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Vatirhea

Vatirhea
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  • Broadvision Short Squeeze Imminent [View article]
    Innovators don't test for markets; they create them--like Steve Jobs.

    Dr. Chen, as a visionary, saw the opportunity in Cloud-based Enterprise Social Networking long before anyone was talking about it being the next mega-trend. Chen runs two other companies and a charity, he doesn't need BroadVision. He continues with BraodVision because he has a vision for the company and he believes he can make it happen.

    Many forward-looking investors share Dr. Chen's vision for BroadVision’s future, and they are willing to take the short-term risk to position themselves early in this emerging market.

    If you don't share that vision, or you don't have the risk tolerance to buy BVSN now, then that's fine; there are many people that share your position. If you don’t like the stock or the people promoting it, then don’t buy it. No comments or narratives are necessary.
    Mar 30, 2012. 03:53 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Broadvision Short Squeeze Imminent [View article]
    Once BVSN opened below its support level on March 21, I locked in some very respectable gains at $40.00. In my opinion, Elliot wave analysis shows BVSN is currently in sub-wave C of wave 4. My fibonacci analysis indicates support levels at 18.51, 15.27, 12.03. It shouldn't go below 9.55.

    My chart analysis and trade volume indicate the market is expanding for this stock, so in my opinion, I believe a change in trend direction will occure around 18.51 or 15.27. I'm looking for a double bottom a/or a bullish strong bar around those support levels to buy back in.

    Everyone still talking about pump and dump, eh? I got back Monday morning from my cruise to Cozumel that BVSN paid for, and it was awsome! Elliot wave 5 should pay for a nice trip to Barcelona.

    I'll let you know how the trip was when we get back.
    Mar 28, 2012. 01:26 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Broadvision Short Squeeze Imminent [View article]
    Yngvia wrote:

    “Are you blind? BVSN had a massive dump from 1/24 to 1/26. There was another on 2/7, and then another massive drop from 3/6 to 3/7. Each time, the NIA has unloaded a bunch of shares, then reloaded and repumped. BVSN's chart looks exactly like a pump and dump. I think you need to brush up on your history of pump and dumps.”

    and,

    “Plus, BVSN's price action has been anything BUT stable, with massive drops of $5 to $10 in minutes. You must be high to think that BVSN is stable.”

    -----------------

    If you take BVSN’s chart and draw in the resistance trend line that I provided above, you would see that the corrections on those days were to be expected. 1/24 is one of the short squeezes I referred to above, and 1/26 was part of a normal correction. Plus, 2/7 was also a small squeeze followed by a predictable correction. You omitted 3/6 which was also a squeeze spike followed by a predictable correction.

    It is BVSN’s well formed trend channel that makes it a stable stock. All of the price oscillations, with the exception of the squeeze spikes which are good anomalies for long positions, are contained within a perfectly formed channel between BVSN’s intermediate-term support and resistance trend lines that I provided in my above post.

    I believe the large movements in price are due to BVSN’s small float and elevated trading volume, and they have nothing to do with instability. I believe just the opposite is true. BVSN’s volatility in context of its well established trend channel is what makes it such a profitable play for investors that have the risk tolerance for these kinds of price movements.

    Normal price oscillations, between well defined support and resistance levels, indicate a healthy stock. Smart investors look for these trends to maximize gains by selling on resistance highs and buying on support lows. It's a very basic investment strategy, and it has nothing to do with running a scam.

    And, thank you for educating me on the two examples of pump and dump scams that lasted for at least 3 month. But, for reasons I have already stated, I don’t believe such anecdotal evidence proves that BVSN is a pump and dump scam. I believe the empirical evidence suggests the opposite.
    Mar 19, 2012. 04:52 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Broadvision Short Squeeze Imminent [View article]
    Yngvai, You clearly didn't pull up the chart and lay in the trend lines. All of the price ocilations were with in a predictable range. The large movements are due to the stock's small float. It has nothing to do with pumping and dumping.
    Mar 19, 2012. 04:43 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Broadvision Short Squeeze Imminent [View article]
    Selling on the peaks and buying on the dips isn't pumping and dumping. It's called smart investing. And, anticipating corrections, by observing events that could trigger one, is what good investors do.

    Because manipulating a stock's price makes it unstable, I believe someone actually running a scam would be reluctant to risk their gains by buying back in on a large price correction. The way I understand it, a classic pump and dump happens once; it doesn't happen over and over again. Nor, does such an abuse of a stock create a favorable price trend like we see in BVSN.

    Normal price oscillations, between well defined support and resistance levels, indicate a healthy stock. Smart investors look for these trends to maximize gains by selling on the highs and buying on the lows. It's a very basic investment strategy, and it has nothing to do with running a scam.
    Mar 19, 2012. 04:41 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Broadvision Short Squeeze Imminent [View article]
    As far as I know, never in the history of pump and dumps scams has there been a 3 month long pump and no dump!

    Pull up a chart of BVSN and you will see a textbook perfect bullish support trend since January 7. The support axis runs along a line intersecting the Jan 31, low of 20.85, the Feb 16, low of 29.00 and the March 14, low of 40.35.

    A resistance trend line is developing, but it's difficult to identify due to the peak spikes that occur during short squeezes. My chart analysis has it running along an axis intersecting the Jan 23, high of 33.71, the Feb 6, high of 39.72 and March 5, high of 51.57.

    In my opinion, the resistance trend projects the next 52-week high to occur around 63.00. But, with the large number of shares still short, there could be another peak spike as high as 68.00 as the short positions once again get squeezed to death.

    Go ahead and pull up the chart and connect the dots for yourself. Reproducing such a picture perfect medium term bullish trend through price manipulation is virtually impossible. Manipulated prices tend to be unstable, and price manipulation tends to damage a stock's price which would produce an erratic bearish trend. And, it is highly unlikely that such activity would continue for 3 months.

    My opinion is that BVSN's text book perfect bearish medium-term trend can only occur as a result of natural and organic market forces. I think this notion of a 3 month long pump with no dump is just short sellers sweating bullets over a bad investment and hoping to create a panic, as well as, one-dimentional thinkers that can't see beyond the silly idea that NIA automatically equals pump and dump. This would make the short sellers the one's trying to manipulate the price of BVSN and not the NIA. But, as BVSN's chart indicates, the market isn't falling for it.
    Mar 19, 2012. 10:15 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Broadvision Short Squeeze Imminent [View article]
    YngvaiMalmsteve wrote:

    "Unfortunately you are missing a lot of important dots, leading you to an incorrect assessment of BVSN."

    Ok Yngvai (Yngwie), You are obviously correct. That's why next weekend when you are home playing your guitar, I'll be in Cozamel with my wife spending some of the 475% gains I've made on BVSN since January. We'll send you a post card.
    Mar 17, 2012. 01:39 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Pullback In May / June And Correction In September / October? [View article]
    Good article. In this volatile market, any insight that helps anticipate inevitable corrections is valuable to an aggressive investor like me. I also like Pro shares SDS which is a double leveraged inverse ETF pegged to the S&P 500. It provides the same down-side protection with half the investment. That makes it a good way to hedge without "betting the farm."
    Mar 17, 2012. 02:10 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Broadvision Short Squeeze Imminent [View article]
    Great Article! For all the nay sayers out there, let me repeat the famous mantra one more time. "Past performance is not indicative of future returns!"

    BVSN's current stock price is due to the fact that it is poised to capitalize on the first big mega-trend of the 21st century. It's 10-k and past performance obviously makes it a short term risk, but that's not what is driving its stock price. What is driving BVSN's price is the risk to return principal. The forward looking investors, that see the potential in BVSN, think the short term risk is worth the huge returns that could be earned by buying in now. If you want to wait until all the numbers add up before dipping your toe in, then you will have missed the big boat.

    People suffering from NIA derangement syndrome are making their investment decisions about BVSN based on emotions. For some reason they just hate those NIA guys, and the fact that they are right about BVSN seems to get under their skin worse than a dozen wood ticks.

    So, to cut through all the non-sense and provide some objectivity to the discussion, I provide these links to the following articles none of which were written by the NIA. Those who are investing with their heads will be able to connect the dots. Those that aren't, won't.

    P.S. I do not work for the NIA, nor do I personally know anyone that does.

    http://bit.ly/ADI7PN
    http://onforb.es/FOvezR
    http://yhoo.it/yhVOQj
    http://yhoo.it/xODtXE
    Mar 16, 2012. 09:34 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
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