Agree that the price of bank stocks typically bottom 3 to 6 months before the peak in writeoffs and bank failures.
However, the peak in writeoffs and failures probably will not occur before April 2009. If history is any judge, the market will retest and perhaps breach the July 11 lows before the end of October. In any case, I would wait until the 3rd Quarter earnings release before investing in financials.
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Agree that the price of bank stocks typically bottom 3 to 6 months before the peak in writeoffs and bank failures.
Aug 23 13:40 pm
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All Comments by Big Al45 »Our Advice? Buy the Financials Now [View article]
However, the peak in writeoffs and failures probably will not occur before April 2009. If history is any judge, the market will retest and perhaps breach the July 11 lows before the end of October. In any case, I would wait until the 3rd Quarter earnings release before investing in financials.