The Brightest Stars in the Commodities Boom, Part Two [View article]
Why would you not believe that he added James River Coal Company (JRCC) at $5.00 and sold for a huge profits? His other post called the coal bubble spot on. K-Fine on fast money also called the s/t coal bubble.
Dollar Destruction: My Wealth Inequality Manifesto [View article]
Philip,
In this market what would you expect a capitulation to look like? Will it take another DOW -400 day on heavy volume or do you have lower price targets for the DOW, SP, and Nasdaq?
I tricked myself this week thinking that this would be a s/t bottom, closed some shorts and added some discounted long positions.
I've heard a bunch of calls for the bottom, which struck me as strange since 1) we are in month 7 of a bear market and the last bear lasted 2 1/2 years 2) the DOW and the SP500 both loss support at the 50dma 3) companies are just starting to digest life with crude +$120. I remain 40% short or hedged and 60% long.
<There is little hope for the markets if this continues and the dollar isn’t helping as it’s pulling back in early currency trading as well, so we’ll be back to hoping to hold 12,200 this morning and 1,350 on the S&P. If we lose them, it’s going to be ugly again.>
are you using this rally to start or add to any short or hedge positions. Yesterday I closed 1/2 of my DXD, TWM, SRS, SDS. Charts are telling me that the bear is back for the summer.
Oil ETFs: What if the Dollar Strengthens? [View article]
DUG is not a good proxy to short oil. DUG shorts $DJUSEN x2 which is made up of E&Ps, OIH companies the drillers, Refiners, and NG Plays. For DUG to trade well all four must come down at the same time. While crude may drop the E&Ps, refiners have bottomed and are rising with the crack spreads, NG demand hasn't stopped, and driller will perform with continued demand.
How can you discuss VLO or any refiner without looking at the crack spreads. Despite the rise in crude, the margin have greatly improved over the last month $12 to $20 for NYMEX 321. Additionally, VLO and FTO are two sour refiners who will generally pay $20 to $30 less pbl.
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Latest | Highest ratedThe Brightest Stars in the Commodities Boom, Part Two [View article]
Sometimes a Bear Is Just a Bear [View article]
Dollar Destruction: My Wealth Inequality Manifesto [View article]
In this market what would you expect a capitulation to look like? Will it take another DOW -400 day on heavy volume or do you have lower price targets for the DOW, SP, and Nasdaq?
I tricked myself this week thinking that this would be a s/t bottom, closed some shorts and added some discounted long positions.
thanks
Options Trader: Monday Outlook [View article]
Options Trader: Monday Outlook [View article]
did you call a bottom last week?
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06/05 09:00 *DJ Nucor Increases Guidance For Its 2Q Earnings
*DJ Nucor Corp Sees 2Q EPS $1,75-EPS $1.80 >NUE
06/05 09:01 *DJ Nucor Corp Had Expected 2Q EPS $1.55-$1.60
Options Trader: Monday Outlook [View article]
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