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  • Headwinds Index: How Long Can Financials Outperform Energy? [View article]
    Could the regulators be saying, in effect:
    "The hedge funds have to short something, lets give them something to short, lets make it impossible to short financials thru a rules change, and give them no other choice."
    Hint: Take a look at the 1 year charts of commodities vs. financials and see which one looks like its time to sell.....we're only 2 weeks into it....
    Jul 23 23:02 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • We're Nearing Crunch Time for Oil [View article]
    Some observations:
    On 5/2 Nymex Volume on the June 08 Crude oil Contract was
    277,973 ( I assume that is contracts). At 1,000 bbls per contract
    that is 277.97 Million bbls. that day, other days in the last weeks have had similar volumes.
    Global oil consumption is 85 Million bbls. per day.
    US consumption is 20 million bbls per day.
    Why would the US futures mkt. have to trade over 3 times the actual consumption of the underlying for the globe, and over 13 times the US consumption on a given day?
    I'm not even considering add'l volume on foreign exchanges and OTC trade in oil.
    US airlines (big users) ex-Southwest dont even hedge, btw who does hedge? FEDEX? UPS? JB Hunt? YRC? CSX? Doesnt seem like they do come earnings time.
    If my above assumptions are correct. I have to also assume the big volume is from speculation.
    $8700 to go long 1,000 bbls. (~$115,000 value) for NYMEX.

    I am a non-professional trying to improve my understanding of this oil issue. If any of my assumptions are incorrect I would appreciate feedback.
    Thx
    May 04 12:55 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
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