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  • U.S. Stock Prices Will Soar After Bank Runs In Europe Are Stopped [View article]
    ongoing weakness in the dollar? seriously? wow.
    i stopped reading after that claim. obviously this
    article is driven by ideology, not facts.
    Jun 17 11:20 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Store Some Profits With Seagate [View article]
    no brainer, double down on pullbacks....stx is worst case scenario forward pe of 4-5.....the company just approved a more aggressive share buyback program, roughly 20 percent of current shares outstanding.....most forward estimates predict next 4 quarters will bring in over $10/share. Add in 20 percent for share buyback over next several months and we have forward eps of 12/share. that makes seagate, with a 3.5 percent dividend, the cheapest growing mature dominant sector based tech company on the planet. if not the cheapest, perhaps the most well known and underappreciated.

    little to no competition left, and we are in the 3rd inning of the computer revolution, 1st inning of cloud computing....growth issues? please........

    buy now, buy more, buy dips, ridiculously and outrageously cheap valuation....
    Apr 28 12:06 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Dendreon Highlights The Best Of The Web [View article]
    after your opening paragraph, i put you on my follow list.

    excellent essay, deeply appreciate the effort and insight.
    Apr 24 08:00 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Seagate Flourishes As Hard Disk Drives Find New Life In Cloud Storage [View article]
    their target is 350 million shares, a reduction from 460 million, the number used to calculate last quarter's numbers. that is a reduction of outstanding shares of 90 million, which raises forward earnings estimates another 20 percent.
    Apr 23 08:12 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Why The Verizon Data Freaked Apple Shareholders [View article]
    when i went looking for a smartphone at verizon wireless, the sales agent did everything in his power to not let me think iphone. there was no sample iphone to examine, and all the talk was about their android phones, razor etc....i thought, hmmm, must be the company policy not to push the iphone. i have since heard this is true, people have to choose the iphone via verizon wireless, they do not encourage people to consider it. i think this is a business decision that could have long term consequences for apple.
    Apr 20 08:59 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Why I Am Content That I Sold Apple And Gave Up Trading [View article]
    i think there is some confusion in terms of the success rate of day trading, kinda like the success rate of college students who say they want to become medical doctors. the overwhelming majority, dare I say 99%, or to use the day trade statistics frequently cited, more than 90% of premed students, across the country, most likely never make it to medical school. now, the difference between day trader success rates and premed success rates is highly skewed by barriers to entry. those already in college need only work their butts off to get the grades, to "pay the price" of success, assuming they were intelligent enough to get into the college where they are taking premed classes. of this percentage, maybe 50% cannot cut it despite working their butts off in class/study. so the success rate among those willing to pay the price is apparently higher.

    i would argue this would be true with day trading. which has a huge barrier to entry (cash) and hence, falling down a few times means for most, the end of the dream, since they most likely feel financial pressures to find another job to pay the bills.

    among those who trade with a lot of capital, and have access to quality training, or the capacity to get back up again and try it again next time they have the cash to give it another go round, among this select group I imagine the success rate is much higher than 5%.

    but even if the success rate, no matter how low, is below 5%, the fact is that a successful frequent/day trader can make a ton of money, as the best in any trade can.

    the financial markets are extremely lucrative for those who learn how to learn from their experiences and apply that knowledge to their trading strategies.

    the more capital, the easier it is to make a good living as a frequent/day trader, esp given the high level of volatility built into most stocks and their markets these days.
    Apr 14 04:36 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Facebook IPO Analysis: Thanks, But No Thanks [View article]
    yea, and the buying frenzy will return those who buy at the open close to 50 percent within the first few hours. not bad for a mornings trade....
    Apr 9 02:17 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Underestimating Apple: Analyst Consensus Plays Catch-Up [View article]
    the chart today was impressive, esp given it was the first day of the new quarter.

    last time i saw aaple run like that with such a smooth chart, it went up another 30-50 bucks in 5-7 days.....

    i expect this will hit 660 before there is another "pullback"....or perhaps straight to 700 before earnings........
    Apr 2 08:29 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • 4 Stocks Heavily Impacted By Short Interest Ratio [View article]
    when you have a small sample size, detailed case studies are useful, otherwise it is not reliable to say much of anything.

    better to crunch numbers on a large size of stocks over a period of time, with below 5 percent short and above 10 percent short, for example, and see what the trends show.

    my sense is shorts tend to be professionals, and retail tend to buy the hype.

    i am more interested if shorts tend to win when they reach a high percentage of the float, say 1 yr forward.

    nflx was an obvious short at 300, salesforce now, fslr a few yrs ago...but the street peddled fantasy forward earnings numbers to get retail to buy their latest version of snake oil.

    seems like shorts know something others do not, or see through the hype.

    but again, what do the data say?
    Mar 3 06:16 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Apple Should Not Pay A Dividend (Or Do Anything Else Incredibly Stupid) [View article]
    somehow i cannot imagine steve jobs saying "we are in business to generate a risk-adjusted rate of return for shareholders..."

    are you kidding?
    Feb 25 02:38 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Earnings News: Apple Has Become Its Own Asset Class [View article]
    only 550 in twelve months, for a company on its way to earning 40 eps in the next 4 quarters, if not closer to 50 when all is said and done?

    550 seems awfully conservative.

    apple is out earning google and google is at 580 right now, indeed, it was fetching 582 after apple reported earnings of close to 14 dollars/share for the quarter, almost 4 dollars more than google reported.

    help me understand the low balling of apple?
    Jan 24 10:40 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Dell Beats Apple In Relative Value [View article]
    this is the kind of stuff for which gatekeepers were invented: to prevent it from being viewed by the reading public.......next.....
    Jan 20 05:44 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • The Perfect Storm In A Kondratieff Long Wave Winter [View article]
    show me a billionaire, and i will show you an individual who made a lot of money off of government markets.

    would anyone care to discuss what would happen if the government did not collect taxes and provide essential services?

    would anyone care to discuss how we would have free markets if we left markets to "private individuals"?

    last time i checked, the use of war and coercion was as natural to humanity as the changing of the seasons.

    show me a nation of great economic power and i will show you a nation that robbed, pillaged and plundered other nations and peoples at some important moment in their historical rise to power.

    there is a reason why Imperialism is a dirty word in American politics: because we are the #1 Imperial Power on the Planet.

    And we are the #1 Imperial Power on the Planet to promote and advance Corporate Power and Wealth.

    Free Markets are a Consequence of Empire, not its Victim.
    Oct 1 07:56 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • The Fed Has Spoken: No Bailout for Main Street [View article]
    gary north links left wing populism from the days of the American populist movement of farmers against bankers and railroads, to Keynes to Hitler, all in the same camp with Krugman and others who call for an aggressive fiscal stimulus to prevent domestic economic depression.

    when you can make those kinds of political connections, you deserve the title: right wing lunatic fringe intellectual with delusional conspiracies of dancing leftists in your head.

    wow, and people take HIM seriously?
    Aug 21 12:58 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Private Sector Job Creation Accelerates in July [View article]
    head in the sand logic of garry g99 above: "and it is good that government jobs overall decreased 37,000 last month"......

    i am trying to think why this would be a good thing. oh, right,
    because government jobs are bad, and private sector jobs
    are good.

    here is a simple test for this right wing proposition. if there was
    an alternative between creating 50,000 jobs in the Mafia, based
    on running guns to Mexico and drugs back into the US, or
    creating 50,000 jobs protecting our borders from gun running
    into Mexico and drug smuggling into the USA, which would you prefer?

    another test of this right wing proposition: the government creates 50,000 jobs among recent college and high school graduates installing installing weatherization in poorly insulated homes throughout the northeast, where it has annually spent tens of billions in home heating subsidies, which are now being eliminated due to budget cuts.

    these 50,000 new jobs will be contracted to the private sector, which currently is struggling to find business.

    these 50,000 new jobs will improve energy efficiency, and lead to spin off jobs, as communities see the benefits of these weatherization demonstration projects.

    alternative: we spend the same money on tax cuts to millionaires and billionaires, the so called job creators, who invest in new palm oil plantations in vietnam and cambodia, where their workers get paid 20 cents an hour, and the army recruits the workers by driving them off their small plots of subsistence farming in the name of globalization....

    my sense is, you would prefer the later alternative, but rather not talk about what the real world implications are.

    we are imprisoned by ideologues with no knowledge of real economic history.

    the jobs hole will not be filled by corporate globalists.

    small business generates the bulk of new employment since the 1980s, and look where that has gotten us: higher unemployment and increasing inequality in wealth and income.

    no, but it is the government's fault, and who wants a bad government job when you can wait, with delusional anticipation, for the blessing of the private sector to come knocking on your door and offer you a job with no benefits, no security of any kind, and most likely, less than fulltime.

    oh my, god bless those imaginary jobs from the invisible hand.

    to hell with government work, i want to wait for my job creating millionaire friends to hire me.
    Aug 6 10:24 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
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