Retired engineer who enjoys investing which gives me a good reason to keep up with the world. Have core holdings in mutual funds--equity and bond, and quality dividend stocks. IRAs and Roths constitute the major portion of the portfolio. Since the world markets are quite mixed, I'm more interested in a defensive position.
Vance Harwood is a private investor and consultant whose interests include macroeconomic forecasting, investor psychology, and volatility as an asset class. His investment activities include trading index ETFs, volatility related ETPs and their associated options. He blogs at sixfigureinvesting.com—mostly about volatility, but occasionally about options strategies, bond funds, and general market topics. He tracks the USA based volatility ETPs and has simulated the performance of most of them back to the initiation of VIX Futures in 2004.
A couple things Vance believes:
The past does not predict the future (see Nassim Taleb’s “Fooled by Randomness”). This invalidates much technical analysis–although I think the psychology of stock movements is very important
Past behavior of assets relative to each other (e.g., bonds vs stocks) does not guarantee future behavior
Markets fall a lot faster than they go up, typically at least 2X
“Buy and hold” ensures that you will experience the worst days as well as the best days of the market
Investing in individual stocks carries many more unknowns than aggregates like index ETFs (e.g., earnings surprises, analyst’s ratings)
Ron Rowland is a portfolio manager with Flexible Plan Investments, Ltd., a Registered Investment Advisor specializing in active management, located in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan.
He has been providing market commentary and active investment advice since 1991. He is the founder and editor of Invest With An Edge, a website and weekly newsletter providing free actionable ideas for ETFs, and the home of ETF Deathwatch.
Additionally, he is the Executive Editor of the All Star Investor newsletter (http://allstarinvestor.com), a highly regarded paid subscription investment service he started in 1991.
Now retired after forty years in financial services: a) analyzing corporate, bank, and sovereign risk, b) predicting bankruptcies and conducting commercial workouts, restructurings, and dissolutions, c) financing grain, soft commodities, oil, and the precious metal trade internationally, d) overseeing interbank finance and arbitrage, e) modeling and assessing the productivity of financial business units, f) directing aspects of M&A due diligence and post-acquisition integrations, g) serving as CIO of a major full-service broker-dealer, h) consulting including as interim management to global banks, investment advisors, trust companies, and alternative investment / hedge funds, and i) acting as managing general partner of a family farm. An MBA, educated in economics, who held various securities industry licenses (now expired). A donor and volunteer now focused on helping motivated, first-in-family, degree and certificate bound kids, achieve their education. Before investing, always consult with a competent investment advisor; if you don't have one, find one. (All my proceeds from Seeking Alpha go to Interfaith Outreach to support their food shelves and other programs.)
Ph.D. economics and Finance MBA finance
Globe Institute of Technology
Professor – Economics and Finance, Chair of Business Department
Colorado Technical University
Adjunct Professor – courses: Applied Managerial Finance (Graduate Level), Microeconomics, International Finance
European School Of Economics (New York Campus)
Adjunct Professor – Economics (Graduate Level) Courses taught: Microeconomics
Metropolitan College of New York
Adjunct Professor – Economics, Banking and Finance
Courses taught: History of Economic Thought, Macroeconomics, Money and Financial Institutions
World Gold Council
New York, NY
• Constructed econometric models relating to gold's role as a portfolio diversifier primarily aimed at institutional investors.
• Focused on models of the embedded optionality of gold in terms of its relation to other investment assets and economic fundamentals such as inflation and business conditions.
Founder and President, Internet Startup company with polling and investment advice websites.
Fundamental Portfolio Advisors, Inc.
Chief Portfolio Strategist – President
• At the predecessor company I started the New York Muni Fund, the first single state triple tax-free municipal bond fund.
• I took the fund from a one-employee start-up where I performed every function to a family of mutual funds which had five funds with total assets above $300 million and which did all of its distribution, accounting and transfer in-house.
• I wrote the initial prospectus and was responsible for managing the portfolios of what eventually grew to be a family of 5 mutual funds.
• Was chief economist for parent company’s brokerage affiliate.
• Involved on the buy-side in the development and monitoring of various structured municipal finance products. Worked with major issuers such as New York City and major investment banks such as Merrill Lynch and Goldman Sachs.
• Designed and submitted a U.S. Patent Application for a portfolio management system for mutual funds involving derivatives.
Note: In 1996 Fundamental Portfolio Advisors and myself were subject to civil litigation by the SEC which resulted in deregistration and a permanent bar from the securities industry.
A. Gary Shilling & Co.
Senior Economist – Vice President
Economic consulting, modeling and forecasting. Both macro and micro.
• Clients included: Emerson Electric, Bethlehem Steel, Castle & Cooke, Cooper Industries and the U.S. Department of Transportation.
• I was the author of the 1979 study commissioned by the U.S. Government Interstate Commerce Commission, which calculated the expected economic impact of trucking deregulation.
White, Weld & Co, Inc.
• White, Weld was the sixth largest investment banking and brokerage firm when Merrill Lynch bought it.
• Extensive work was done on the All-American Pipeline Proposal to tap the Alaskan Gas Reserves.
• The economics department of White, Weld formed A. Gary Shilling & Co. at the time of the Merrill Lynch merger.
American Stock Exchange
New York University
June 1978 Ph.D.
• Ph.D. dual field, economics and finance.
• Doctoral dissertation was in contingency claims (options) theory
June 1973 MBA with concentration in economics and finance
NYU Engineering School
June 1971 Bachelor of Science - Nuclear Engineering Tau Beta Pi
Analysis of the Embedded Inflation Optionality in Gold Prices. World Gold Council, 2000. New York, N.Y.
The Economic Impact of Trucking Deregulation. Interstate Commerce Commission, 1979, Washington D.C.
I am an individual investor and entrepreneur based in London, United Kingdom. My primary focus is on systematic trading strategies, low volatility investing and tactical asset allocation. I am also a founder a freely available portfolio risk analytics tool investspy.com.
Intrepid Leader at Maks Financial Services providing ongoing Financial Planning and Investment Advisory services. My firm and I simplify the lives of busy clients by providing ongoing financial planning and asset management. this is done by providing our clients customized, ongoing comprehensive financial planning, and customized investment advisory services tailored to the clients' needs. As a fiduciary, we have a legal obligation to put the needs and interests of our clients above our own. Specialties: fee based comprehensive financial planning, retirement planning, life insurance and protection planning.
Downtown Investment Advisory (DIA) is a Registered Investment Advisory firm based in New York that provides customized investment advisory services to individuals, charitable institutions and retirement plans. DIA currently has over $40 million under management. DIA specializes in creating custom fixed income portfolios with a core of individually selected bonds that we recommend be held to maturity. Other income assets, such as preferred stock and exchange traded debt, are also used to diversify an income portfolio. Depending on the needs and risk profile of clients, fixed income portfolios can target yields ranging from 3%-9% per annum.
DIA is licensed according to required securities regulations. DIA utilizes the services of both Charles Schwab and Interactive Brokers as a third party custodian. Clients of DIA will open and control an account at the third party custodian in their own name, and DIA nevers takes custody of client accounts.
DIA's investment manager, Salo Aizenberg, a graduate of Columbia Business School with an MBA in Finance, is a highly experienced finance and investment professional with 20 years of active investing in fixed income, equity, and alternative investments, having managed institutional portfolios exceeding $500 million.
Important disclaimer language for all articles published on Seeking Alpha, including premium Newsletter articles:
All articles published by DIA are intended as an information source for investors capable of making their own investment decisions. However, this information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decisions, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. High Yield bonds are not suitable for many investors and by definition are not Investment Grade bonds and therefore carry a much higher level of risk. High Yield bonds are subject to various risks including interest rate risk, credit risk, and market risk which could result in the total loss of the investment. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. We encourage readers to consult with independent financial advisors with respect to any investment in any security mentioned. The information upon which all articles are based is obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but has not been independently verified. Therefore, DIA cannot guarantee its accuracy. Information regarding a company or security may be obsolete by the time it is published on Seeking Alpha and investors must therefore independently verify updated information regarding a company or investment. Any opinions or estimates constitute the author's best judgment as of the date of publication, and are subject to change without notice. Despite best efforts to provide quality investment information to our readers, DIA does not accept any liability or responsibility for any loss resulting from investment decisions based on information in any article. Note that DIA does not get paid or receive compensation of any kind by any company or any third party for discussing a particular company or investment in any article.
Dr Jonathan Kinlay is the Head of Quantitative Trading at Systematic Strategies, LLC, a systematic hedge fund that deploys high frequency trading strategies using news-based algorithms.
Dr Kinlay, was the founder and General Partner of the Caissa Capital hedge fund, whose volatility arbitrage strategies were developed by Dr Kinlay’s investment research firm, Investment Analytics. Caissa, which managed $400M in assets, was ranked by FIMAT as the top performing fund in its class in 2004. Dr Kinlay went on to establish the Proteom Capital, whose statistical arbitrage strategies were based on pattern recognition techniques used in DNA sequencing. Dr Kinlay was formerly Global Head of Model Review at the US investment bank Bear Stearns.
Dr Kinlay holds a PhD in economics and has held positions on the faculty at New York University Stern School of Business, Carnegie Mellon and Reading Universities. Dr Kinlay is a regular conference speaker and writer on investment research, hedge fund investing and quantitative finance. Kinlay was a member of England’s chess team that won gold in the World Student Olympiad in Mexico in 1978. He is the son of Fleet Street editor James Kinlay and father of British actress Antonia Kinlay.
Further investment research and strategy ideas can be found in his blog at www.jonathankinlay.com .
I am currently a retired Aerospace Engineer. I am married with three children and eight grandchildren. I was born in San Francisco, CA in 1949 and moved to Newport News, VA in 1951 where I lived until I went to college. By God's grace, I received a B.S. degree from Virginia Tech (1972), a M.S. degree from Caltech (1973), and a M.A. - Biblical Studies degree from Birmingham Theological Seminary (2013). I worked at Pratt & Whitney (1973-1986) and CFD Research Corporation (1987-2008).
Now in retirement and trying to preserve my life savings, I currently have a strong interest in tactical asset allocation strategies, and have studied them extensively. I have developed a number of tactical strategies involving the periodic trading of ETFs and, more recently, mutual funds. These strategies have been backtested mainly using Portfolio Visualizer and ETFreplay software. The goal is to earn 10-15% annually with no negative years, and to have maximum drawdowns of less than 10%, preferably less than 5%. The strategies include purchasing a limited number of funds with the highest growth and lowest volatility, and minimizing risk using moving average, dual momentum, and risk parity methods. I have developed strategies for equity as well as bond assets.
Senior Portfolio Manager and individual investor who started in high school and has been at it ever since. I have an MBA and have earned the right to use the Chartered Financial Analyst designation. I have worked in the business for over 15 years. My specialties include fixed income closed-end funds for generating income during retirement, micro and small-cap value investing, and macro analysis.
Vishal Khandelwal is the founder of SafalNiveshak.com, a website dedicated to helping small investors become smart, independent, and successful in their stock market investing. He has 11+ years experience as a stock market analyst and investor, and 3+ years as an investing coach. Safal Niveshak, which Vishal started in 2011, is now a community of 12,000+ dedicated readers, and was recently ranked among the best value investing blogs worldwide. Over the past three years, Vishal has trained over 1,500 individual investors in the art of investing sensibly in the stock market, through his Workshops and online courses.
Michael Harris is a trader, book author, software program developer and blogger. He started developing advanced pattern recognition software for the benefit of position and swing traders in the late 1990s. In years past, Michael has also done work for a number of different financial firms, where he developed a bond portfolio optimization program and trading systems for commodities and stocks. Michael is also a well-known author. His first book “Short-Term Trading with Price Patterns” was published in 1999. His other two books “Stock Trading Techniques with Price Patterns” and “Profitability and Systematic Trading” were published in 2000 and 2008, respectively. His most recent book is "Fooled By Technical Analysis". Michael holds a Masters degree in Operations Research, with emphasis in forecasting and financial engineering and another Masters degree in Mechanical Engineering. Website: www.priceactionlab.com
Now a published author, I formerly spent 3 years overseeing algorithmic trading for the world's largest global hedge fund with over $100 billion AUM.
I bring the perspective and insight of institutional participants to the role of an individual investor, with a top-down investment style which focuses on smart asset allocation to grow capital in the long-term.
I specialize in macroeconomic commentary, asset allocation, and alternative investments: gold, volatility, Bitcoin, and peer-to-peer consumer loans.
HORAN Capital Advisors (http://www.horancapitaladvisors.com) is an SEC registered investment advisor that manages investment portfolios for individuals and institutions. Our firm utilizes a disciplined investing approach that should create wealth for our clients over time. Our investment bias is to invest in companies that generate a steady return over time, i.e., singles and doubles. This singles and doubles approach tends to lead to investments in higher quality dividend growth/cash flow growth companies. On the other hand, there are times when a company's stock price seems to be trading below its fair valuation. Short term gains are possible in these situations. I have been managing investment portfolios for individuals and institutions for over fifteen years and believe investing is like running a marathon and not a sprint. Taking the road less traveled, more often than not, leads to higher returns. Visit: The Blog of HORAN Capital Advisors at (http://disciplinedinvesting.blogspot.com/)
Follow me on Twitter: @NewConstructs
David is CEO of New Constructs (www.newconstructs.com), an independent research firm that leverages proprietary technology to find key insights from the Financial Footnotes of 10Ks and 10Qs. Having analyzed over 70,000 annual reports and their Financial Footnotes, New Constructs helps protect clients from the red flags/unknowns in SEC filings.
David is a distinguished investment strategist and corporate finance expert. He is a member of FASB's Investors Advisory Committee, and he is author of the Chapter “Modern Tools for Valuation” in The Valuation Handbook (Wiley Finance 2010).
David's insights into the markets and his stock picks have been popular with a wide variety of media outlets.
Please note that I do not read comments posted here, nor respond to messages here. I don't have the time. If you want my attention, you must seek it directly at my blog.
David J. Merkel, CFA — From 2003-2007, I was a leading commentator at the excellent investment website RealMoney.com (http://www.RealMoney.com). Back in 2003, after several years of correspondence, James Cramer invited me to write for the site, and now I write for RealMoney on equity and bond portfolio management, macroeconomics, derivatives, quantitative strategies, insurance issues, corporate governance, etc. My specialty is looking at the interlinkages in the markets in order to understand individual markets better.
I no longer contribute to RealMoney because my work duties have gotten larger, and I began this blog to develop a distinct voice with a wider distribution.
In 2008, I became the Chief Economist and Director of Research of Finacorp Securities (http://www.prnewswire.com/cgi-bin/stories.pl?ACCT=109&STORY=/www/story/02-08-2008/0004752449&EDATE=). Finacorp went into liquidation in June 2010, after which I decided to open my own asset management shop, Aleph Investments, LLC. I manage stock and bond portfolios for clients.
Until 2007, I was a senior investment analyst at Hovde Capital, responsible for analysis and valuation of investment opportunities for the FIP funds, particularly of companies in the insurance industry. I also managed the internal profit sharing and charitable endowment monies of the firm.
Prior to joining Hovde in 2003, I managed corporate bonds for Dwight Asset Management. In 1998, I joined the Mount Washington Investment Group as the Mortgage Bond and Asset Liability manager after working with Provident Mutual, AIG and Pacific Standard Life.
My background as a life actuary has given me a different perspective on investing. How do you earn money without taking undue risk? How do you convey ideas about investing while showing a proper level of uncertainty on the likelihood of success? How do the various markets fit together, telling us us a broader story than any single piece? These are the themes that I will deal with in this blog. I hold bachelor’s and master’s degrees from Johns Hopkins University.
In my spare time, I take care of our eight children with my wonderful wife Ruth. Visit this site: The Aleph Blog (http://alephblog.com/)
Author of Quantitative Investing, the Global Household Index service and the free weekly Market Timing Signals. Investor looking for profitable combinations of value and quality factors. Also involved in closed-end funds selection, tactical asset allocation and volatility trading. To ask information on my various model portfolios in stocks, ETFs and CEFs, click the link "send message". You will get a personal answer in your SeekingAlpha inbox usually within 24h.
PhD in computer science, Software Engineer, Civil Engineer, 20+ years working in various sectors and countries.
1- Authored three books on the subject of covered call writing.
2- Produced a 4-part DVD and CD Series based on the seminars presented
on the same subject.
3- Presented over 50 seminars during the past two years on the subject of stock
4- Filmed Speaker at the LIREIA Deal Panel Forum in 2006.
5- Featured Speaker (along with Than Merrill of A&E's Flip This House) at the
LIREIA December meeting.
6- Author over 200 journal articles published on my website (blog link) weekly on
the subject of the economy and stock investing in particular
7- 20 years of successful investing in the Stock Market (33% return in 2007).
8- Recently named Investor of the Month by David Lindahl, a world renowned
9- Speaker for The Learning Annex
10- Series 65- successful completion
11- Guest speaker on Danielle Hampson's Mind Your Bizness radio program
12- Guest speaker on Jordan Kimmel's VoiceAmerica Business Radio Program
1- Professional Level; General Dentist
2- Licensed Real Estate Salesperson
3- Licensed Certified Personal Trainer
4- A myriad of real estate and stock market classes and seminars
5- Series 65- Investment Advisor Rep
Mind Your Bizness Radio Show interview:
Reality Shares empowers investors by providing exchange-traded funds that seek to isolate the growth of dividends. Reality Shares' ETF, DIVY, invests primarily in listed index option contracts and seeks to return the expected dividends of Large Cap Securities.
For more information, visit www.realityshares.com.
Important disclosures: http://www.realityshares.com/socmed-guidelines/.
Named by Fortune as one of its "50 Great Investors". Acknowledged as Cash Flow From Operations (CFFO) expert by WSJ, Fortune, Forbes.com and Smartmoney.com after developing a CFFO algorithm that predicts bankruptcies for seemingly healthy large NYSE and NASDAQ traded companies.
In September 2007 Equities Magazine column predicted the 2008 collapses for all five of the U.S. major brokers including Lehman, Bear Stearns and Merrill Lynch. Wholesale sell recommendations for the five based on macro-analysis of brokerage industry's negative cash flow due to "sub-prime mortgage revenue".
Based on BOJ instituting a Negative Interest Rate Policy in early 2016, now predicting the global banking system will eventually crash unless negative rates are eradicated.
Developed a crash indicator (NIRP Crash Indicator) from an algorithm that he developed from conducting research on metrics of Crash of 2008,
Entered capital markets upon graduation from college in 1977. Broker, IPO banker, analyst and futures trader during career.
Founded: TrophyInvesting.com (2016), Dynastywealth.com (2014), Onlinefinancialsector.com (2007), StockDiagnostics.com (2002).
Currently: Analyst for Dynasty Wealth (focused on finding and covering disruptor companies that have 100X to 1,000X potential within 5 years).
Passion is recommending shorts for hyped companies that have inherently flawed negative CFFO models. Does not trade the markets and is instead a buy and holder.
I am an early career scientific researcher who has taken a strong interest in investing, both for achieving my personal financial goals as well as serving as an alternative conduit where critical and logical thinking are rewarded. I write articles to share ideas, refine my own thinking and invite discussion from the astute readership of Seeking Alpha.
For a better Seeking Alpha experience on your phone, please consider viewing the website on your browser (request desktop site for full functionality) instead of through the Seeking Alpha app.
Within the academic field, I have a career total of 87 articles and 5 book chapters, 2,600 total citations and an h-index of 31 (metrics from Google Scholar).
I have been helping startups and investors understand the value of emergent business models in the technology, media, and telecommunications industries. In my own personal portfolio, I have been looking for income opportunities and companies with deep value and strong growth potential whose value propositions are misunderstood by the broader market. I do this by an in-depth study of the markets where these companies operate, marrying that to traditional securities analysis to uncover hidden value and under-appreciated growth.
Brad Zigler's stints as a contributing editor for the Corporate Communications Broadcast Network, the Journal of Indexes, and CRB Trader set the stage for his role as managing editor of Hard Assets Investor and later as alternative investments editor of Registered Rep. magazine, the most highly subscribed publication for financial advisors.
Brad's feature articles have appeared in Registered Rep., Mutual Funds, Financial Planning, Financial Advisor, Futures and Ticker magazines, TheStreet.Com and MarketWatch Web sites, and in journals published by Institutional Investor. After heading up marketing, research and education at the Pacific Exchange's (now NYSE Arca's) option marketplace and Barclays Global Investors, Brad became a financial correspondent for the European Press Network, and a Public Broadcasting System/National Public Radio affiliate. He continues his work as a financial research and communications consultant for a number of private and public organizations.
I am a retired professor, a retired investment adviser, and currently a private investor and full-time tennis pro. I bought my first stock in a custodial account in 1958. I am a student of history, particularly military and economic/market history. The intellectual passions of my retirement years are markets, mathematics, and quantum theory. I like to travel. I served in Vietnam.
Clark Capital Management Group is an independent investment advisory firm based in Philadelphia, PA. The firm was founded by Harry J. Clark, Chairman and CEO in 1986.
We partner with experienced and knowledgeable financial advisors, supporting them with the tools necessary to help clients achieve their long term goals. We place an emphasis on risk management, because understanding and managing risk is critical to our clients' investment success.
For over a quarter of a century, Clark Capital has provided sophisticated strategies designed to enhance, preserve and transfer wealth for affluent individuals and families. As an independent boutique investment advisory firm, we have no internal conflicts that influence advice. Your objectives become ours. To assist you in maintaining and growing wealth over generations is the driving force behind our Navigator® Investment Solutions.
Our highly tenured, dedicated Investment Team constantly monitors the markets and exhaustively researches a number of investment vehicles and techniques available to serve clients' needs.
We deliver experienced investment management so that financial advisors can dedicate their time to planning, monitoring and adjusting clients' strategies to accommodate their changing needs.
Day trader whose strategy is based on arbitrages in preferred stocks and closed end funds.My group consists of 10 traders.We trade every single preferred stock or closed end fund that provides an arbitrage opportunity. Our research includes stocks that most of the people have not even heard. We have developed our own statistical tools that make most of our arbitrages statistically proven. As a trader I don't just analyse , I trade my analysis and pay the price when I am wrong.That is the main reason I respect opinions only when backed by taking the risk of being wrong.Words or opinions mean nothing in this business and the only person who is right about a certain situation is the one who makes money out of it.
Investing has been my hobby for many years. I am an engineer in Silicon Valley.
I am not an investment adviser. None of my writings should be interpreted as investment advice. Please get an investment adviser and do your own due diligence before investing.
I am a full-time investor and trader for the past nine years. I use a combination of fundamental analysis and technical analysis for my investments. I use a combination of value and growth for investments and use momentum or chart patterns for my short-term trading.
Nicholas Vardy is editor of The Global Guru, a weekly free e-letter; the monthly Alpha Investor Letter; and two weekly trading services, Bull Market Alert and Alpha Algorithm for Washington DC-based Eagle Financial Publications. He has been a columnist for TheStreet.com and currently writes for Dow Jones Markewatch. He has been cited in Wall Street Journal, Financial Times, Forbes, Investors Business Daily,Yahoo! Finance, theStreet.com, and MSN Money Central. He has appeared on CNBC Asia, Fox Business News and CNN International. Vardy is a graduate of Stanford and Harvard Law School, a former Fulbright scholar, and a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA).
Adam Grimes brings nearly two decades of experience in the industry as a trader, analyst and system developer. His trading experience covers all major asset classes–futures, currencies, stocks, options, and other derivatives, and the full range of timeframes from very short term scalping to constructing portfolios for multi-year holding periods. Adam holds an MBA from The Ohio State University, and is currently Chief Investment Officer of Waverly Advisors, LLC, a boutique research and advisory firm for which he writes daily market commentary and trade notes. Prior to joining Waverly Advisors, Adam held the positions of VP of Quantitative System Development at Level Partners, LLC, Senior Analyst and Trader at MBF Asset Management on the New York Mercantile Exchange, and Chief Technical Strategist at SMB Capital. Adam is the author of The Art & Science of Technical Analysis: Market Structure, Price Action & Trading Strategies, published in 2012 by John Wiley & Sons. Adam is also a contributing author for several publications on quantitative finance and related topics, and is much in demand as a speaker and lecturer on the topics of technical trading, risk management, and system development.
Adam is also an accomplished musician and a classically-trained French chef.