I worked in New York's financial sector for almost exactly 20 years, mostly as a healthcare analyst (drugs, biotech, and medical devices), but also as an assistant research director, portfolio manager, and options strategist. My last formal job had me in charge of Value Line's premium priced "Select" and "Special Situation" products. The former highlights the company's top stock pick of each month and the latter introduces relatively small companies. I quit that job in June, 2009 for reasons that a dozen or so confidentiality agreements preclude my discussing. In September of that year, I launched 3DimensionalResearch.com (3DR), which allows me to continue doing what I was doing previously.
I am a strong believer in maximum transparency, in both personal and business relationships. So, in that vein:
A google search will show that my former employer sued 3DR and me in November, 2009 for copyright infringement, hot news misappropriations, and the proverbial kitchen sink. Although a search won't show this, unfortunately, I represented myself in a federal courtroom in December and, in accordance with the judge's instructions, the case was settled in a matter of minutes.
Additional Disclosure: 3DR has been a financial failure thus far, in terms of getting subscribers. I detest marketing and few people want to pay for information anymore, least of all from a no-name website. That said, the vast majority of my recommendations have done very well and my personal portfolio is doing extraordinarily well (65.5% in 2013) since I tend to follow most of my own recommendations, the "event driven special situations," in particular.
I'm not a pro analyst, a pro investor, a hedge fund manager, or even a college graduate. I'm 25, which makes me, understandably, a bit naive and inexperienced in the world of investing - at least from most people's perspectives. In my defense, the stock market isn't what it used to be. Today, it's so future-based - Investors are making high-risk bets on companies like Tesla and Amazon (with some good reason) while forgetting that reputable companies such as McDonalds, Intel, and Starbucks who spend much of their time proving their worth over time.
I don't have much cash as I've spent a lot on school, but I like to invest across the board instead of just tech, and have enjoyed (or hated) owning companies such as Priceline, Limited Brands, American Airlines, Ford, Apple, and AMD among others. I do my own research, follow my gut, and buy or sell. I generally stay away from companies that I know nothing about such as a retail store or restaurant I've never heard of. I think that having personal experience with a product/brand helps me better gauge an investment. (i.e. I bought some Priceline stock literally days after buying my first Priceline vacation package back in 2012 due to its ease of use).
Why do I write articles for Seeking Alpha? Seeking Alpha is an excellent place for opinions and as a slight contrarian I generally have different perspectives from others, but I think that I'm not alone in these thoughts.
Some ideas I've had recently that aren't necessarily mainstream include:
1. Apple's Mac sales will start falling by as soon as next quarter for at least two quarters and may continue to fall consecutively unless MacBook Air and Pro prices or lowered or refreshed with an all new design (expected in mid-2016). Mac sales have been growing continuously (with the exception of the recession and a few single quarters of y/y declines due to refresh cycles)
2. Apple's iPad morphing into a mobile personal computer can can truly replace your laptop in a way different from a Surface. Today, this isn't possible and the iPad becoming a Mac isn't the solution. As the software and hardware for iPad expands, perhaps people with the intentions of doing more than Office and Netflix will come to have plenty of reason to own an iPad. As such, the iPad can slowly become a very big thing. This one is a bit out there, but I once suggested that AMD could create a semi-custom APU (after Zen) for Apple's Macs in order to offer a highly customizable x86 solution that would be many times more affordable than Intel. Apple has depressed the prices of Macs by a lot recently and making them even cheaper could allow the Mac to grow and reach market share levels that we thought would never come. If Intel keeps kicking AMD's ass though, you can scratch this idea off the list though. Next generation consoles arriving much sooner than expected. Specifically 2018, representing a 4-5 year life cycle of the PS4 and Xbox One. I believe that the current consoles are very underpowered - No 4K, no Virtual Reality, and it's slower than a equally priced gaming PC. Because of this, consoles are going to fall behind very quickly and the March arrival of a $600 Oculus could have profound effect on the gaming industry. Waiting another eight years may be too long, and I think that AMD will be the power behind the next generation.
I am both a short term trader and a long term investor involved in the Forex market and stocks.
Approximately 70% of my portfolio is on long term investment vehicles like stocks, while the remaining 30% is in Forex, CFDs and Binary Options, 10% each.
As such am both long/short equity in most cases, but my disclosures are usually based on the long-term holdings.
Therefore, sometimes when I say I have no position held in a particular stock, that does not mean that I won't be trading it via CFDs if available within the next few days.
Editor for The Biotech Forum, the #2 subscribed to Marketplace investment service offered through SeekingAlpha. Top 5% ranked analyst (TipRanks) 2013 through first half of 2015. Daily contributor for Real Money Pro. Hedge fund manager from 2008 to 2011. Previously technology executive at Fortune 100 firm for a decade.
Please go to biotechforumsa.com for more on the Biotech Forum service available through SeekingAlpha. For Free Investment Reports on a variety of topics go to bretjenseninvests.com
I graduated with a BSEE from NCSU. Following technology companies and developments is a hobby of mine when I have free time. A few years ago I started investing, and have tremendously enjoyed it. I try and share a unique view from an engineering vice an investor standpoint, and enjoy learning from others in the SA community.
I am a chemist by trade and an Austrian Economist by study and love discussing the capital markets and take a qualitative approach to global monetary trends and a technical, quantitative approach to trading. My current focus is on emerging markets of Southeast Asia as well as gold and strategic commodities.
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