jayminho

How Low Can the Dollar Go?

have you ever heard about a theory called "the earth is not the center of the universe" ??

this also apply to america son.
soon, you may find out that there other countries in the planet with potential and growing, internal market buying power.

now,
lets not be foolish, 1.3 billion chinese, 200 million brazilians and 1.1 billion indians will not become middle class(and start buying) overnight, just like china will not dump USD overnight.
so, for sure, I DO BELIEVE USD HAS A SHORT TERM REBOUND.
but look beyond, 20 years from now, maybe, in a multi-polarized world, US may not be the center of everything. no doubt, it wont lose its status as a super power, however, no longer a mega-power.


On Sep 14 05:38 AM globalview99 wrote:

> The so-called fall of the Dollar is a head fake sucking in easy money
> who think that because of the huge deficits, the US will need to
> ratchet up interest rates to attract foreign purchases of US debt.
>
>
> But that's not going to happen because the Japanese CB as well as
> other export-driven economies CB's (Germany, China, and other Asean
> Group exporters) upon looking over the precipice of continued falling
> exports (to the US) and unacceptable high unemployment, will intervene
> and buy up Treasury notes (thereby increasing exchange rates and
> strenghtening the USD) just to raise the buying power of US consumers
> which will raise their level of exports and keep people employed.
> It's a matter of politics and survival; and you can bet on it.<br/>
>
> Just remember, the US consumer generates some 16% of global trade;
> if the Dollar remains weak and US consumers cut back on their buying
> (which has already happened) the economies of nations that export
> to the US are likewise affected. So given the choice of sitting
> on USD reserves and watching their employment rolls dramatically
> fall and pople on the streets demanding jobs and bailouts to pay
> mortgages, foreign governements will buy up US T Bills at low rates
> to keep the economy humming.
>
> Conversely, the US government is delighted with a weak dollar as
> a natural barrier for US consumers to buy US goods rather than foreign
> goods. So the US is really in the catbird seat with a win win scenario
> going forward.

How Come the Economic Stimulus Isn't Working?

so what should people do ?
spend like crazy mofos ?
wait.. but the banks dont lend anymore..
(so again..)
what should people do ?

Dow 6,000, Part II

dude..
they guy is a damn etf trader.. what do you expect from him ? he got to sell his fish..
like a messager of apocalipse, he now says all is doomed and advertises the bear leveraged etfs.. pretty soon he will be doing the inverse..

anyway..
what can i say about a guy who gets more comments on his chick than on his article ?!

Is Gold a Hedge on Uncertain Dollar Outlook?

you gotta a point for sure.
lets see what happens, as history (and graphics) show us. there is always a retracement, sooner or later, this will happen. summer ? mid.2010 ? dont know.. but will.. then gold comes strong, just not as strong as those stupid apocaliptical messengers perpetuating on youtube, and every mass media avialable channel. then.. we go back to normal. it has always been like that. why this time it will be different ?

anyway, as said before, good analysis on gold.

Why the Dow Is Headed to 6000

son.. you are tripping.. you are on a bad, bad trip.
so much crap you said.

hopefully, i wasnt the only one to notice this, a bunch of others, above me, share the same thoughts, maybe, stick to your brunnete girl, she is pretty cute. but quit the dope.

How Debt Destroys Solvency

america is doomed.