Theoretical Declines of a Bursting Oil Bubble [View article]
sr9web - Nice little write up. And to add to that, I'd like to add a recent quote from Jim Rogers: "the commodities market can frequently correct 40% to 50% even during a bull market.” Citing the crude oil bull market in 1999, he said the commodity prices had gone down 40% to 50% during that period. “Even if the world economy is going to collapse with everything coming down, I will opt to own wheat and cotton rather than Google or IBM shares!” Rogers said.
When you have a plateau in production and increasing global consumption pressures, then prices become more volatile. The easy, high-yield oil has been extracted. Rapidly rising price and flat production (since 2004) = peak produciton.
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sr9web - Nice little write up. And to add to that, I'd like to add a recent quote from Jim Rogers:
Sep 04 20:31 pm
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All Comments by Sober Realist »Theoretical Declines of a Bursting Oil Bubble [View article]
"the commodities market can frequently correct 40% to 50% even during a bull market.”
Citing the crude oil bull market in 1999, he said the commodity prices had gone down 40% to 50% during that period.
“Even if the world economy is going to collapse with everything coming down, I will opt to own wheat and cotton rather than Google or IBM shares!” Rogers said.
When you have a plateau in production and increasing global consumption pressures, then prices become more volatile. The easy, high-yield oil has been extracted. Rapidly rising price and flat production (since 2004) = peak produciton.