Annals of Pathetic CEO Communication, Moody's Edition [View article]
I view Rubens' point as perfectly valid. I agree that MCO is a bargain a these levels and that we'll make a mint out of it. Those who dump their shares at these prices simply do not understand the strenght of the franchise the three leading credit rating agencies have. The simplest of DCF analyses shows that the P/E for a business with a return on total capital of roughly 50% is well above 20. If concerned about the future earning power of MCO ask yourself: Is this credit crisis the end of structured finance? Or is it simply a one or two year downsweep? When the housing slump ends (which will happen), current fear will vanish and markets will rally and nobody will care again about subprime asset backeds, CDOs, CPDOs and the like. Structured finance deals will regain momentum and the agencies will be there to profit from rating them. As Buffett said, this is a "no brainer".
However, Bearfund is right in that Felix's point was different. And, regarding this, I was struck too at reading McDaniels' verbatim copy of the previous corporate press release. It is indeed dissapointing to see that the CEO could not come up with something better than the bureaucratic quote of a lesser officer.
Fortunately for us, MCO's business is so strong that even with subpar management it is bound to flourish.
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I view Rubens' point as perfectly valid. I agree that MCO is a bargain a these levels and that we'll make a mint out of it. Those who dump their shares at these prices simply do not understand the strenght of the franchise the three leading credit rating agencies have. The simplest of DCF analyses shows that the P/E for a business with a return on total capital of roughly 50% is well above 20. If concerned about the future earning power of MCO ask yourself: Is this credit crisis the end of structured finance? Or is it simply a one or two year downsweep? When the housing slump ends (which will happen), current fear will vanish and markets will rally and nobody will care again about subprime asset backeds, CDOs, CPDOs and the like. Structured finance deals will regain momentum and the agencies will be there to profit from rating them. As Buffett said, this is a "no brainer".
May 28 00:45 am
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All Comments by Century_XI »Annals of Pathetic CEO Communication, Moody's Edition [View article]
However, Bearfund is right in that Felix's point was different. And, regarding this, I was struck too at reading McDaniels' verbatim copy of the previous corporate press release. It is indeed dissapointing to see that the CEO could not come up with something better than the bureaucratic quote of a lesser officer.
Fortunately for us, MCO's business is so strong that even with subpar management it is bound to flourish.