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  • An Open Letter to the Plunge Protection Team [View article]
    OK, so one has now gone mostly to cash (with some GLD, CEF and SLW) and those dollars are sitting on the brink of a downhill slope.... (precipice?)
    Converting low six-figures into physical metal has practical impediments to say the least, not the least of which, the tax consequences...
    What's a safe haven?
    e.g., distributing over multiple foreign currency etf's?
    I'm fresh out of ideas
    Jul 25 14:46 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Friday Outlook: Commodities, Emerging Markets [View article]
    Gabe -

    NBER sez:
    "The NBER does not define a recession in terms of two consecutive quarters of decline in real GDP. Rather, a recession is a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months, normally visible in real GDP, real income, employment, industrial production, and wholesale-retail sales. For more information, see the latest announcement on how the NBER's Business Cycle Dating Committee chooses turning points in the Economy and its latest memo, dated 07/17/03." www.nber.org/cycles.ht...

    Don't know about you, but I not buying a new SUV or Ford-150 pick-up this year (or next).
    The corn mill machinery manufacturer for whom I do tech writing isn't seeing new orders (domestic or export).

    Just had to reduce the rent on a rental despite all those foreclosed, previous home owners forced into the rental market.

    DHL likely to close its hub in Wilmington OH (6,000more unemployed).

    NASCAR fans still going to the races, yes, but camping and grilling out instead of staying in hotels and eating out.

    So a consumer-led recovery not likely.

    If I were a foreign investor I likely wait for more of the trillion dollar (or mote) write-downs to find their way out of the financials woodwork. In the meantime, I'm just sitting on my hands for a spell rather jump into a "bargain" U.S. equities.
    Jul 25 10:25 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
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