Takayama

Sucker's Rally Approaching an End

Agreed. The institution players are playing against the retail market. It will get worse and worse.


On Apr 15 05:00 AM TheFounder wrote:

> The market dropped fast and steep. It is only obvious that the counter
> action will follow the same behavior pattern. That is why we saw
> the best 5 weeks since 1930. That and some government back wind.
> But fundementals are horrible and we should re test the lows at least
> once more. If you follow the bear markets since 1930 you will clearly
> see that no recovery ever took place until the 200 MA got really
> close to the index itself. We are not there yet. Maybe in August
> or early 2010. I sold all my longs recently and am in cash and shorts.

Is It Time to Buy? What History Shows

Another Motley Fool talk. Buy in the summer and buy in the winter, buy in the day and buy in the night. It is so difficult to get investment advisers to call a sell.
Maybe it is because you won't get a commission from making a sell call.

Traders Still Unwilling to Take on Risk

Global asset de-leveraging in progress. The Nikkei went from 38000+ to 12000-. The Dow should move from 14000 to 4200 in X years.

Traders Still Unwilling to Take on Risk

Global asset de-leveraging in progress. The Nikkei went from 38000+ to 12000-. The Dow should move from 14000 to 4200 in X years.

Waiting For Our Sign of Recovery

: When indexes form fresh lows higher than the previous lows, this will be the time to enter a position for the long term.

This is not necessarily so. Please do a study of the most recent greatest stockmarket meltdown in developed countries. The fall of the Great Samurai, and please check where the Nikkei Index is hovering at today.
I still remember this book - Japan as Number One, but not its author. It was quoted the Japan at that time was close to or already had out surpass the USA in many fields and industries, including computer technology and artificial intelligence.
My strategy would likely be based on fundamentals of supply and demand, and the law of cycles.

Banning Shorts Works in Fancy Restaurants, Not the Marketplace

As far as possible, the state must not interfere with the markets. Interference means the insiders and cronies stand to benefit form the sudden regulation.
I fully agree with the writer's comments on SEC's incompetence.
Overall, the American people, especially the elite group (top 10%~20%) did not measure up to the mark, hence creating all these mess.

Avarice has gripped the souls of America. Sacrifice is a word most lacking in their lives.

The "Worst Is Over" Crowd Is In for a Shock

Expect higher crime rates in bad times. This is the result of crimes executed on Wall Street, by leaders of government agencies and big businesses.
They deserve severe punishments for the misery of many.

Merrill's David Rosenberg: Eight Lessons from Last Week

The 9th lesson -- Expect more market intervention and manipulation.

America criticize other governments for third world practices. Yet she is no different. The pot calling the kettle black.

Protecting Your Wealth and Profit During the 2008 Crash

I also believe that the worst is yet to be imagined as I do not trust most business organizations and banks.

Protecting Your Wealth and Profit During the 2008 Crash

My personal view is to avoid the falling knife.
Unless you believe you are better than Warren Buffet.

How to Invest in the Current Economic Climate

How long will it take for the US economy to recover? I believe the worst is yet to be imagined. The Japanese have little debt as compared with the United States' weak dollar and enormous debt. Yet the recession in Japan and their stock market have not fully recovered till this day.

Unconventional times require unconventional wisdom. The economy is in uncharted waters.

Time To Abandon Stocks?

Egg is right in saying it is still early days before the next great American bull rally.
I remember Mr. Warren Buffet looked like a fool when his fund and investment philosophy was not raking in money during the dot-com boom.

The corporate and political world is full of liars and evil angels; raking out their schemes and themes to satisfy their greed and ambition.
A true monk will not be found on Wall Street, an expensive real estate to build a monastery.
Big money can and will manipulate the markets.
But by the law of cycles, the boom is followed by the bust. The once formidable Japanese economy serves as a good reminder.