frankie cooper

Terra Industries: An Interesting Fertilizer Play

"When he said that TNH's dividend was going to be reduced the stock was at $141" - huh? and that is significant because.....???


"Now it is at $112. I'd say people would have done well to heed his advice" - yes, because getting paid out 16% per share REALLY sucks.....

what he did with those prior articles was do a lot of fancy numbers crunching that was WRONG. plain wrong. significantly wrong. the authors deserve praise when they write good stuff, but equally deserve to be chastised when they get it wrong (especially when they are a bit smarmy about it....).

one more thing - that theory about TNH rising considerably into earnings: no longer true. or maybe this qtr is an anomaly.....

Terra Industries: An Interesting Fertilizer Play

let's see, you said in your last article about TNH: "the bottom line is that unsuspecting, uninformed shareholders are going to get a nasty surprise when the next dividend is declared."
the number that you gave readers as the "nasty surprise" was 30% LOWER than the declared distribution. what i find HILARIOUS is that you still have the gall to write in your article:"I warned that unsuspecting TNH unit holders may not get the payout they were expecting."
ummmmmmm.....yeah i guess you did warn, but you were WAAAAAAYYYYYYYYY off. i guess 57 cents lower isn't quite as DRAMATIC as the 1.63 you said was going to drop off the distribution. did you think that no one would read your previous articles and call you on your shoddy predictions (or at least fuzzy math)?

a lesson, people: the folks who write these articles are not PROS. take their articles as fact, and try to implement the ideas into your trading/investing and you will get exactly what you paid......nothing. (in this particular case, less than nothing).
many authors write this stuff to inform, but many let self esteem get in the way and the desire to inform morphs into the desire to massage their own egos. i am sure that tim started off with the best of intentions, but he let that desire to "tell-you-so" get in the way and fell FLAT on his face......


better luck next time, tim.

:)