Dale Roberts is an Investment Funds Associate with Tangerine Investment Funds Limited, a subsidiary of Tangerine Bank wholly owned by Scotiabank. My articles are for information purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or an offer or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. These articles are my personal opinion and are not those of Tangerine Bank or its subsidiaries. Remember past performance is not guaranteed and may not be repeated. Investment strategies are not suitable for everyone and you should always conduct your own research or speak to a financial advisor.
Peter Way Associates is the only known provider of the price range forecasts of widely-held, actively traded stocks derived from the hedging activities of market-making [MM] firms as they balance big-$-fund sellers and buyers in large block trades. The price ranges offer explicit downside exposure forecasts not commonly found in publicly published investment analyses.
This is all forward-looking data, based on what the MMs will pay for protection against coming unwanted price change while temporarily committed firm capital is exposed to market risks. It is available by modest subscription cost at blockdesk.com.
The behavioral analysis involved has been performed daily since Y2K, now on over 3,000 stocks, ETFs, and market indexes. That has built an actuarial history of how market prices have subsequently behaved following several million price range forecasts, issue by issue.
That data provides a qualitative backdrop to current forecasts in terms of odds of profitable positions, size of prospective gains, credibility of forecasts, and worst-case price drawdown exposure experiences.
Peter F. Way is a veteran Chartered Financial Analyst, having taken and passed the CFA Institute’s required 3 examinations in the first years they were given, 40+ years ago.
Armed with BS in Economics from the Wharton School and an MBA degree from Harvard Business School, he has managed staffs of dozens of Investment Researchers and Quantitative Analysts for the nation’s largest bank, arbitraged index options for NYSE Specialists, and managed portfolios of hundred-million-dollar equity investments for Fortune 100 corporate pension funds and non-profit endowments.
He has been elected President of professional Investment Analyst Societies in San Diego and New York City and has served on the editorial boards of the Financial Analysts Journal and the CFA Digest. He has spoken at numerous schools and professional meetings.
Sy Harding founded Asset Management Research Corporation in 1988 for the purpose of providing stock market and economic research to institutions and serious investors. Harding’s engineering background, coupled with his experience in operating high-tech businesses through numerous economic cycles, made it natural that the research involves technical analysis and charting, as well as analysis of the economic fundamentals that affect markets and individual stocks.
The firm publishes its research on its website at www.StreetSmartReport.com.
Harding is frequently ranked highly in the ‘Top Ten Market Timers in the U.S.’, and is quoted frequently in the financial media.
He wrote the timely 1999 book Riding the Bear – How to Prosper in the Coming Bear Market, which accurately predicted the 2000-2002 bear market. It also introduced Sy’s remarkable Seasonal Timing Strategy, which more than doubled the performance of the S&P 500 and Nasdaq in the nine years since, without a single down year even in the serious 2000-2002 bear market.
He has a new book out ‘How to Beat the Market the Easy Way’, which reveals several new seasonal timing strategies, from short-term to long-term, which have a history of out-performing the market, while exposing investors to less than 50% of market risk.
Bespoke Investment Group provides some of the most original content and intuitive thinking on the Street. Founded by Paul Hickey and Justin Walters, formerly of Birinyi Associates and creators of the acclaimed TickerSense blog, Bespoke offers multiple products that allow anyone, from institutions to the most modest investor, to gain the data and knowledge necessary to make intelligent and profitable investment decisions. Along with running their Think B.I.G. finance blog, Bespoke provides timely investment ideas through its Bespoke Premium (http://bespokepremium.com/) subscription service and also manages money (http://bespokepremium.com/mm) for high net worth individuals.
Visit: Bespoke Investment Group (http://bespokeinvest.com/)
Acting Man has been named after the title of the first chapter of Ludwig von Mises' book "Human Action" - the best treatise on economics ever written. The blog's main author is Pater Tenebrarum, an independent analyst who has been involved with financial markets for 34 years and is writing economic and market analyses for independent research organizations and a European hedge fund consultancy. Acting Man presents articles on the markets and the economy, a mixture of commentary on current events as well as economic theory and history, mainly from an Austrian School of Economics viewpoint. As more authors have joined the site, we have begun to broaden our palette a bit, but our orientation remains the same: pro-free market, anti-state, pro peace.
Back in the deep forests of the southern Adirondacks after a six month, 9000 miles bicycle tour. When was the last time YOU went on a six month vacation that cost you about $100 a week. Most of that was for food; and I STILL MANAGED to trim down to 175lbs.Healthy and happy here, ready to get back to the market and writing for SA.
Now you know how I can live on an income most of you call pocket change. Put me in the bottom 1% of Seeking Alpha readers and most certainly contributors. Nothing like hanging out with loggers to cut expenses.
What a great way to avoid the carping on Wall Street. If I read another article about how the market is in a bubble, I shall pull out my hair...which is difficult because I have a shaved head.
Seriously though, I am a tried, true, and original Investment Biker. I've already toured in Europe, Asia, North and South America (see my website below) so I have about 200,000 cycling miles under my belt. It's been a while since I've done a long tour so starting this spring of 2015 I'm hittin' the road with my 28 speed Fuji Touring bike and riding for as long as I want. (Sorry about the Jap bike for all you Harley guys). Think about it...since I usually 'wild camp' in the forests for nothing, my only real expenses are food and some routine maintenance. I cover those expenses by using the monthly options cycle to generate income from calls, puts, or spreads of various sorts. So while you Seeking Alpha trendies are sitting in front of your screens all day, I'll be out riding in the Sierra, the Cascades, the Rockies, the Appalachians, the Catskills, the Adirondacks, the Green and White Mountains...and thats just this summer!
All i need to keep an eye on the markets are a small Grundig AM/FM/Shortwave radio (go to hell you Sirius guys!) and a Netbook for trading and fun when I can get internet access...which last time I looked was everywhere.
Enjoy the bull market which started in Summer of 2009 and should run for a few more years. Ignore these 'stuck in a rut guys' and Obamanazis. Between lower energy prices from natural gas frackomania, lower medical costs and longer lifespans from bioengineering marvels just coming down the pike, and the eventual collapse of slave labor kleptocracies like China (and Chicago), the outlook for stocks and capitalism is as strong as its ever been.
When not cycling I am a self employed stock trader and military/political analyst. Live in the US now, lived throughout Asia (Korea, Japan, Russia, Pakistan, India, SE asia) in the 1990s and early 2000s. Statistics and forecasting, using market based socioeconomic data, are my specialty. Sometimes I am an adjunct college professor, teaching statistics, some finance courses, and earth/environmental science classes online.
I'll try to submit SA articles from time to time but I enjoy READING the wisdom of many of you writers (thanks to many of you!). Maybe I can visit some of you along the way.
Chris Ciovacco is the founder and CEO of Ciovacco Capital Management (CCM), an independent money management firm serving individual investors nationwide. The thoroughly researched and backtested CCM Market Model answers these important questions: (1) How much should we allocate to risk assets?, (2) How much should we allocate to conservative assets?, (3) What are the most attractive risk assets?, and (4) What are the most attractive conservative assets?
Chris is an expert in identifying the best ETFs from a wide variety of asset classes, including stocks, bonds, commodities, and precious metals. The CCM Market Model compares over 130 different ETFs to identify the most attractive risk-reward opportunities.
Chris graduated summa cum laude from The Georgia Institute of Technology with a co-operative degree in Industrial and Systems Engineering. Prior to founding Ciovacco Capital Management in 1999, Mr. Ciovacco worked as a Financial Advisor for Morgan Stanley in Atlanta for five years earning a strong reputation for his independent research and high integrity. While at Georgia Tech, he gained valuable experience working as a co-op for IBM (1985-1990). During his time with Morgan Stanley, Chris received extensive training which included extended stays in NYC at the World Trade Center.
His areas of expertise include technical analysis and market model development. CCM’s popular weekly technical analysis videos on YouTube have been viewed over 700,000 times. Chris’ years of experience and research led to the creation of the thoroughly backtested CCM Market Model, which serves as the foundation for the management of separate accounts for individuals and businesses.
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I'm a value investor focused on buying companies trading below the intrinsic value.
I've a back ground in engineering & finance. I'm also a Chartered Financial Analyst. I did my MBA from Emory University's Goizueta School of Business
Tom Madell, Ph.D., is the publisher of Mutual Fund/ETF Research Newsletter, a free newsletter which began publication in 1999. It has become one of the most popular mutual fund/ETF newsletters on the internet, as shown on the Google Directory page for Mutual Funds News and Media Newsletter websites.
His site has been named as one of the "Top 12 Investment Newsletters Focusing on Mutual Funds" by mutualfunds.com, an important fund information provider. Also, recently his Newsletter was recognized as one of 5 expert mutual fund resources worth following offering free, and, in its case, particularly "unbiased, useful, and original advice" at http://fundreference.com/articles/2015/172/10-mutual-fund-experts-worth-following/
He is also a researcher/writer/investor whose articles have appeared on hundreds of websites, including the Wall Street Journal, USA Today, Morningstar and in the international media.
His articles have been among the most popular among those posted on the Morningstar.com website by non-Morningstar employed contributors.
His Newsletter's Model Portfolios have an outstanding long-standing record of frequently outperforming the major market indices. His complete articles and Model Portfolios can be accessed at http://funds-newsletter.com
David White is a software/firmware/marketing professional and a long time investor. He has worked in the networking field, the semiconductor equipment field, the mainframe computer field, and the pharmaceutical/scientific instrumentation field. He has bachelor's degrees in bioresource sciences and biochemistry from U.C. Berkeley. He is a former Ph.D. student in biochemistry. He has done significant graduate work in EECS and business at Stanford (through SITN) and UC Santa Cruz. He was awarded a Certificate in Advanced Software Systems (about 1/3 of an MS in EECS) by the Stanford Computer Science Department. He also took most of Stanford's undergraduate Computer Science curriculum.
Vahan Janjigian is Chief Investment Officer at Greenwich Wealth Management, LLC, an SEC registered investment advisor. He previously served as Chief Investment Strategist at Forbes Media, LLC. He has served on the finance faculties of several universities. Vahan is the author of several books and numerous research papers published in academic journals.
Craig Brockie is a contrarian investment advisor in Beverly Hills, who provides wealth management services to high net worth clients. He prefers to bill his clients solely based on performance, getting paid only for results.
Cited by Barron's as one of the top financial websites to visit on the weekend, Financial Sense (www.financialsense.com) provides educational resources to the broad public audience through a daily podcast, editorials, current news and resource links on salient financial market issues. Begun in 1985 as a local talk radio program, Financial Sense Newshour (www.financialsense.com/financial-sense-newshour) is a weekly webcast with host Jim Puplava and top financial thinkers. Writing staff of Financial Sense includes: Jim Puplava, Chris Puplava, Ryan Puplava, and Cris Sheridan.
Nothing I write should be considered investment advice. Only you can decide if any specific financial asset, security, allocation, opinion, idea, etc. is best for your financial portfolio.
Author of two books, available here, Options Strategies Every Investor Should Know and The 5 Fundamentals of Building a Retirement Portfolio (both available in paperback and eBook).
Eric Parnell, CFA, is the Founder and Director of Gerring Capital Partners. Gerring Capital is a registered investment advisory firm seeking attractive returns opportunities emphasizing value, quality and risk control. Eric also publishes The Universal premium service on Seeking Alpha targeting winning strategies in bear and bull markets across the asset class universe. Gerring Capital implements these strategies for its investors and then Eric discusses them on The Universal. Eric is also a Visiting Instructor at Ursinus College in the Department of Business and Economics. Prior to founding Gerring in 2005, Eric was the Director of Investment Communications at SEI Investments and an Economist at Moody’s Analytics.
Chief Market Strategist at www.buysellshort.net. Learn how to make a living trading small and midcap stocks
Additional Disclaimer: I may buy and sell any positions mentioned in any article at any time.
Fundamental value investor that understands and utilizes technical entry and exits to add value. 15 years experience as an investor. Specializing in Energy Sector, Value Strategies, Hedge Fund Long/Short Equity Strategies, Small and Mid Capitalization stocks.
Follow me on StockTwits: http://stocktwits.com/LSValue
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Friedrich is the name given to our algorithm for analyzing companies that trade on the global stock markets. In creating Friedrich we concentrated on analyzing each company’s Main Street operations through various established ratios, along with our own unique ratios that we developed over the last 30 years. What we came up with is a final "Main Street" price per share based on Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP), which is a framework of accounting standards, rules and procedures defined by the professional accounting industry, which has been adopted by nearly all publicly traded U.S. companies. We feel that our Main Street price result is what each company would need to trade at in order to be attractive to a businessperson on Main Street looking to buy at a bargain.
Since the only constant in the universe is change, the results for each company fluctuate by varying degrees. No company is an island unto itself, but each operates in a world of constant change and at times in areas where Chaos is the norm. By analyzing a company’s Main Street operations over time, Friedrich is able to give the potential investor a decade long analysis (opinion) as well as offering a Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) analysis (opinion), as well. Thus our readers will not only get as close to a real time view of operations on Main Street as is possible, but then can measure the consistency of the company’s operations over time to determine if s/he should invest or not.
Through our Friedrich algorithm we can analyze ten years of Balance Sheet, Income Statement and Cash Flow Statement data for each company all at once and generate one final result in seconds. Friedrich was designed to be ultra-conservative and thus will cut zero slack to any company under analysis and will do so with zero emotion. Companies must be exceptional in order to get an attractive Main Street valuation and the ideal investments according to our backtesting are the ones that have been consistent over time.
By being so ultra conservative Friedrich is designed to identify bargains that Wall Street investors may have overlooked. Companies shares may trade on the stock market but the companies themselves operate on Main Street, so Friedrich is designed to generate a Main Street price per share first and only then does he go to Wall Street and see the price for which Benjamin Graham’s “Mr. Market” is offering the shares.
Ron Hiram currently manages investment portfolios and assists earlier stage companies in their capital raising efforts. He served as Chief Executive Officer of Cellnet Solutions, Ltd., a supplier of remotely managed networks of public wireless terminals providing voice as well as value-added data services in developing countries, from April 2008 until March 2010. From 2003 to May 2008, Mr. Hiram was a Managing Partner of Eurofund 2000 L.P., a venture capital fund focused on Israeli-related companies in the telecommunications, information technology and microelectronic spheres. Previously, from 2001-2002, Mr. Hiram co-headed TeleSoft Partners' investment activities in Israel. TeleSoft Partners is a Silicon Valley venture capital fund focusing on companies developing telecommunication-related technologies. Between1994-2000, Mr. Hiram served as Managing Director and Partner at Soros Fund Management LLC ("Soros"), an international hedge fund in New York, devoting the bulk of his time to private equity investments. Prior to joining Soros, Mr. Hiram worked at Lehman Brothers for thirteen years (also in New York), most recently serving as Managing Director of a workout and restructuring group. Mr. Hiram has served on the boards of directors of companies publicly listed in the U.S., including Ulticom, Inc. since January 2000 and Comverse Technology, Inc. from 1985-1986 and from 2001-2006 (including as chairman of the board from May 2006 to December 2006). Mr. Hiram also served on the board of TASE listed E. Wardinon Ltd. (2005-2007) and on the boards of numerous privately held companies. Mr. Hiram received an M.B.A. from Columbia University in 1981 and a B.Comm. from the University of Natal, Durban, South Africa, in 1979.