Bill is Chief Investment Officer of Luby Asset Management LLC, an investment management company in Tiburon, California. He also publishes the VIX and More (http://vixandmore.blogspot.com/) blog and an investment newsletter. His research and trading interests focus on volatility, market sentiment, technical analysis, ETPs and options. Bill was previously a business strategy consultant. When not trading or blogging, he can often be found running, hiking, and kayaking in Northern California. Bill has a BA from Stanford University and an MBA from Carnegie-Mellon University. Visit Bill's blog, VIX and More (http://vixandmore.blogspot.com/)
I'm an investment professional with more than 15 years of trading experience.
My current and upcoming articles will contain a short synopsis of overall market developments on a weekly basis. Particular focus is on VIX-related instruments.
The resource referenced below can be deceptively inaccurate, though it is the only known site that tracks the performance of stocks written about through Seeking Alpha (when using the S&P 500 as a benchmark):
Important information follows, please click the link below to review it all:
Work presented may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements are not historical facts but instead represent only the author's belief regarding future events, many of which, by their nature, are inherently uncertain and outside his control. Except for the author's obligation to disclose material information, the author is not under any obligation (and expressly disclaims any obligation) to update or alter any projections, goals, assumptions, or other statements, whether written or oral, that may be made from time to time, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
No content within the author's work is a recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person or purpose. The author is not advising you personally concerning the nature, potential, value or suitability of any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction, investment strategy or other matter. To the extent that any of the content of this article may be deemed to be investment advice or recommendations in connection with a particular security, such information is impersonal and not tailored to specific investment needs. The author is not an investment advisor and is not offering investment advice. You understand that an investment in any security is subject to a number of risks, and that discussions of any security published will not contain a list or description of relevant risk factors. Some of the stocks about which the author has written and writes about have a low market capitalization and/or insufficient public float. Such stocks are subject to more risk than stocks of larger companies, including greater volatility, lower liquidity and less publicly available information. Any information in the author's work deemed by you to be recommendations may have an effect on their stock prices.
The author's publications are not intended to provide tax, legal, insurance or investment advice, and nothing presented in the author's work should be construed as an offer to sell, a solicitation of an offer to buy, or a recommendation for any security by Seeking Alpha or any third party. You alone are solely responsible for determining whether any investment, security or strategy, or any other product or service, is appropriate or suitable for you based on your investment objectives and personal and financial situation. You should consult an attorney or tax professional regarding your specific legal or tax situation.
All information in this report is provided "as is" without warranty, expressed or implied, or representations of any kind to the fullest extent permissible under applicable law, the author will not be liable for the quality, accuracy, completeness, reliability, or timeliness of this information, or for any direct, consequential, incidental, special or punitive damages that may arise out of use of this information by you or anyone else, including but not limited to lost profits, loss of opportunities, trading losses, and damage that may result from any inaccuracy or incompleteness of this information to the fullest extent permitted by law. The author denies liability to you or anyone else under any tort, contract, negligence, strict liability, products liability, or other theory with respect to presentation of information.
The information, opinions, data, quantitative and qualitative statements communicated have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but have not been independently verified and are not guaranteed as to accuracy nor does it purport to be a complete analysis of every material fact regarding the company, industry, or security. The information, opinions, or recommendations are solely for informational purposes and are only valid as of the date appearing on the report and are subject to change without notice. You recognize that performance data is supplied by sources believed to be reliable, that the calculations herein are made using such data, and that such calculations are not guaranteed by these sources, the information providers, or any other person or entity, and may not be complete.
The author writes about and invests in high risk companies, some of which succeed, and some of which go out of business completely, rendering securities, including bonds, preferred stock, common stock, options and other financial derivatives valueless.
The author does not intend to receive any inside information from any of the companies written about.
Investors are encouraged to read investment information available at the websites of the SEC at http://www.sec.gov and FINRA at http://www.finra.org.
Prescient Investment Analysis is a person. BA, Boston College, Philosophy.
A "stock market enthusiast". Active trader/ investor. Have an engineering education, Owned company that built and furnished Food Service facilities, General Contracting and Construction in NYC, Day Traded for about 10 years, Recently retired from Commercial Real Estate and Business Brokerage business.
Founder of "The Contrarian", a premium research service, featuring the "Bet The Farm" Portfolio. Actively investing since 1995, I have soared like an eagle, and been unmercifully humbled by the markets. Achieved positive returns in 2008, and turned an account with $60,310 on 1/1/2009 into an account with $3,177,937 on 11/30/2009. My best years have been 1995-2003, 2008-2012, and 2016-????. My worst years were 2013-2015. I believe inflation is coming, and we are at an inflection point in the markets.
Twenty year career as an investment analyst, investor, portfolio manager, consultant, and writer. Founder of Koldus Contrarian Investments, Ltd, which was incorporated in the spring of 2009. Dyed in the wool contrarian investor, who has learned, the hard way, that a good contrarian is only contrarian 20% of the time, but being right at key inflection points is the key to meaningful wealth creation in the markets. I believe we are near a meaningful inflection point, perhaps the biggest one yet, for the third time in the past 15 years.
Historically, I have had huge wins and impressive losses based on a concentrated, contrarian strategy. Trying to keep the good while filtering out the bad.
Seeking to run an all weather portfolio with minimal volatility and index overlays to capture my strategic and tactical recommendations along with a concentrated best ideas portfolio, which is my bread and butter, but the volatility only makes it suitable for a small piece of an investor's overall portfolio. The following are a couple of my favorite investment quotes.
"Life and investing are long ballgames." Julian Robertson
"A diamond is a chunk of coal that is made good under pressure."
"Knowledge is limited. Imagination encircles the world." Albert Einstein
I’ve been on top of the world, and the world has been on top of me. I have learned to enjoy the perspective from each view, and use opportunities to persistently acquire knowledge, and enjoy the company of those around me, especially loved ones, family, and friends.
At heart, I am a market historian with an unrivaled passion for the capital markets. I have had a long history and specialization with concentrated positions and options trading. Made money in 2008 with a net long portfolio, deploying capital in some of the market's darkest hours into long positions including purchases of American Express, Atlas Energy, Crosstex, First Industrial Real Estate, General Growth Properties, Genworth, Macquarie Infrastructure, Ruth Chris Steakhouse, and Vornado near their lows. Shorting, hedging, and option strategies also helped me in 2007 and 2009, and these are skills that I have developed ever since I started trading heavily in 1996.I enjoy reading, accumulating knowledge, and putting this knowledge to work in the active capital markets, learning lessons along the way.To this day, I continue to learn, and some of these learning lessons have been excruciatingly difficult ones, especially over the past several years, as I made mistakes allocating capital, including a sizable portion of my own capital (I always invest alongside my clients), to commodity related stocks. While all commodity related stocks have struggled since April of 2011, coal companies, which attracted me due to their extremely cheap valuations, and out-of-favor status (I am a strong believer in behavioral finance alongside fundamentals and technicals) have been the worst investing mistake of my career. The focus on the commodity arena has been the biggest mistake of my investment career thus far, yet in its aftermath, I see tremendous opportunity, even larger in scope than the fortuitous 2008/2009 environment.The capital that I accumulated and the confidence gained in navigating the treacherous investment waters of 2008 gave me the confidence to launch my own investment firm in the spring of 2009, right before the ultimate lows in the stock market. At the time I was working as a senior analyst at one of the largest RIA's in the country, and I felt strongly that the market environment was the best time since 1974/1975 to start an investment firm.
Prior to starting my firm, I was a senior analyst for three different firms over approximately 10 years (Charles Schwab, Redwood, Oxford), moving up in responsibility and scope at each stop along my journey. Since I was a paperboy, I have always had an interest in the investment markets. I love researching and finding opportunities. I am a Chartered Financial Analyst, CFA, as well as a Chartered Alternative Investment Analyst, CAIA. After starting in the teaching program at Ball State University, I switched to a career in finance when I turned a small student loan into a substantial amount of capital. I graduated summa cum laude with a degree in finance from Ball State.
Full disclosure, I am not currently a registered investment advisor, though I did serve in this capacity from 2009-2014, while owning Koldus Contrarian Investments, Ltd. Additionally, I held various securities licenses from 2000-2014, without a single complaint filed, and I continue to hold industry designations. At the end of 2014, I voluntarily let my state registration expire, as I transitioned the business to a different structure. Prior to this, I had passed, and held, various securities exams and licenses, including the Series 7, Series 63, and Series 65 exams, in addition to others, alongside my CFA and CAIA designations. Unfortunately, I did not file the proper paperwork to withdraw my state registration, and I did not disclose a personal arrangement, and subsequent civil case, between myself and a former close personal friend and client, that was initiated in 2011. I was unaware that I was required to disclose these items, and my securities attorney, at the time, did not advise me to do so. Previously, I had managed a portfolio for this gentleman, and we had taken an investment of approximately $7 million in 2009, and grown it to over $25 million at the beginning of 2012. After a difficult year of performance, an employee of the firm I owned, and friend, resigned in early 2013, and took the aforementioned client to a competing firm. As a result of not filing the proper paperwork, I agreed to a settlement, with a potential $2500 fine in the future, depending on if I choose to reapply to be a non-exempt advisor.
I run two services, Free CoT Data and Simple Stock Model. Free CoT Data reveals how different types of traders are positioned in the futures markets. Simple Stock Model aggregates financial and economic data so that investors can easily form a comprehensive data-based outlook on the S&P.
Harvard College, BA, Economics; Stanford Graduate School of Business, MBA
Managing Director, Boslego Risk Services
I founded Boslego Risk Services and became a recognized expert in the area of energy price risk management (hedging), providing oil and natural gas hedging strategies to major oil companies such as Exxon, Shell, Mobil, Chevron, Texaco and Phillips; to the national oil companies of Norway, Venezuela, Mexico, Canada, France and Italy; to major users of energy products, such as Delta Airlines, United Airlines, Burlington-Northern Railroad, and Canadian Pacific Railway; to major trading firms, such as Enron, Phibro, Sempra and Vitol; and to large hedge funds (confidential).
As the recognized expert in energy hedging, I was selected by the former president, John Treat, of the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) to write the chapter on hedging in his book, Energy Futures.
I expanded my risk analysis and hedging services beyond the energy markets to financial markets. Given the failure of traditional portfolio diversification to limit losses to levels tolerable to most investors in 2008/09, I created investment strategies utilizing risk management techniques for hedge funds and financial firms.
*For Elazar's Research on SA hit "Follow." and click "Real-time alerts on this author" for real time.
*Trading needs a gameplan and discipline. Elazar has served clients in the $100mm-$10B asset range. See the market through a new simple perspective.
Make decisions based on how the market functions with PRO TRADER. We've followed SPY, Oil, GLD, TLT, SLV, UNG, XIV, XLV, XLF, XLI, EFA, CYB, SOXX, IAU, TLT, and many other securities with strong historical model results. (See here for performance).
*Click for information about: PRO TRADER on Seeking Alpha.
Past performance can not predict future performance. Capital invested is capital at risk and especially when leverage is used large, some if not all of the principal can be lost. Please consult your financial advisor if such a service is right for you. The performance data shown includes back-tested past performance, which is not a guarantee of future results. Investment returns and principal value will fluctuate. Current performance may be lower or higher than the performance data cited. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations unlike actual performance records. Real time performance is in the process of being compiled in PRO TRADER on Seeking Alpha.
Four private female investors and one Dachshund.
We've consigned our careers as fund managers to the shredder, as we no longer have confidence that we can grow our clients' money anywhere near approaching the sparkling results that we achieved for them in the past.
Now Heidi and Desiree's investing interests involve global water distribution, agriculture, and timberland, while Clarissa and Helga manage strategies of certain commodities and hard assets.
We're also self-styled asset-manager vigilantes, who will bitch-slap those who take advantage of innocent retirees and other retail investors who have been ground into muesli by the Wall Street machine.
Sleazy RIA's, CFA's and 99% of the rest of financial "helpers" service their clients like Bonny and Clyde serviced banks.
As you can see, we're touchy, emotional, irascible, opinionated, and sometimes inebriated. But we admit that we do love the attention here on SA, so don't stop sending us those bawdy comments, angry criticisms, steamy love letters, veiled death threats, and tempting marriage proposals. Hey, you never know...
Oh, we almost forgot... While our names (Heidi, Helga, Clarissa and Desiree) may or may not be our real names, Schnitzel the Dachshund's name really is "Schnitzel the Dachshund."
HFI Research is a research firm that specializes in non-consensus investment analysis. We take the ideology of variant perception very seriously and believe that the only way to obtain a real edge in the market is to possess a variant perception investment thesis. We share our variant perception investment analysis with premium subscribers through 5 weekly reports: HFI Portfolio Weekly Update, Natural Gas Weekly Outlook, Oil Markets Weekly Outlook, Weekly Rant (investment topics), Big Picture Outlook. In addition to the weekly reports, we've recently launched a "Premium Daily" talking about the various observations in the hectic markets along with areas where we see opportunities.
If you enjoy our public articles, you will enjoy our premium service.
Our TipRank profile: https://www.tipranks.com/bloggers/hfi
Williams Equity Research analyzes trading strategy, individual stocks, asset classes, market sectors, and risk to reward parameters in order to provide valuable insight to the Seeking Alpha community.
The author has over 10 years of experience in the financial markets working in areas of equities trading, complex product analysis, and risk management, as well as a graduate level education in the areas of petroleum engineering (full), law (partial), and finance (MBA, partial).
Passion helps to create money but money doesn't create passion so find your passion & you will always be rich inside & out. Chasing money is a dead end. Join the Best Investing/Trading School around "Grey School" Get your keys by clicking link below.
To provide an affordable, distraction-free learning platform to all different levels of traders and investors. The platform aims to provide access to expert education, innovative trading tools, time tested and research backed strategies, and strategic networking opportunities.
Connect with me: https://www.linkedin.com/in/wesleykress/
I have been researching and investing in stocks and options in my own accounts since 2006. I finished my MBA in 2007 and then worked as the Finance Manager at a start up for 7 years. I'm currently self-employed as an online marketing consultant, but investing is my true passion.
I've found that my skill lies in taking the time to read 10-K and 10-Q reports carefully and being able to then create realistic future projections. As a value investor I tend to look at cash flow as much as if not more than earnings and revenues.
My investment horizon is typically at least 5-10 years, and ideally I place my money into investments which I could see myself holding through retirement. That said, I do also enjoy allocating a small portion of my account to short term options plays.
In our free time, my wife and I love to travel the world. We've each been to over 45 countries and relish the opportunity to see how people live all around the world.
Starks has worked for well-known energy companies in marketing, planning, and engineering. She brings this experience, along with extensive research and investing, to profiling energy companies by investing segment in her monthly newsletter.
The writer is a long term value investor and M.Sc graduate in Financial Markets with over 10 years experience. Value can be found in both long and short ideas and uses options to enhance the risk-return profile of investment ideas.
Disclaimer: This article provides opinions and information, but does not contain recommendations or personal investment advice to any specific person for any particular purpose. Do your own research or obtain suitable personal advice.
Chris (firstname.lastname@example.org) is an Hon B.Sc graduate (with distinction) in Science and Economics with over 15 years in investing experience. He holds a PMP (Project Management Professional) designation. TipRanks Top 100 Blogger of 2015 (also 2013, 2014). Seeks undervalued, unappreciated value stock ideas. Follows Warren Buffet's mantra: do not lose money. For a better mobile experience on Seeking Alpha click on the top right menu icon on most browsers and select "request desktop site".
David Dierking is an analyst and writer focusing primarily on ETFs, mutual funds, dividend income strategies and retirement planning. He is a current contributor for Seeking Alpha, ETF Daily News, MutualFunds.com and ETFdb.com. He was also included in the panel for ETFReference.com’s “101 ETF Investing Tips from the Experts”.
If you're interested in learning more about dividend income strategies, retirement and ETF analysis, please consider following me by clicking on the "Follow" button at the top of this page next to my name.
In addition, you can find me on:
Twitter - @david_dierking
LinkedIn - David Dierking
Website - ETF Focus
Over 30 years of investing in individual stocks. Extensive business experience with small to mid-size companies, including as CEO. Many hundreds of blog posts on financial and economic matters since 2008. Focus on value with catalysts for upside price action. Background as a physician and pharmaceutical inventor and entrepreneur, however focus now is global and involves almost all economic categories.
Ian’s Insider Corner research focuses primarily on long-term dividend-paying companies with stable and reliable growth, stocks suitable for individual retirement accounts. Ian also looks for “niche” shorter-term trading opportunities, and coverage. During the 3-years Ian worked at Kerrisdale Capital, the New York-based activist hedge fund had great success exposing fraudulent companies. Kerrisdale Capital returned almost 200% in 2011, and more than 300% in total. Ian Bezek offers in-depth coverage of all the stocks in his “IMF” portfolio.
Individual investors should feel free to message me privately about my real-time subscription service, which is very affordable. That is also included with my short idea product for institutional investors, here on Seeking Alpha.
For a better mobile experience on Seeking Alpha click the top right menu icon on most browsers and select "request desktop site".
I am a former financial communications programmer, turned full-time investor. I began investing in the mid-1990s, looking for a way to achieve early retirement. (A goal in which I have succeeded, if you don't consider full-time investing a job.) I took a scientific, experiment-based approach rather than a studious one. I feel that this approach, combined with my extensive programming work in financial markets and directly with traders has given me uncommon contrarian insight into what really drives market dynamics.
To that end, my articles will center around stocks and their derivatives because that's where I have the most experience (over 20 years). I may occasionally comment on currencies, where I believe I have a sound academic knowledge, but less trading experience.I will always refer to a company by name or some abbreviation thereof. By contrast, I will refer to the stock a company issues by its ticker symbol. I think it can be important to differentiate between the two.
After having been in the investing world for more than 25 years from private banking and investment management to private and venture capital; I have pretty much "been there and done that" at one point or another. I am currently a silent partner for an RIA in Houston, Texas.
The majority of my time is spent analyzing, researching and writing commentary about investing, investor psychology and macro-views of the markets and the economy. My thoughts are not generally mainstream and are often contrarian in nature but I try an use a common sense approach, clear explanations and my “real world” experience in the process.
I am the Chief Editor of the REAL INVESTMENT REPORT, a weekly subscriber based-newsletter that is distributed nationwide. The newsletter covers economic, political and market topics as they relate to your money and life.
I also write a daily blog which is read by thousands nationwide from individuals to professionals at www.realinvestmentadvice.com.
Markos N. Kaminis generated a 23% average annual return on "Strong Buy" stock selections over 5 years and ranked 2nd among a group of 60 analysts in-house as a Senior Equity Analyst over a seven-year period at Standard & Poor's. After proving his value in-house, he was promoted into a special role as an idea generator, supporting the portfolios of institutional clients as well as driving performance within S&P's recommended lists and portfolios. At times, Markos was responsible for up to 10% of the firm's entire "Strong Buy" list and is due a great deal of credit for the group's outstanding performance during his tenure.
Markos followed a group of 30-40 Small and Mid-Cap firms, and was charged with finding new buy and sell candidates across industry sectors. He generated a 23% average annual return over five years on his "Strong Buy" recommendations, and 26% over three years ended 2004. He was ranked 1st of 60 analysts in-house for his "Strong Buy" performance over 4 years (2nd over 5). Markos also authored IPO research and wrote for high-level newsletters, The Outlook, Equity Insights and Emerging Opportunities, as well as for BusinessWeek Online. He represented his firm as an analytical expert commentator for major media, including television, Internet and through quotes and interviews in reputable publications.
Besides predicting the stock market correction of 2015 through a series of prescient reports here in August. (see proof here: http://seekingalpha.com/article/3482226-investor-who-predicted-the-stock-market-correction-offers-an-update ), Markos also advised investors to buy stocks at the bottom of the market in mid-February 2016 and again post-Brexit at the trough, and to buy gold in January 2016 before the commodity started its move higher. While not perfect, over the years, Markos has made countless correct market and security calls for his followers, including forecasting the demise of J.C. Penney on the heralded CEO hire's disruptive plans, the bankruptcies of Washington Mutual and Pilgrim's Pride in the $30 and $20s, respectively, as well as the purchase of Facebook in the mid-$20s when it was considered a pariah post its IPO (today it is a market darling). Markos also warned of the real estate market collapse and the financial crisis in the early days of his blogging.
What I personally want you to know about my plans: After witnessing the worst of Wall Street firsthand and having the ideal vision of my childhood career choice corrupted by reality, I almost switched to full-time charity work at age 40 and still have plans for several non-profit endeavors. The future is somewhat unknown, and I am open to employment offers for portfolio management or other ideas. While continuing to publish regularly, I expect to begin work on several book ideas that I believe are important for business, for our nation and for society.
I may put my stock selection skills, earned through blood, sweat and tears, to better use, and to make my own way. I would like to give investors something rare, a dignified partner who can manage money with integrity and a clear conscience about the degree of due diligence behind investment decisions... someone who cares more about your money than your wife. I hope readers will become followers of my column here & at my blog, so that when our numbers are substantial, we might start an investment fund or two.
Prior to his Wall Street career, Mr. Kaminis spent time in the back-office, as a mutual fund accountant, where he managed for a time the work of two men. Before this, from age 11 to age 25, he worked as a carpenter's apprentice and carpenter with his father, in both commercial and residential projects. Mr. Kaminis has an intimate knowledge of the real estate (undergraduate degree in Real Estate and Finance) and construction market, as well as the restaurant industry.
However, as a generalist stock analyst, he showed the ability to learn any and the most complicated of industries in short time - and he gamed every challenge presented to him. Mr. Kaminis earned his MBA at the Katz Graduate School of Business at the University of Pittsburgh, and his BA at Temple University in Philadelphia. However, Markos has been studying the stock market since age 13, when he determined his career path.
He made his first investment at age 16, and funded much of his undergraduate education with the proceeds of his investing success. Mr. Kaminis continues to keep busy forecasting the economic path and securities market activity. Markos is considering the eventual start-up a long/short capital appreciation hedge fund. Such a fund would limit risk through beta reduction, using a diversification strategy targeting sector & industry and long & short position inclusion. At the same time, Markos' theoretical fund would seek maximum capital appreciation through the exploitation of Mr. Kaminis' inherent economic & market discernment gift and proven stock selection skills.
Mr. Kaminis also has a team of a select few analysts, technicians, strategists and economists that he has been impressed by over the years, which he expects to tap for the project when the time is right. Mr. Kaminis welcomes your interest in such a potential forward effort, and looks forward to discussing his plans with those appropriate and within legal constraints.
Markos toys with very early stage entrepreneurial efforts in the testing of certain business models, all of which he intends to tie to a planned non-profit project serving the most helpless among us. The tie will be that the businesses will give employment opportunity to individuals who would otherwise have difficulty finding gainful employment. It will house and heal the homeless, ex-convicts, those completing rehabilitation efforts for drug and other addictions, and others in need of help.
Markos is currently Directing the widely syndicated blog he founded, "Wall Street Greek," and is writing for other well-known publications besides advancing several big ideas. Markos' column is syndicated across sites like the Boston Globe, Kiplinger Magazine, UPI and other reputable newspaper and TV websites, as well as private networks, Amazon Kindle, iPhone and more. In the past, he has written for RealMoney.com, Motley Fool and others.
Requests to research specific companies are welcome, as we serve our readers. You may contact us via this blog's contact info. Mr. Kaminis welcomes you to follow him here at Seeking Alpha, where he is proud to be a long-time contributor to this strong team of writers. He considers the Seeking Alpha team and management close friends, and for you, people worth knowing and following. Visit his site: Wall Street Greek (http://www.wallstreetgreek.blogspot.com/)
Kim Klaiman is a full time options trader and founder of SteadyOptions.com. He trades mostly non-directional strategies, like pre-earnings strangles and iron condors. Likes to trade strategies with negative correlation. He lives in Toronto, Canada. Visit the SteadyOptions.com forum. SteadyOptions offers a combination of a high quality education and actionable trade ideas using variety of Non-Directional option trading strategies for Steady and Consistent Profits. Email: email@example.com Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/SteadyOptions_ SteadyOptions performance: https://steadyoptions.com/performance
I am a reformed and recovering management consultant who, through multiple client engagements, applies deep exposure to the upstream and midstream oil and gas industry to create a picture of where these businesses will be in the next two years. With a background in both engineering and finance, I approach investing through a quantitative value approach for the medium and long term horizon.
The investment return profile looks to generate anywhere between 25 and 250 percent within a 12 to 36 month window and minimizes risk by focusing on businesses whose equity is liquid, and are large enough to allow a significant placement of investment assets (generally businesses with total enterprise values in excess of $250mm). The key elements of my investment style are:
1. Is there even the slightest chance the company is going bankrupt? If not, I just stop. I want stuff I can hang on to for long periods without significant risk.
2. Are the managers real artisans in their fields or have they fallen prey to the two most common corporate diseases: (a) their professional management activities are more important that the growth of the company or (b) their skills as financial engineers building masterpieces of leverage are more interesting to them than running a boring business. If not, I just stop. I want people running my investment that I can trust. Included in this category is skin in the game… they better own some measurable percentage of the business so that their own personal fortunes are tied up in it.
3. Is the business they are in one I could explain in under 30 minutes to my 10 year old son? For example, they suck natural gas out of the ground and sell it to whomever will give them the most for it. If not, I just stop. I want stuff I can understand without twisting my brain into a pretzel.
4. Do they build and/or sell stuff that during times of economic recession are truly discretionary items? If they are, I just stop. I want stuff that makes/sells things people need rain or shine.
Fundamentally, I believe self-directed investors can use their own experience and powers of understanding to make exceptional investments on their own, without turning to the professional investment advisory community... and obtain a much better return profile on their assets in the process. I like discovering value, whether because of cyclical down-on-hard-luck stories or secular growth stories and highlighting why I believe they are so.
Patience, low investment position turnover, true understanding of real value of a business, and the power of geometric compounding are the things for which I strive.
Hi, I'm Sarfaraz A. Khan. I have got an MBA from University of Aberdeen, located in the heart of UK's oil industry. My specialties lie in energy and materials stocks, but I occasionally cover services sector, emerging markets and ETFs. My work appears mainly on TheStreet and Seeking Alpha.
I am not based in the US, which is why I do not have any position in the US listed stocks that I write about. I do, however, own shares of funds that usually hold a long position in either Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Royal Dutch Shell, Schlumberger, Halliburton, ConocoPhillips, Honda Motor Company, GlaxoSmithKline, Unilever, or their subsidiaries that trade on non-US markets.