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Japhro

Japhro
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  • Contrarian Delight: Maybe Last Chance To Invest Or Hedge With UVXY At All Time Lows [View article]
    Sorry, missed this comment as I was too busy with my real full time job, wasting my time following you around all day and night and hoping that you would trip up somehow. Obviously, you are too clever for the rest of us.
    Full.On.Nutter
    Dec 16, 2014. 11:09 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Contrarian Delight: Maybe Last Chance To Invest Or Hedge With UVXY At All Time Lows [View article]
    This is an unbelievably bad article, with no relevant information as to why structurally, products such as UVXY will continue to trend lower and continually reverse split every 6-12 months, forever. UVXY is constantly selling cheaper front month futures to purchase more expensive near month futures. It does this every day. It does not track the VIX at all. Once in a while you will get a volatility 'event' and UVXY will double, or even triple. The latest adventure took our intrepid decaying etf to well over 100% gains from its prior lows, which turns out to be far less that it was trading for earlier in the year. Decay is decay, and you can't fight it.
    Nov 7, 2014. 09:01 PM | 23 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • GLD: Maybe It's Time To Go Long? [View article]
    Gold bulls tend to take it personally when anyone disagrees with gold going up, even for a short term trade. High level of conviction+high level of emotion on the subject, which may or may not be helpful to positioning (my guess is NOT)

    Also, trading and investing are very different, timeframes particularly.
    Jun 23, 2014. 12:31 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Breaking News: Who Really Controls Silver And Gold? [View article]
    This reminds me of the line from the song, 'before you accuse me, take a look at yourself...'

    Although manipulation in the daily fix is a foregone conclusion, longer term trade is just that, trade
    Mar 24, 2014. 08:13 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Markets recover after a brief crash caused by an erroneous report the President had been injured in an explosion at the White House. The news came about from AP's twitter feed being hacked. The White House says the President is fine, and the AP's White House correspondent calls the report "obviously false." [View news story]
    Chart voodoo is simply a graphical representation of fundamentals+trading sentiment/time
    Apr 23, 2013. 10:54 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • More on Goldman's buy-the-dip short-term outlook for commodities: Crude oil is attractive because of emerging-market demand, limited OPEC spare capacity and relatively low global inventories. Brent futures should continue to show backwardation, and "substantial pipeline de-bottlenecking" in North America should support WTI prices. Gold is another story: It's a flat-out short, with prices rising before falling. [View news story]
    Goldman called for Gold at $1950 before it dropped heavily. Now they say sell because they want yours
    Mar 12, 2013. 06:58 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Will Natural Gas Market Continue To Heat Up? [View article]
    Nothing to hold it back but ourselves. Oversupply relative to the small storage capacity that is currently allowed is keeping NA prices low compared to Europe and Asia which are 3-4x higher
    Mar 4, 2013. 04:45 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The CME cuts the initial margin for gold (GLD) to $5,940 from $6,600 and silver (SLV) to $10,450 from $12,100. Maintenance margins are cut by a similar ratio for both metals as well. [View news story]
    They are making it easier to buy Gold and Silver futures on margin trying to get more volume in the futures mkt which has been flat for some time.
    Feb 8, 2013. 08:51 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Ignore plunging consumer confidence at your peril, suggests SoberLook, as stock prices are pretty well tethered to it (or is it the other way around?). In any case, divergences don't seem to last for very long. [View news story]
    No money to be made in Real estate these days, bond yields will go to zilch, so money pouring into equities and they love the free FED money in the mkts. bad GDP? Rally! it's getting absurd now
    Jan 30, 2013. 10:19 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Facebook (FB) slides 4.4% to $21.85 premarket following a Barron's cover story suggesting the shares could be deemed expensive even at $15. [View news story]
    Just ban HFT activity, short selling is a necessary part of the market
    Sep 24, 2012. 09:21 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
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