13 Fixed Income ETFs On the Move Upwards [View article]
Thanks for your through response. Please keep up the good work.
On May 23 10:45 PM Richard Shaw wrote:
> Closed-end funds are often leveraged and tend to have high expense > ratios relative to mutual funds or ETFs. Expense ratios are always > important, but are even more important for bond funds than for equities > due to the generally lower returns on bond funds. CEFs also may have > less liquidity or higher bid/ask spreads than ETFs. On balance, don't > use CEFs if you have a close alternative in the form of a mutual > fund or ETF. If there is no alternative and you really want what > a CEF has, then consider owning the CEF. > > The only bonds that are expected to perform well during inflation > are TIPS (Treasury Inflation Protected Securities) -- but they will > only go up as much as the CPI (which is arbitrarily measured by the > same government that must pay the bills, so watch out on that). Since > inflation normally associated with higher interest rates, it is hard > to want to own any bonds in an inflationary environment. The shorter > the maturity, the quicker you could reinvest at higher rates -- remember > shorter maturities cut both ways (can't lock in rates long term if > you expect rates to fall). Mortgage funds can behave in different > ways based on fixed or variable rates and the rate of refinancing > (no suggestions there, just a note that they take special care when > being considered). Ideally, I would think you'd want inflation protected > bonds or very short bonds while rates are rising, then lock in rates > with longer-term bonds if you are able to assess that rates are near > a peak -- how hard that may be is unknowable at this time, as we > are in unchartered territory.
13 Fixed Income ETFs On the Move Upwards [View article]
Richard, Thanks for the new work providing analysis of trends. In times of emotion good systems can really help. I have not seen you comment on CEF. What is your thinking about using them for the fixed income portion of a portfolio? What grade bonds would you be wanting to find in an inflationary environment? Thanks Richard
13 Fixed Income ETFs On the Move Upwards [View article]
On May 23 10:45 PM Richard Shaw wrote:
> Closed-end funds are often leveraged and tend to have high expense
> ratios relative to mutual funds or ETFs. Expense ratios are always
> important, but are even more important for bond funds than for equities
> due to the generally lower returns on bond funds. CEFs also may have
> less liquidity or higher bid/ask spreads than ETFs. On balance, don't
> use CEFs if you have a close alternative in the form of a mutual
> fund or ETF. If there is no alternative and you really want what
> a CEF has, then consider owning the CEF.
>
> The only bonds that are expected to perform well during inflation
> are TIPS (Treasury Inflation Protected Securities) -- but they will
> only go up as much as the CPI (which is arbitrarily measured by the
> same government that must pay the bills, so watch out on that). Since
> inflation normally associated with higher interest rates, it is hard
> to want to own any bonds in an inflationary environment. The shorter
> the maturity, the quicker you could reinvest at higher rates -- remember
> shorter maturities cut both ways (can't lock in rates long term if
> you expect rates to fall). Mortgage funds can behave in different
> ways based on fixed or variable rates and the rate of refinancing
> (no suggestions there, just a note that they take special care when
> being considered). Ideally, I would think you'd want inflation protected
> bonds or very short bonds while rates are rising, then lock in rates
> with longer-term bonds if you are able to assess that rates are near
> a peak -- how hard that may be is unknowable at this time, as we
> are in unchartered territory.
13 Fixed Income ETFs On the Move Upwards [View article]