fredissy's Comments RSS Syndication from SeekingAlpha.com http://seekingalpha.comuser/198960/comments http://seekingalpha.com/article/140494-the-s-p-500-in-real-terms?source=feed#comment-525874 525874 Sun, 31 May 2009 23:12:18 -0400 http://seekingalpha.com/article/139311-this-is-not-a-bull-market-stocks-are-not-up-and-theyre-headed-even-lower?source=feed#comment-516890 516890
fredissy, if you bought anything in 1928, you would either be Long Dead or in some Care Center.

Very funny! But the point of the article was to engage in an exercize in relative values. What part of gold costing 47.85 times more now than it did in 1928 did you not understand?

This is not a forum for stupid attacks like yours. By the way.... I am 105 years old.....I am not in a day care center....I am sure I could beat you in an arm wrestling contest....and, I used to date your grandmother back in 1928!!]]> Mon, 25 May 2009 13:17:10 -0400
fredissy, if you bought anything in 1928, you would either be Long Dead or in some Care Center.

Very funny! But the point of the article was to engage in an exercize in relative values. What part of gold costing 47.85 times more now than it did in 1928 did you not understand?

This is not a forum for stupid attacks like yours. By the way.... I am 105 years old.....I am not in a day care center....I am sure I could beat you in an arm wrestling contest....and, I used to date your grandmother back in 1928!!]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/139311-this-is-not-a-bull-market-stocks-are-not-up-and-theyre-headed-even-lower?source=feed#comment-516505 516505 The Dow-30 was valued at 240 in 1928. So in relation to gold, and having no growth whatsoever, I would expect it to be valued at 240 times 47.85, or 11484 this past Friday. It was valued at 8277. That means that in 81 years of holding the market, I have lost 27.9% in real purchasing power, as purchasing power relates to gold. To rub salt into the wound if I sold everything, I would have a capital gains tax to pay on all of my (HA HA HA HA) capital gains. i.e. 8277 - 240 = 8037 times 15% = $1205.55 in capital gains tax. So my real loss is more like -38.4%.
But, guess what? When I bought that Dow-30 in 1928 I conservatively anticipated that I could expect a 1% per year growth rate on average. That would have compounded by 124% over the 81 year stretch. So 240 times 124% plus the 240 would have my Dow worth 537.60 (in 1928 dollars) That is a 25,724 Dow -30 value in today's dollars. Do you get the picture??
A very good article as an eye opener. I hope I have opened a few more.
I am a market timer and have a very good model to guide me through this. When one can compound gains at more than 25% per annum on average the effects of inflation are well overcome, and gold is used primarily to measure how badly our dollar is being ruined systematically, and how the system is systematically raping the buy and hope type investor.
Check me out....StrategicTrendT...
]]> Mon, 25 May 2009 02:38:28 -0400 The Dow-30 was valued at 240 in 1928. So in relation to gold, and having no growth whatsoever, I would expect it to be valued at 240 times 47.85, or 11484 this past Friday. It was valued at 8277. That means that in 81 years of holding the market, I have lost 27.9% in real purchasing power, as purchasing power relates to gold. To rub salt into the wound if I sold everything, I would have a capital gains tax to pay on all of my (HA HA HA HA) capital gains. i.e. 8277 - 240 = 8037 times 15% = $1205.55 in capital gains tax. So my real loss is more like -38.4%.
But, guess what? When I bought that Dow-30 in 1928 I conservatively anticipated that I could expect a 1% per year growth rate on average. That would have compounded by 124% over the 81 year stretch. So 240 times 124% plus the 240 would have my Dow worth 537.60 (in 1928 dollars) That is a 25,724 Dow -30 value in today's dollars. Do you get the picture??
A very good article as an eye opener. I hope I have opened a few more.
I am a market timer and have a very good model to guide me through this. When one can compound gains at more than 25% per annum on average the effects of inflation are well overcome, and gold is used primarily to measure how badly our dollar is being ruined systematically, and how the system is systematically raping the buy and hope type investor.
Check me out....StrategicTrendT...
]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/130500-it-s-not-a-recession-it-s-the-new-reality?source=feed#comment-461090 461090 Sun, 12 Apr 2009 23:27:32 -0400 http://seekingalpha.com/article/130526-short-term-tactics-and-long-term-strategy?source=feed#comment-461082 461082 Sun, 12 Apr 2009 23:19:28 -0400 http://seekingalpha.com/article/130544-stock-market-rally-is-for-suckers-as-credit-destruction-lingers?source=feed#comment-461076 461076 No, I don't know if his numbers are correct, but his premise is. A society cannot print, borrow, and spend its way to prosperity. And bring up our children in a totally clean environment where they can be a comfortable 50 pounds overweight doesn't seem to bode well for our future either.
Our society, our economy, our markets, and our general well being, are all headed for HELL. The only question is......How long will it take]]> Sun, 12 Apr 2009 22:59:04 -0400 No, I don't know if his numbers are correct, but his premise is. A society cannot print, borrow, and spend its way to prosperity. And bring up our children in a totally clean environment where they can be a comfortable 50 pounds overweight doesn't seem to bode well for our future either.
Our society, our economy, our markets, and our general well being, are all headed for HELL. The only question is......How long will it take]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/129515-could-the-dow-sink-another-50-by-2012?source=feed#comment-452757 452757 Sun, 05 Apr 2009 19:53:28 -0400 http://seekingalpha.com/article/129344-buy-and-hold-is-dead?source=feed#comment-451843 451843 Sat, 04 Apr 2009 15:14:36 -0400 http://seekingalpha.com/article/128207-krugman-don-t-throw-the-baby-out-with-the-bathwater-just-yet?source=feed#comment-442652 442652 Fri, 27 Mar 2009 13:40:41 -0400 http://seekingalpha.com/article/128128-cramer-s-stop-trading-cramer-calls-a-bottom-3-26-09?source=feed#comment-442642 442642 Fri, 27 Mar 2009 13:37:35 -0400 http://seekingalpha.com/article/127164-gold-against-stocks-over-the-decades-not-as-impressive?source=feed#comment-435486 435486 Sun, 22 Mar 2009 13:41:55 -0400 http://seekingalpha.com/article/125955-credit-card-cancer?source=feed#comment-426543 426543 Sun, 15 Mar 2009 12:33:28 -0400 http://seekingalpha.com/article/125547-tuesday-s-big-rally-likely-means-absolutely-nothing?source=feed#comment-423894 423894 Thu, 12 Mar 2009 22:12:03 -0400 http://seekingalpha.com/article/115304-overleveraging-an-unsustainable-way-of-life?source=feed#comment-360167 360167 Mon, 19 Jan 2009 15:45:57 -0500 http://seekingalpha.com/article/107376-leaking-geithner-good-news-for-currencies-markets?source=feed#comment-312444 312444 Sat, 22 Nov 2008 11:44:37 -0500 http://seekingalpha.com/article/106108-is-buy-and-hold-dead-hardly?source=feed#comment-306818 306818 I am not going to do the math here. (though I have done it, and it is SCARY!!) As you do the math consider the taxes they have to pay each year as they sell some stock. Consider also the destruction of the value of their portfolio year after year by this country's inflation policy. Consider, as you do this, the REAL inflation, not the lies we are told. Finally, consider the two major hits to the general market we have now experienced in the period of 8 years. Can you spell.....ruined? I do have a solution to this......and, it is not Buy And Hope!! ]]> Sat, 15 Nov 2008 16:07:45 -0500 I am not going to do the math here. (though I have done it, and it is SCARY!!) As you do the math consider the taxes they have to pay each year as they sell some stock. Consider also the destruction of the value of their portfolio year after year by this country's inflation policy. Consider, as you do this, the REAL inflation, not the lies we are told. Finally, consider the two major hits to the general market we have now experienced in the period of 8 years. Can you spell.....ruined? I do have a solution to this......and, it is not Buy And Hope!! ]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/94173-fed-should-cut-rates-cramer-s-mad-money-9-5-08?source=feed#comment-247601 247601 Sun, 07 Sep 2008 13:57:20 -0400 http://seekingalpha.com/article/80668-moderation-of-revolving-credit-is-not-good-news?source=feed#comment-182984 182984 Wed, 11 Jun 2008 00:18:14 -0400 http://seekingalpha.com/article/60933-the-bakken-trend-lost-dutchmen-mine-of-the-oil-patch?source=feed#comment-172973 172973 Fri, 23 May 2008 19:49:09 -0400