focused on the food production value chain from upstream seed and fertilizer companies to downstream food retail and distribution companies and supermarkets.
Our approach to analysis requires us to perform in depth research and analysis in the equities and alternative investments asset classes. Within those classes we cover companies in both the consumer staples and basic materials sectors in the equity asset class as well as the grains and livestock futures markets in the alternative investments asset class.
This firm was originally operated between June 2009 and August 2014 as The Mays Report™ and initially specialized in fertilizer stocks as well as the grains markets. Before deciding to cease operations and pursue new opportunities an expansion of the firms coverage universe began that included companies downstream in the food production chain.
For intraday updates on covered companies and the broader economy follow the Mays Report on twitter at https://twitter.com/MaysReport
G C Mays is the Chief Research Officer at Mays Research and has covered the agricultural chemicals industry as well as the grains markets for the last 7 years. The firm is currently expanding its coverage universe to include the entire food value chain from seed to supermarket.
G C Mays has more than 20 years equity research and trading experience. His career began in Accounting and he eventually became a credit analyst in the banking industry before moving on to pursue other career opportunities as a contractor and consultant. He is expert at financial statement and data analysis. He is the driving force behind the data collection, financial statement analysis and modeling that serve as the basis for his relative valuation approach to equity, commodity, and economic analysis.
GC Mays is a CFA Institute Member (Regular) & Level 3 Candidate. He can be reached at gcmays [at] maysreport [dot] com.
Hardassetsinvestor.com (http://hardassetsinvestor.com/) is a Van Eck Associates-sponsored, research oriented Web site devoted to sharing ideas about hard assets investing. The site has been developed as an educational resource for both individual and institutional investors interested in learning more about commodity equities, commodity futures and gold (the three major components of the hard assets marketplace). The site focuses on hard assets investing, without endorsing or recommending any particular investment product or approach.
Visit: Hard Assets Investor (http://hardassetsinvestor.com/)
Mr. Roche is the founder of Orcam Financial Group, LLC, a low fee financial services firm based in San Diego, CA as well as the founder of the popular financial website Pragmatic Capitalism (some articles from Pragmatic Capitalism get syndicated on Seeking Alpha so please see the full site if you don't want to miss articles by Mr. Roche).
Orcam Financial Group, LLC (www.orcamgroup.com) is a low fee financial services firm offering asset management, personal advisory, consulting and educational services. Pragmatic Capitalism (http://pragcap.com) was founded by Cullen Roche in the midst of the financial crisis of 2008. Mr. Roche foresaw many of the events that led up to the crisis and felt that the government was slow to react and when it did finally react, responded with the wrong medicine.
Mr. Roche's primary areas of expertise include global macro portfolio construction, quantitative risk management, monetary economics and behavioral finance. Prior to establishing his own business, Mr. Roche worked at Merrill Lynch Global Wealth Management where he worked on a team overseeing $500MM+ in assets under management. Upon leaving Merrill Lynch, Mr. Roche managed a private investment partnership for 7 years generating substantial positive alpha (high risk adjusted returns) without a single negative year of returns. He has since transitioned back to retail asset management to better serve the much needed low fee retail space with sophisticated but simple asset management and financial planning services.
Mr. Roche is also a prolific writer. In addition to the daily musings on his website, he is the author of the popular book “Pragmatic Capitalism: What Every Investor Needs to Know About Money and Finance” as well as “Understanding the Modern Monetary System”, one of the top 10 all-time most downloaded research papers on the SSRN academic research network. He was named one of the “Top Wall Street Economists, Experts and Opinion Leaders” of 2011 by Wall Street Economists and was named one of the “101 Best Finance People” by Business Insider where he was described as “one of the most influential economic thinkers today.” In 2015 Mr. Roche was named one of the “40 Under 40” most influential people in finance by InvestmentNews. He is regularly cited in the Wall Street Journal, on CNBC and in the Financial Times.
Mr. Roche is a Georgetown University alumnus, growing up in the DC area and now living in Southern California with his wife Erica, troublesome collie Cal and 4 irritable laying hens. In addition to being a financial dork Cullen is an avid outdoorsman, mediocre gardener, proficient complex carbohydrate consumer (i.e., loves brownies and cake) and finisher of one of the most difficult IRONMAN races at Cabo in 2015.
Brandon Matthews (pseudonym) is the founder of SatwavesPro.com, which was borne of his desire to help retail investors after witnessing the continually changing ways that Wall Street can cheat them. Brandon has worked for Monroe Parker Investment Bankers, Morgan Stanley Dean Witter, American Express Financial Advisors, David Lerner Associates and a private equity firm as a stock and bond broker.
Brandon held Series 7, 63, 65, 31, Life, Health, Variable Annuity and Variable Life Securities and Insurance Licenses and was a registered investment advisor in New York, New Jersey, Florida and Connecticut.
Brandon combines an expertise in point & figure technical analysis with basic fundamental research to provide actionable recommendations.
Brandon is a Gold Level Contributor to Seeking Alpha and a top ranked author, had a significant role as an expert in the documentary Stock Shock, and is working on his first book.
David White is a software/firmware/marketing professional and a long time investor. He has worked in the networking field, the semiconductor equipment field, the mainframe computer field, and the pharmaceutical/scientific instrumentation field. He has bachelor's degrees in bioresource sciences and biochemistry from U.C. Berkeley. He is a former Ph.D. student in biochemistry. He has done significant graduate work in EECS and business at Stanford (through SITN) and UC Santa Cruz. He was awarded a Certificate in Advanced Software Systems (about 1/3 of an MS in EECS) by the Stanford Computer Science Department. He also took most of Stanford's undergraduate Computer Science curriculum.
Charles Hugh Smith writes the Of Two Minds blog (www.oftwominds.com/blog.html) which covers an eclectic range of timely topics: finance, housing, Asia, energy, longterm trends, social issues, health/diet/fitness and sustainability. From its humble beginnings in May 2005, Of Two Minds now attracts some 200,000 visits a month.
Charles also contributes to AOL's Daily Finance site (www.dailyfinance.com) and has written eight books, most recently "Survival+: Structuring Prosperity for Yourself and the Nation" (2009) which is available in a free version on his blog.
John Thomas graduated with a bachelor’s degree in biochemistry with honors and a minor in mathematics from the University of California at Los Angeles (U.C.L.A.) in 1974. He moved to Tokyo, Japan where he was employed by a medium-sized Japanese securities house. Thomas became fluent in Japanese and was trained as a domestic Japanese research analyst and money manager. In 1977 Thomas became the Tokyo correspondent for The Economist magazine and the Financial Times of London. Thomas traveled extensively throughout Asia, interviewing premiers, presidents and prime ministers, writing on macroeconomic trends, and producing countless features about individual companies. Thomas witnessed China’s cultural revolution and was one of the first American correspondents to enter China prior to the U.S. normalization of relations. Thomas authored several books about the Japanese financial system still in use by business schools today. In 1983 Thomas joined a top US investment bank in New York with the mandate to develop an international equity business for the firm. In 1985 he moved to London, England to establish a presence in Japanese equity derivatives for the firm. In 1989 Thomas was appointed a director of one of the big three Swiss Banks with a mandate to design sophisticated hedging strategies for the bank’s considerable holdings of Japanese equity warrants and convertible bonds. With the invasion of Kuwait by Iraq, Thomas was drafted by the US Marine Corp to serve as a pilot. In 1990 Thomas became a pioneer in the nascent hedge fund industry by founding the first dedicated Japanese hedge fund. The firm managed segregated accounts for a variety of government agencies, banks, and high net worth individuals in Europe, the Middle East, and Asia. After a decade of spectacular absolute and relative performance he sold his firm in 1999 and retired to manage his personal investments in the oil and gas industry. Seeing incredible opportunities in the marketplace and yearning for the adrenaline and satisfaction offered by active management, Thomas launched a new hedge fund in 2007. In his free time Thomas is a commercial aircraft pilot, long distance hiker and mountain climber, wine collector and avid photographer.
With advanced degrees in both economics and finance, I place great deal of importance upon macreconomic developments and fundamental analyses of industries and individual companies
In typical markets, I seek out investment themes which offer compelling reasons to invest in a group of like companies. Within a theme group, I look for earnings consistency, growth, market leadership, competitive advantage and reasonable valuations as measured by PEG ratios and other metrics.
I like companies that dominate their economic space and which enjoy what Buffet refers to as a durable competitive advantage and Morningstar refers to as an economic moat. I try to remained disciplined investor but will frequently yield to the lure of a pure momentum plays.
To assist in identifying current themes, I spend an inordinate amount of time reading and subscribe to IBD and use Zack's and StockCharts.com to filter, screen and rank investment candidates. Four or more technical measures may be used to time entry and exit points by understanding underlying momentum, strength and directionality.
Graham Summers is Chief Market Strategist for Phoenix Capital Investment Research, an independent investment strategy firm based in Washington DC with clients in 56 countries around the world.
Peter Morici is a Professor of Business at the University of Maryland. Prior to joining the University, he served as Director of Economics at the U.S. International Trade Commission. He directed the agency's professional economists working on ITC investigations and provided international economic policy advice to the House Ways and Means and Senate Finance Committees, U.S. Trade Representative, Council of Economic Advisors, and other government agencies.
Dr. Morici received his Ph.D. in Economics from the State University of New York at Albany in 1974. From 1974 to 1976, he taught at Augsburg College in Minneapolis. In 1976, he joined the Federal Energy Administration, and in 1978, moved to the National Planning Association in Washington. At NPA, Dr. Morici served in positions of increasing research and managerial responsibility and was elected a Vice President in 1983. Dr. Morici joined the University of Maine as a Professor of Economics in 1988 and was Director of its Canadian-American Center from 1990 to 1993.
An acknowledged expert on international economics and agreements, macroeconomics, and industrial policy, he has advised many leading corporations and governments regarding trade and regulatory issues. He serves on the Reuters macroeconomic forecasting panel. His views are frequently featured on CNN, Reuters Financial Network, Bloomberg News, CNBC, ABC, Fox, National Public Radio and Broadcasting, and the BBC, and in columns on the opinion pages of newspapers and portals in the United States and abroad.
The Ford, Rockefeller, Sloan, Donner, and several other foundations have supported his work. He is the author of 18 books and monographs. Among these are: Reconciling Trade and the Environment in the World Trade Organization; Labor Standards in the Global Trading System; Antitrust in the Global Trading System: Reconciling U.S., Japanese and EU Approaches; Setting U.S. Goals for WTO Negotiations ; The Trade Deficit: Where Does It Come from and What Does It Do; Free Trade in the Americas: An Architecture for Hemispheric Integration; Trade Talks with Mexico: A Time for Realism; Making Free Trade Work: The Canada-U.S. Agreement; and Reassessing American Competitiveness. He has published widely in leading public policy and business journals such as Foreign Policy, International Economy, Regulation, Asian Wall Street Journal, and the Harvard Business Review.
James Conrad, Ph.d., is and has been, an investor and trader of stocks, bonds, options, and precious metals for 37 years. He is also the editor of a closed circulation daily market newsletter, which provides investment news, analysis and opinion. Because of the time-sensitive nature of the information contained in the newsletter, subscriptions are not currently open to the public. New subscribers are accepted only on recommendation of existing subscribers. His articles on Seeking Alpha, and elsewhere, however, mirror the subject matter, analysis and opinions currently covered in the newsletter.
I focus on investments in the oil & gas & MLP sectors with an eye for dividend income growth and long-term capital appreciation. I typically allocate a portion of my own portfolio and devote some of my Seeking Alpha articles to small and medium sized companies offering compelling risk/reward propositions. I am an engineer, not a qualified investment advisor. While the information and data presented in my articles are obtained from company documents and/or sources believed to be reliable, they have not been independently verified. Therefore, I cannot guarantee its accuracy. I advise investors conduct their own research and/or consult a qualified investment advisor. I explicitly disclaim any liability that may arise from investment decisions you make based on my articles. Thanks for reading and I wish you much success with your investments.
Chief Investment Officer, Stanford Wealth Management. Retired senior exec of Charles Schwab. 36 years active and reserve military service -- 6 in special operations, 30 in the intelligence community. Geopolitical analyst.
Author -- investment book Bringing Home the Gold.
Editor -- The Investor’s Edge®. In the 16 years from inception through year-end 2015, the Investor’s Edge® Growth & Value Portfolio increased in value from $250,000 to $1,038,453. That same $250,000 invested in the S&P 500 rose to just $422,905. (Past results are no guarantee of future performance; maybe those 16 years were pure luck.)
Featured in Forbes, Barrons, The Wall Street Journal, Financial World, Wall Street Transcript, Global Investing, Welling on Wall Street, etc.
If you have a $500,000 portfolio ($250,000 for solely mutual funds & ETFs) you may contact me for a no-obligation "second opinion." firstname.lastname@example.org.
David Andrew Taylor is a Denver, Colorado based currency trader. His primary focus in his writing is interpreting and analyzing data on the U.S. economy and how it relates to the U.S. dollar. He also follows gold, oil, bonds, and the S&P 500 and their effect on currency markets.
Why write online? "I find that by putting myself 'out there' in this format, it makes me dig a little deeper into the data. My results have been a much more intensified understanding of the U.S. economy and the markets. There's nothing more embarrassing that being dead wrong in the eyes of the entire internet."
Visit his site: dismally.com (http://www.dismally.com/)
Gary Dorsch (http://seekingalpha.com/by/author/gary-dorsch/) originally worked for Charles Schwab, and his analysis of the markets have been read for years by hedge fund managers and other professional investors. He now writes Global Money Trends (http://sirchartsalot.com/newsletters.php), a respected investment newsletter covering global asset markets. We think Gary is exceptional: he's one of the few writers who covers global markets with insight and brevity, and shows US-based investors how to invest in them. You'll find his work on ETF Investor and the international blogs.