billf921's Comments billf921's Comments RSS Syndication from SeekingAlpha.com http://seekingalpha.comuser/197239/comments The Oil Casino: SEC Heading for Monte Carlo, Part III http://seekingalpha.com/article/174577-the-oil-casino-sec-heading-for-monte-carlo-part-iii?source=feed#comment-773767 773767
what metric would you use for companies like mmr, exxi,atpg,chk,hk,sd

how about proved producing. Can I rely on that?]]>
Mon, 23 Nov 2009 14:26:36 -0500
what metric would you use for companies like mmr, exxi,atpg,chk,hk,sd

how about proved producing. Can I rely on that?]]>
Four Shippers Emerging from the Mire http://seekingalpha.com/article/168033-four-shippers-emerging-from-the-mire?source=feed#comment-728298 728298
derrys, the ceo is a crook avoid forever

exm, the ceo fired the best dry guy and overpaid for qmar at the top of the market

dsx, honest ceo, low debt makes them a buy canidate when fundamentals improve

nm- i trust the ceo, they have alot of debt, but id buy nm as they lock in long term rates

egle

nice company problem soph the ceo skimed off 22 m in cash last year in obscene salary gives obamas commies something to gripe about. dont you think 2 m per year is fair for a guy that lost 90 % of shareholderr value

soph you are a disgrace to the human race. his cfo is not much better taking s multimillion dollar salary

ocnf is run by the nephew of drys , would you do business with the nephew of al capone?]]>
Sat, 24 Oct 2009 11:10:22 -0400
derrys, the ceo is a crook avoid forever

exm, the ceo fired the best dry guy and overpaid for qmar at the top of the market

dsx, honest ceo, low debt makes them a buy canidate when fundamentals improve

nm- i trust the ceo, they have alot of debt, but id buy nm as they lock in long term rates

egle

nice company problem soph the ceo skimed off 22 m in cash last year in obscene salary gives obamas commies something to gripe about. dont you think 2 m per year is fair for a guy that lost 90 % of shareholderr value

soph you are a disgrace to the human race. his cfo is not much better taking s multimillion dollar salary

ocnf is run by the nephew of drys , would you do business with the nephew of al capone?]]>
ATP Oil & Gas: Production Should Triple in Next 9 Months http://seekingalpha.com/article/164767-atp-oil-gas-production-should-triple-in-next-9-months?source=feed#comment-728189 728189
No really?? you should get paid by atpg. maybe you are on their payrolls a paid hyper

admit it to the world, you gave the cfo your nav calculations

admit it, im calling you out

On Oct 05 09:45 AM Gassy wrote:

> I was wondering why the market is in the show me mode? I have no
> background on this company but surprised out of 15 analysts only
> 6 are Buys (usually a good sign to make money). have you taken a
> decline on the existing production for 100mmcfe/d. Although EPS is
> not the right measure but still followed a lot, why is consensus
> EPS for 2010 $1.25/sh and cash eps $9/sh versus yours $17/sh. What
> is the market missing? Thanks]]>
Sat, 24 Oct 2009 09:19:05 -0400
No really?? you should get paid by atpg. maybe you are on their payrolls a paid hyper

admit it to the world, you gave the cfo your nav calculations

admit it, im calling you out

On Oct 05 09:45 AM Gassy wrote:

> I was wondering why the market is in the show me mode? I have no
> background on this company but surprised out of 15 analysts only
> 6 are Buys (usually a good sign to make money). have you taken a
> decline on the existing production for 100mmcfe/d. Although EPS is
> not the right measure but still followed a lot, why is consensus
> EPS for 2010 $1.25/sh and cash eps $9/sh versus yours $17/sh. What
> is the market missing? Thanks]]>
ATP Oil & Gas: Production Should Triple in Next 9 Months http://seekingalpha.com/article/164767-atp-oil-gas-production-should-triple-in-next-9-months?source=feed#comment-728183 728183 to Devon shire, Swizzled, Azharm, et al

Try to balance your thesis with risk factors once in your life

Your NAV calculation is ludicous

Did you tell everyone that Barclays has a sell on it?

Did you tell everyone prof shorts arae shorting it?

Did you tell everyone that they have over ONE BILLION IN DEBT + off balance sheet expense commitments to ge for the Innovator?

Did you tell people they can even pay Diamond Offshore for drilling expenses?

Did you tell anyine that atpg cant pay for the titan and had to defer 89 m?

Did you tell anyone that they owe gifi for the 2nd min doc they cant afford?

No i dont think so

Until you do, you will afectionatly be called the hyping hyena!

Go look at exxi and do your same magic

This guy is so sensitive he will probably run to seeking alpha to have me banned]]>
Sat, 24 Oct 2009 09:16:04 -0400 to Devon shire, Swizzled, Azharm, et al

Try to balance your thesis with risk factors once in your life

Your NAV calculation is ludicous

Did you tell everyone that Barclays has a sell on it?

Did you tell everyone prof shorts arae shorting it?

Did you tell everyone that they have over ONE BILLION IN DEBT + off balance sheet expense commitments to ge for the Innovator?

Did you tell people they can even pay Diamond Offshore for drilling expenses?

Did you tell anyine that atpg cant pay for the titan and had to defer 89 m?

Did you tell anyone that they owe gifi for the 2nd min doc they cant afford?

No i dont think so

Until you do, you will afectionatly be called the hyping hyena!

Go look at exxi and do your same magic

This guy is so sensitive he will probably run to seeking alpha to have me banned]]>
ATP Oil & Gas: Production Should Triple in Next 9 Months http://seekingalpha.com/article/164767-atp-oil-gas-production-should-triple-in-next-9-months?source=feed#comment-728173 728173
its all hype

Devon shire is a well know lunatic that also goes by Swizzle on yahoo. He posts incessanctly on Motley Fool and Yahoo under multiple niks and only post every good item he can scrounge up

he doesnt tell you that atpg is so debt laden that its interest cost is 1 m every 3 days or 40 dollars a barrel on current production

They are so broke that thy ask their drilling company for debt extensions, they ask they floating production maker for deferals and they did the same with octobuoy

they own so many people so much money, very little will flow to them


On Oct 05 10:34 AM trying2notbestupid wrote:

> My question in line with 'Gassy' above, why do you think the Street
> set such a low price target when your analysis indicates multiples
> of that target? How fast will these reserves be depleted? Does ATP
> deserve a 5x multiple if the fields will decline rapidly? (not saying
> they will, but if they did)
>
> Secondly, you state that “My estimate is that about 75% to 80% of
> this revenue gets through as cash flow from operations for ATP.”
>
>
> Where is your estimate of cash flow based on?
>
> Thanks.]]>
Sat, 24 Oct 2009 09:05:55 -0400
its all hype

Devon shire is a well know lunatic that also goes by Swizzle on yahoo. He posts incessanctly on Motley Fool and Yahoo under multiple niks and only post every good item he can scrounge up

he doesnt tell you that atpg is so debt laden that its interest cost is 1 m every 3 days or 40 dollars a barrel on current production

They are so broke that thy ask their drilling company for debt extensions, they ask they floating production maker for deferals and they did the same with octobuoy

they own so many people so much money, very little will flow to them


On Oct 05 10:34 AM trying2notbestupid wrote:

> My question in line with 'Gassy' above, why do you think the Street
> set such a low price target when your analysis indicates multiples
> of that target? How fast will these reserves be depleted? Does ATP
> deserve a 5x multiple if the fields will decline rapidly? (not saying
> they will, but if they did)
>
> Secondly, you state that “My estimate is that about 75% to 80% of
> this revenue gets through as cash flow from operations for ATP.”
>
>
> Where is your estimate of cash flow based on?
>
> Thanks.]]>
ATP Oil & Gas: Production Should Triple in Next 9 Months http://seekingalpha.com/article/164767-atp-oil-gas-production-should-triple-in-next-9-months?source=feed#comment-728167 728167
you are missing nothing, ..the hyping hyena overstates everying by a factor of 2


On Oct 05 09:45 AM Gassy wrote:

> I was wondering why the market is in the show me mode? I have no
> background on this company but surprised out of 15 analysts only
> 6 are Buys (usually a good sign to make money). have you taken a
> decline on the existing production for 100mmcfe/d. Although EPS is
> not the right measure but still followed a lot, why is consensus
> EPS for 2010 $1.25/sh and cash eps $9/sh versus yours $17/sh. What
> is the market missing? Thanks]]>
Sat, 24 Oct 2009 09:00:23 -0400
you are missing nothing, ..the hyping hyena overstates everying by a factor of 2


On Oct 05 09:45 AM Gassy wrote:

> I was wondering why the market is in the show me mode? I have no
> background on this company but surprised out of 15 analysts only
> 6 are Buys (usually a good sign to make money). have you taken a
> decline on the existing production for 100mmcfe/d. Although EPS is
> not the right measure but still followed a lot, why is consensus
> EPS for 2010 $1.25/sh and cash eps $9/sh versus yours $17/sh. What
> is the market missing? Thanks]]>
Deutsche Bank Names the Best and Worst Hedged Energy Companies http://seekingalpha.com/article/115222-deutsche-bank-names-the-best-and-worst-hedged-energy-companies?source=feed#comment-360658 360658
PXP

They have 200 % coverage as they have double puts]]>
Tue, 20 Jan 2009 08:16:30 -0500
PXP

They have 200 % coverage as they have double puts]]>
Two Water Transport Plays - Besides DryShips http://seekingalpha.com/article/85667-two-water-transport-plays-besides-dryships?source=feed#comment-213223 213223 Thu, 24 Jul 2008 10:03:13 -0400 Are SQM and DRYS Still Good Buys? http://seekingalpha.com/article/84762-are-sqm-and-drys-still-good-buys?source=feed#comment-204994 204994
How can you be a fan of management when the ceo has:

1. Given himself 1 million free shares worth 75 diluting everyshareholder 2.7 %
2. flip his ocean ridg shares to Drys and charged a 4 m "sommision" for his efforts
3. Doubled his salary.
4. Sold from his private cardiff 4 panamax to drys at an eye popping price of 100 m each
5. Locked up drys ships on long term charters to his private company at prices significantly below spot rates
6. flipped his drill ships to drys at 1.6 b when he reportly bot them for 1.3 b. (Details have never been disclosed)

He did all this in the last 6 months!! He is using DRys as his personal piggy bank and siphoned off over a billion in value, imho.

Who knows, he may be the greatest ceo in the planet but you be the judge

Sorry, I dont trust him and i sold my entire million dollar position]]>
Mon, 14 Jul 2008 08:32:43 -0400
How can you be a fan of management when the ceo has:

1. Given himself 1 million free shares worth 75 diluting everyshareholder 2.7 %
2. flip his ocean ridg shares to Drys and charged a 4 m "sommision" for his efforts
3. Doubled his salary.
4. Sold from his private cardiff 4 panamax to drys at an eye popping price of 100 m each
5. Locked up drys ships on long term charters to his private company at prices significantly below spot rates
6. flipped his drill ships to drys at 1.6 b when he reportly bot them for 1.3 b. (Details have never been disclosed)

He did all this in the last 6 months!! He is using DRys as his personal piggy bank and siphoned off over a billion in value, imho.

Who knows, he may be the greatest ceo in the planet but you be the judge

Sorry, I dont trust him and i sold my entire million dollar position]]>
Drybulk Shipping: Prepare for a New Record High http://seekingalpha.com/article/82973-drybulk-shipping-prepare-for-a-new-record-high?source=feed#comment-194081 194081
the ffa's all indicate lower rates in 2009 so if you think you can be th4e first guy out go ahead and buy.

you need to add more balance to your article and mention what rates were for the last 30 years and why its different this time]]>
Fri, 27 Jun 2008 09:58:12 -0400
the ffa's all indicate lower rates in 2009 so if you think you can be th4e first guy out go ahead and buy.

you need to add more balance to your article and mention what rates were for the last 30 years and why its different this time]]>
Good News For Dry Bulk Shipping http://seekingalpha.com/article/82411-good-news-for-dry-bulk-shipping?source=feed#comment-191736 191736
you don't want to be in any bulker stock if and when that occurs]]>
Tue, 24 Jun 2008 10:31:16 -0400
you don't want to be in any bulker stock if and when that occurs]]>
Good News For Dry Bulk Shipping http://seekingalpha.com/article/82411-good-news-for-dry-bulk-shipping?source=feed#comment-191712 191712
secondly, the ceo has no problem issuing himself one million shares worth 75 m.

third, the ceo private company took long term charters at th public share holders expense

I cant get over his self serving moves and cashed out a million dollar position.]]>
Tue, 24 Jun 2008 10:12:06 -0400
secondly, the ceo has no problem issuing himself one million shares worth 75 m.

third, the ceo private company took long term charters at th public share holders expense

I cant get over his self serving moves and cashed out a million dollar position.]]>
Dryship's Transformational CEO http://seekingalpha.com/article/78739-dryship-s-transformational-ceo?source=feed#comment-175122 175122
He transforms Drys shareholder equity to his own personal gain.

To wit:

1.Issued himself ONE MILLION SHARES WORTH 90 m dollars.

2. His private company TOOK drys ships on period charters at rates that are a fraction of current spot rates.

3. Dumped his drillships report purchased for 1.3 b to drys for a cost of 1.6 m

4. Use DRYS as his personal piggy bank to over pay for Ocean Rig.

5. Sold his personal shares of Ocean Rig to DRYS shareholders

He reportly said US investors are stupid and the world's dumbest investors. i have to agree. They put up with self serving deals that have transformed drys into his personal money making machine.

a REAL transformer man!]]>
Wed, 28 May 2008 09:18:56 -0400
He transforms Drys shareholder equity to his own personal gain.

To wit:

1.Issued himself ONE MILLION SHARES WORTH 90 m dollars.

2. His private company TOOK drys ships on period charters at rates that are a fraction of current spot rates.

3. Dumped his drillships report purchased for 1.3 b to drys for a cost of 1.6 m

4. Use DRYS as his personal piggy bank to over pay for Ocean Rig.

5. Sold his personal shares of Ocean Rig to DRYS shareholders

He reportly said US investors are stupid and the world's dumbest investors. i have to agree. They put up with self serving deals that have transformed drys into his personal money making machine.

a REAL transformer man!]]>
Dryship's Transformational CEO http://seekingalpha.com/article/78739-dryship-s-transformational-ceo?source=feed#comment-174473 174473
to wit

issuing himself 1.0 shares of free stock
leasing 1/2 billion dollars in ships at bargain rates

aren't there better ethical companies out there??]]>
Tue, 27 May 2008 10:22:36 -0400
to wit

issuing himself 1.0 shares of free stock
leasing 1/2 billion dollars in ships at bargain rates

aren't there better ethical companies out there??]]>
Day Rates Headed Higher at Nordic American Tanker http://seekingalpha.com/article/78220-day-rates-headed-higher-at-nordic-american-tanker?source=feed#comment-171379 171379
they have a different chartering approach, they lock in rates for 2 or 3 years and have a profit sharing if rates go up. It's less risky than nat but pays out less in dividends but stock buy backs is an indirect way of giving money back to shareholders.

The key is TNP assets are worth 56 per share and is trading at a discount at 38. It should be trading it 80 to equate to nats multiple

BUY TNP INSTEAD. Tops also should be considered but thats a story for another day]]>
Wed, 21 May 2008 19:53:56 -0400
they have a different chartering approach, they lock in rates for 2 or 3 years and have a profit sharing if rates go up. It's less risky than nat but pays out less in dividends but stock buy backs is an indirect way of giving money back to shareholders.

The key is TNP assets are worth 56 per share and is trading at a discount at 38. It should be trading it 80 to equate to nats multiple

BUY TNP INSTEAD. Tops also should be considered but thats a story for another day]]>
Day Rates Headed Higher at Nordic American Tanker http://seekingalpha.com/article/78220-day-rates-headed-higher-at-nordic-american-tanker?source=feed#comment-171373 171373
that is a pooly written sentance

nat has complete exposure to the spot market and pays out 100% of it cash flow. rates are now good..will they stay that way..who knows but they usually fall in the summer as we dont need as much oil to heat in the summer. Above 40 its a sell as its assets are worth only about 25 to 30 per share but alot of people chase the divident]]>
Wed, 21 May 2008 19:38:22 -0400
that is a pooly written sentance

nat has complete exposure to the spot market and pays out 100% of it cash flow. rates are now good..will they stay that way..who knows but they usually fall in the summer as we dont need as much oil to heat in the summer. Above 40 its a sell as its assets are worth only about 25 to 30 per share but alot of people chase the divident]]>