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  • Possible NYSE Euronext Options Trade [View article]
    Hi Paul
    Thanks for your articles. As an alternative, have you ever considered calendar or diagonal spreads to synthesise a similar result without the downside risk if the stock drops significantly. e.g. in this case buy the Jan'10 $20 put and sell the May'09 $21 put, rolling this position forward.

    Advantages of your strategy
    - collect dividends
    - lower transaction costs
    - profit maximised if stock closes anywhere above strike

    Advantage of spread strategy
    - lower initial capital requirements and downside risk.

    I have had some success with the latter strategy ... the cash / cash returns can be quite good eg 75%+ in 9-12 months.
    Apr 29 04:04 am |Rating: +3 0 |Link to Comment
  • Zinc Producer Horsehead Appears Very Undervalued [View article]
    ZincOx listed in London, also recycles EAF dust, projects at a different stage of development.
    Mar 18 04:19 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • BHP Is Best of the Miners - Barron's  [View article]
    Its a great co, but a short at this price IMO. Outperformance has been massive due to operational performance, low leverage.

    But now cum a slew of earnings downgrades due to lower commodity prices.

    I think It may trade at $A25 in the next 3 months (about -20% from current levels).
    Feb 08 01:58 am |Rating: +3 0 |Link to Comment
  • Interactive Brokers: Navigating Turbulent Waters [View article]
    Its an interesting play and a better business than its peers IMO. The operating margins are phenomenal.

    From a customer perspective I see the advantages as low commisions, safety (as pointed out by James Davis, automatic closout is great if you do not want to take a haircut from your broker's risk mangement weaknesses) and the breadth of instruments traded.

    Couple of points:
    1. like its peers, it will always be de-rated in a meltdown / scare (fears of counterparty risk etc).
    2. Extreme volatility (VIX > 50) is negative for these guys (read the conference call transcript).
    3. Freefloat of 10% is a negative.

    Jan 27 07:57 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Three Aussie Banks with 10%+ Yields [View article]
    I believe these entities are all overpriced. Australian residential real estate is not far off its highs, and there can only be more bad news on corporate exposures.
    Jan 26 08:55 am |Rating: +1 0 |Link to Comment
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