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das555

das555
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  • Master Limited Partnerships: Pipe Dreams or Shark Jumpers? [View article]
    The crash of 2008 was a market wide event affecting all classes of equities and not the result of an over bought MLP market which the author alludes to. Even so, as examples of "well known and managed MLPs" at the nadir March 09. 2009 Kinder Morgan Partners (KMP) closed at 41.15 and was paying about 10% annual yield; Enterprise Products Partners closed at 17.95 and was paying at that price an 11% yield - no "40% or higher yields". If one had bought at that time with the knowledge of the excellent underlying businesses a capital gain of 74% with KMP and 144% with EPD would be on the books in addition to the unmissed and growing dividends. As always, facts and good judgement make for profitable investments (and good reading), not hyperbole and fear.
    Feb 7 05:16 PM | 19 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Kinder Morgan companies lower AH as Q2 earnings miss estimates [View news story]
    EPS of no importance with MLP structure. Distributable Cash Flow is the metric and is increased. Pleased holder.
    Jul 16 06:33 PM | 18 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Has Linn Energy Finally Bottomed? [View article]
    Generally pros don't trade with stops - they are watching their positions at all times and making a judgement as to whether a downdraft in price is justified or not and then trade accordingly. Stops are for less attentive investors and simply lock in a loss whether the price drop is justified or not. Recall the "flash crash" which burned many individual investors in the transient unjustified price drop with return to usual prices a few hours later and only ashes for those stopped out. Short sellers also are quite aware of somnolent investors with their dormant stops and accordingly, judge they may be able to start the avalanche with a small push that activates the stops. It should also be noted that a stop will not guarantee a given price - the stop simply orders that the equity be sold below a given price which in a severe downdraft (such as the "flash crash") may be well below the stop price. Use stops with care and better yet, stay closely tuned in.
    Jun 18 05:25 PM | 18 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Kinder Morgan profits drop, but points to growing natural gas demand [View news story]
    SA still doen't get it - EPS is not the important metric for an MLP - look at distributable cash flow (which was good).;
    Apr 16 07:45 PM | 13 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Master Limited Partnerships: Pipe Dreams or Shark Jumpers? [View article]
    I do not believe that the underlying businesses of most well known and managed MLPs are going away though certainly their unit price may decrease with macro (general market) and micro (leveraged owners of MLPs forced to sell) market conditions. If the price of units were to decrease as a result of such action I further believe that in this interest rate environment which is likely to be sustained a year or more, that there is a significant population of income investors who would step in to the breach to purchase the now less expensive, higher yielding MLP units. A fall in price would be viewed as an opportunity and thus substantially soften the harshness of the price decline. MLPs most significant risk, in my view, is unpredictable governmental action which might diminish or destroy their tax advantaged treatment (as occurred to the Canadian Income Trusts in the 2006 "Halloween Massacre").
    Feb 7 02:34 PM | 12 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Even With A Fiscal Cliff Deal, Stocks And The U.S. Economy Will Unravel In 2013 [View article]
    Nothing new under the sun:
    "A democracy cannot exist as a permanent form of government. It can only exist until the voters discover that they can vote themselves largesse from the public treasury. From that moment on, the majority always votes for the candidates promising the most benefits from the public treasury with the result that a democracy always collapses over loose fiscal policy, always followed by a dictatorship. The average age of the world's greatest civilizations has been 200 years... The American Republic will endure, until politicians realize they can bribe the people with their own money."

    -Alexis de Tocqueville 1805-1869"
    Nov 9 04:12 PM | 10 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Time To Sell Enterprise Products [View article]
    My MLPs are purchased in general as life long holdings for tax advantaged income - only to be sold if the business model appears broken to the point of threatening distributions. This point of view is encouraged by a large tax liability incurred upon sale versus no tax liability upon being passed on in an estate.
    For new money I would not purchase EPD currently as I believe EPD's valuation is currently too high - would rather consider MWE or Crestwood family as attractive new money choices. Having said that, I believe EPD is here to stay and I regard their distribution as quite safe and will continue to hold.
    May 25 01:10 PM | 9 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Linn Energy, LinnCo pop higher as SEC has no further comment on filing [View news story]
    Why even report this reckless amateur's opinion - waste of time...
    Nov 1 10:43 AM | 9 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 2 Monthly Dividend Stocks To Buy And 3 To Avoid [View article]
    Atlantic Power in its current evolutionary phase is primarily an asset growth story. In 2011 AT completed its acquisition of Capital Power and thereby increased its power generating capacity by more than 140%. Post merger it also purchased a 30% interest in an Idaho wind farm and a 51% interest in an Oklahoma wind farm - showing AT's post merger financial strength. Cash flows rose 94% in the fourth quarter reflecting in part the contributions of the power generating asset growth. Distributable cash flow ( DCF), not earnings per share, is the best metric to assess the financial success and dividend safety of this business. DCF rose 25% for 2011 and could not reflect the new asset contributions in full but would reflect the asset acquisition and integration costs - this gave a full 2011 dividend payout ratio of 105% but was well within managements guidance; payout ratio is guided in 2012 to be between 90 and 97%. Also, as not stated above, the dividend was increased 5.1% with the Capital Power acquisition.
    The biggest business challenge to AT is likely depressed power prices which if they persist or worsen could erode margins, but as pointed out in the article, about 75% of ATs plants are natural gas powered (thus helping margins) with the rest renewable power generation under long term contracts.
    I believe AT's current story is a good one with solid management that has been transparent and effective and accordingly I invest with them - but, differing opinions make a market.
    Mar 13 10:39 AM | 9 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Rough Day for Master Limited Partnerships [View article]
    In the politics of envy, property is theft.
    No investment apart from government issued municipal bonds is safe from governmental meddling and those bonds are subject to governmental incompetence.
    May 4 10:30 AM | 9 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Barron's: Wrong On MLPs Like Kinder Morgan Energy [View article]
    Unfortunately Andrew Bary seems to have lost his way under the stresses to produce regularly for publication. His incorrect analysis of Linn energy was not benign but rather injured the less discerning and vulnerable of retail holders who fearful of the loss of their retirement funds sold their holdings in LINE thus actualizing their fears based on Mr. Bary's errant advice.
    Now he turns his attention to MLPs in general and again publishes a flawed and incomplete analysis which may damage the portfolios of less cognizant readers who rely on the expertise of Barrons which has apparently lost editorial control.
    Jan 12 11:22 AM | 8 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why MLPs Are Extremely Overvalued As An Asset Class (Part 1) [View article]
    Sorry, don't buy it. Forget solid businesses with hard assets, deep moats, contracted and predictable income streams, long histories of solid dividends, and significant tax advantages - listen instead to my metrics..
    I know, I know...all will soon be divulged grasshopper...
    Aug 26 12:09 PM | 8 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Kinder Morgan Energy Partners: Dividend Stock Analysis [View article]
    "Earnings" are not the best metric for judging MLP financials from a yield standpoint - distributable cash flow is the key metric. Therefore using a P/E calculation as a metric to compare an MLP to a stock is misleading. Additionally, MLPs have considerable tax advantages to their distributions which are not available for telcos.
    Jan 21 10:15 AM | 8 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Alpine's Total Dynamic Dividend Fund: Overdosing on Financial Engineering [View article]
    I for one only read Seeking Alpha to obtain opinions bearing on my investing and to obtain information that I may have missed in my research. The article that Mr. Plettner published on AOD was timely, factual and easily verified. His article is precisely why I read Seeking Alpha and if this type of information is proscribed on Seeking Alpha the site would be mere retrospective financial pablum and certainly not read by me. Of course, I expect any author to act on the basis of his point of view just as I and any logical investor does. I salute Mr. Plettner for sharing his point of view and the basis of his decision making - Seeking Alpha is indeed fortunate to have him as a contributor and his recent contributions should stand as a site model.
    Jun 27 09:50 AM | 8 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Goldman answers pushback on Kinder Morgan upgrade, reiterates bullish view [View news story]
    GS hurt the shorts...
    May 19 05:09 PM | 7 Likes Like |Link to Comment
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175 Comments
411 Likes