MNSL

Rough Economic Seas Toss Many Boats, Including Oil Price

Excellent article.

You have more facts than top economist and analysts. Really stock options and higher corporate compensation are part of current bubble.

$35 Oil: Steve Forbes Was Off by Two Years

Excellent article.

Steve Forbes is correct. Most top oil analysts, economists couldn’t forecast oil prices correctly.

They said oil is going to $ 200. Gold will go to $2000. Now oil is back to $35. Can we believe? I think it will go to $20 sooner than later.

Next in line there are many inflated assets and commodities to fall further. With wealth destruction and demand destruction how can we expect higher prices for assets?

In a way it is good for consumers. It is also good for many industries who struggling to survive. Inflation will come down. Consumer purchasing power will increase.

This is good lesson for all types of bubble funds who invested in hot sectors, derivatives, real estate and highly risk credit and interest derivatives etc, such as Sovereign funds, Top banks, Insurance giants, hedge funds etc. Really they have destroyed other people’s money, wealth, pension funds and retirement’s funds etc.

Could not they invest in some productive industries instead?

Which Way for the Prices of Oil and Gold?

You are right. This is an excellent article. Now it is time to leave the commodity mareket. Very soon inflation will come down. Some companies, sectors and industries will benefit most.

Time to Short Both Long-Term Bonds and Crude

I think we should sell oil stocks and other commodity related stocks now. This is the greatest period to make profit by unloading your existing investment in commodities. We had more than 7 years of bull market for commodity. We are in the final stage of current commodity bull market.

All hot commodity indexes including oil index will come down soon.

Very soon we will see collapse in the commodity market similar to property market. We are in the bubble stage now.

Oil prices will come down sooner than later.

This is the time to short all hot sectors such as oil and other hot commodities.

1,238 Billion Barrels of Oil Reserves: Is This an Oil Price Bubble?

Yes oil is in bubble stage now. Only few intelligent people like you know the correct position of the oil market. Thank you for publishing this article and educating people.

We do not know much about derivatives, complex instruments involved in the oil futures market. Further we get all types of players in the market now. They play paper trading almost 24 hours per day. On top of that speculators and new players also very active now.

Very soon there will be burst in the commodity market together with oil.

Already people are converting their vehicles to LPG gas, replacing their cars to scooters and bicycles, using pool cars to work and more careful now in managing their fuels through out the world. Airlines are reducing capacity and travel routes. Some factories and plants are finding difficult to run their operations and planning to shut down soon. People are unwilling to pay current price for oil. If that is so will they pay $200 dollar per barrel. No way. If it happens not only there will be total collapse in the oil market but also in other sectors.

In addition Saudi Arabia is going t announce increase of oil production in next meeting.
Even these people have realized higher oil price going to hit them back hard in the long run. US Dollar will go up in next 12 months and even Fed will increase interest rate.
Currently we see rapid rise in some commodities. Similarly there will be rapid decline in these commodities in next 12 months. You can also see volatility in the market. What all these meant for?

So instead of going oil barrel to $200 it will come down below $70 a barrel of oil very soon.

Time to time people bring different theory to mislead people. In 1980s also they talked about peak oil. We know what happened to oil market then.

Still there is no scarcity in oil as such and can produce oil to meet demand.

Is Oil a Bubble? Part Two

I partly agree with your article.

Definitely we see speculation in the oil market in addition to demand factor. Everybody into commodity now. We know what happened to all types of bubbles in the history. Very soon oil bubble will burst.

U.S. Market Setting Up for a 2nd Half Rally

I agree with above article.

Definitely we will see turn around in the US stock market in the 2nd half. US dollar will appreciate surprise to many while tumbling commodity prices. Inflation will come down from present level.

Now time to leave commodity oriented countries and put money in the USA and other promising stock markets worldwide to get above average returns from 2nd half rally.

Crude Oil Prices: Bears Will Soon Win Out

Excellent article. I completely agree with this article.Yes we will soon see bear market in oil. Anything go up has to come down. History has proved many times.

Oil Bubble? Nope

I think we must not keep too much hope on reports now. Some expected weakness in commodity market in April 2008. It did not happen.

History has proved no asset has appreciated continuously for ever. We had tulip mania, gold mania, technological mania, real estate mania, art and commodity mania time to time. We no what happened to those asset classes and many became bankrupt.

Commodities are cyclical in nature. On the other hand when prices go up their will be less demand. So automatically prices will adjust later on. Same thing is happened to stock market. When it developes into bubble stage it will burst accordingly. Always few intelligent investors are correct when we compare with market crowd. Commodity market is in bubble stage now. Almost everybody talking about commodity now. Further we can see more volatility now.

We are in the last stage of commodity bull market. Therefore what should we do now? We must take advantage of present prices and we must try to sell whenever there is a rally. When everybody tries to sell market will crash. Some investors are planning to short market now. We must remember some points everybody wants to sell to make money. When others sell in market crash we must buy and we must sell when everybody is chasing commodity. As media highlight there is a no shortage as such at the moment. Speculation has gone to the roof. So we must be very careful in investing commodity now.