Mathman Prophecy

Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News

eddie6442:

Market value is what the market is willing to pay. If the government tells you, or allows you to state that your House is worth $500,000, yet no one is willing to pay more than $300,000... then you're house is worth $300,000. Of course, if YOU perceive it to be worth more, than don't sell it. But the Market perception will still be that it's worth $300,000, and rescinding mark to market isn't going to make your house worth more. That applies to ANY asset.

If rescinding 'mark to market' would have any effect, then McDonalds should just change its dollar money to a $50 menu instead. It'll make 50x more money, right? Of course, like your rant, that's at best wrong and at worst absurd.

Forget $100 a Barrel - Oil Will Plummet to $30

While Jason was more or less correct on calling $30 oil, his reasoning was still off base. As cited in my above posting, only 40% of oil is converted into gasoline. The rest is used for Jetfuel, Instustrial energy needs, and Petro-Chemicals - plastics, tar, rubber, pharmaceuticals, make-up. A slow down in economy/industry is leading reason behind oil price collapse -- Not less driving paired with increase in fuel efficienct cars.

Forget $100 a Barrel - Oil Will Plummet to $30

But seriously, $30?! The cheaper it gets, the more it will be used regardless of alternative fuels.

You keep mentioning hybrids and new fuels, but Gasoline consumption accounts for about 40% of a barrel of oil. The rest is used for Jetfuel, Instustrial energy needs, and Petro-Chemicals - plastics, tar, rubber, pharmaceuticals, make-up.

The only way oil will go to $30 is if they create a very cheap way to manufacture hydro-carbons. Until then, the world will need Oil and the demand will most certainly be strong enough to keep prices of Oil at twice above your estimate.

Forget $100 a Barrel - Oil Will Plummet to $30

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Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News

SEC is investigating 'false rumors' -- isn't that an oxymoron? Besides, rumors are inherently dubious, and should not be taken at face value.

Still, it's a common fact that Bear Stearns collapsed because it was a horrible counter party that refused and negotiated liquidity requests. As a result of their subpar business practices, no one wanted to do business with them and demanded their money, which was the final nail in the coffin.