As a chemist and part-time investor, I focus on technology and natural-resource related businesses and macroeconomic events that influence their prices. I use past trends and technological developments to make decisions on companies that I would invest in. My point of view as a chemist occasionally allows a deeper look at some of the fundamentals of some companies that base their technology on chemical principles.
Wall Street Breakfast, Seeking Alpha's flagship daily business news summary, is a one-page summary that gives you a rapid overview of the day's key financial news. It's designed for easy readability on the site or by email (including on mobile devices), and is published before 7:00 AM ET every market day.
Wall Street Breakfast readership of over 900,000 includes many from the investment-banking and fund-management industries.
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Disclosure: I'm not a financial adviser. All articles are my opinion - they are not suggestions to buy or sell any securities. Perform your own due diligence and consult a financial professional before trading.
Harry studied economics in college in the ’70s, but found it vague and inconclusive. He became so disillusioned by the state of his chosen profession that he turned his back on it. Instead, he threw himself into the burgeoning New Science of Finance where identifying and studying demographic, technological, consumer and many, many other trends empowered him to forecast economic changes.
Since then, he’s spoken to executives, financial advisors and investors around the world. He’s appeared on “Good Morning America,” PBS, CNBC and CNN/FN. He’s been featured in Barron’s, Investor’s Business Daily, Entrepreneur, Fortune, Success, U.S. News and World Report, Business Week, The Wall Street Journal, American Demographics and Omni. He is a regular guest on Fox Business’s “America’s Nightly Scorecard.”
Harry has written numerous books over the years. In his book The Great Boom Ahead, published in 1992, he stood virtually alone in accurately forecasting the unanticipated “Boom” of the 1990s. That same year he authored two consecutive best sellers: The Roaring 2000s and The Roaring 2000s Investor (Simon and Schuster). In The Next Great Bubble Boom, he offered a comprehensive forecast for the following two decades.
In The Great Depression Ahead, he outlined how the next great downturn is likely to unfold in three stages, with an interim boom stage between 2012 and 2017 before the long-term slowdown finally turns into the next global boom in the early 2020s.
In The Great Crash Ahead, he outlines how this next great crash is likely to unfold in the coming months. He explains why there is nothing the government can do to protect us as deflation takes hold of the economy.
Harry’s latest book, The Demographic Cliff, How to Survive and Prosper During the Great Deflation of 2014–2019, shows why we’re facing a “great deflation” after five years of stimulus — and what to do about it now.
Today, he uses the research he developed from years of hands-on business experience to offer readers a positive, easy-to-understand view of the economic future.
Harry got his MBA from Harvard Business School, where he was a Baker Scholar and was elected to the Century Club for leadership excellence.
Individual investor focused upon a limited number of diversified stocks. Seeks stocks selling below fair value; favors dividend growth. Advocates fundamental investment analysis, supplemented by the technical charts. Options strategies primarily employed to generate additional income or hedge risk.
Eli Inkrot is a writer. Check out his website: thecurrencyoftime.com, his articles here on Seeking Alpha or his book - "You Don't Have A Money Problem" - on Amazon.com.
Additionally, here is a quick bio:
Eli has held the title of Vice President and Portfolio Manager at EDMP Inc. - a money management firm - along with Vice President for F.A.S.T. Graphs - a financial software company.
Prior to that, he began his investment career as an analyst in private real estate for a public pension fund. During his time in real estate he was the lead for a variety of accounts with net asset values totaling nearly two billion dollars. Eli received a Master’s in Finance from the University of Tampa where he earned “highest honors” whilst receiving the distinction of being named the “most outstanding graduate student.” He also holds undergraduate degrees in both Economics and Business Administration from Otterbein University, graduating “magna cum laude” with distinct honors in each major. During his tenure at Otterbein, Eli was a member of the varsity golf team, held the departmental Senator position for Business, Economics and Accounting and studied abroad in the Netherlands.
Richard Zeits is an Oil & Gas industry analyst and consultant. His background includes fourteen years as Energy industry-focused investment banker, portfolio manager and senior investment analyst with bulge bracket firms in New York. Zeits Energy Analytics use elaborate proprietary analytics and data bases to provide in-depth industry research, market intelligence, and forecasting.
Ph.D. economics and Finance MBA finance
Globe Institute of Technology
Professor – Economics and Finance, Chair of Business Department
Colorado Technical University
Adjunct Professor – courses: Applied Managerial Finance (Graduate Level), Microeconomics, International Finance
European School Of Economics (New York Campus)
Adjunct Professor – Economics (Graduate Level) Courses taught: Microeconomics
Metropolitan College of New York
Adjunct Professor – Economics, Banking and Finance
Courses taught: History of Economic Thought, Macroeconomics, Money and Financial Institutions
World Gold Council
New York, NY
• Constructed econometric models relating to gold's role as a portfolio diversifier primarily aimed at institutional investors.
• Focused on models of the embedded optionality of gold in terms of its relation to other investment assets and economic fundamentals such as inflation and business conditions.
Founder and President, Internet Startup company with polling and investment advice websites.
Fundamental Portfolio Advisors, Inc.
Chief Portfolio Strategist – President
• At the predecessor company I started the New York Muni Fund, the first single state triple tax-free municipal bond fund.
• I took the fund from a one-employee start-up where I performed every function to a family of mutual funds which had five funds with total assets above $300 million and which did all of its distribution, accounting and transfer in-house.
• I wrote the initial prospectus and was responsible for managing the portfolios of what eventually grew to be a family of 5 mutual funds.
• Was chief economist for parent company’s brokerage affiliate.
• Involved on the buy-side in the development and monitoring of various structured municipal finance products. Worked with major issuers such as New York City and major investment banks such as Merrill Lynch and Goldman Sachs.
• Designed and submitted a U.S. Patent Application for a portfolio management system for mutual funds involving derivatives.
Note: In 1996 Fundamental Portfolio Advisors and myself were subject to civil litigation by the SEC which resulted in deregistration and a permanent bar from the securities industry.
A. Gary Shilling & Co.
Senior Economist – Vice President
Economic consulting, modeling and forecasting. Both macro and micro.
• Clients included: Emerson Electric, Bethlehem Steel, Castle & Cooke, Cooper Industries and the U.S. Department of Transportation.
• I was the author of the 1979 study commissioned by the U.S. Government Interstate Commerce Commission, which calculated the expected economic impact of trucking deregulation.
White, Weld & Co, Inc.
• White, Weld was the sixth largest investment banking and brokerage firm when Merrill Lynch bought it.
• Extensive work was done on the All-American Pipeline Proposal to tap the Alaskan Gas Reserves.
• The economics department of White, Weld formed A. Gary Shilling & Co. at the time of the Merrill Lynch merger.
American Stock Exchange
New York University
June 1978 Ph.D.
• Ph.D. dual field, economics and finance.
• Doctoral dissertation was in contingency claims (options) theory
June 1973 MBA with concentration in economics and finance
NYU Engineering School
June 1971 Bachelor of Science - Nuclear Engineering Tau Beta Pi
Analysis of the Embedded Inflation Optionality in Gold Prices. World Gold Council, 2000. New York, N.Y.
The Economic Impact of Trucking Deregulation. Interstate Commerce Commission, 1979, Washington D.C.
Long-only value investor running a fund for accredited investors, and a Marketplace subscription for objective buyside research. Pseudonymous to protect my IR access but if you send me your email address and show me your LinkedIn, I'll show you mine. I'm not like anyone you've ever met and am not doing this for the traditional reasons. I’m always up for a conversation with anyone interested in value investing or mental models.
My Marketplace subscription service, called “Outsourced Analyst,” provides small-mid-sized funds, family offices, or high-net-worth investors the workflow of an analyst for a hundredth of the price. I write objective coverage of high-quality, underfollowed small-caps that I'm working on / following. Subscribers also have early (sometimes exclusive) access to writeups of some of my best ideas like those I've posted on LQDT, CRAI, FC, LGIH, BOOM, CSWI, and so on. Bonus material is thought pieces - I place a lot of emphasis on learning and getting better - so if/when I make mistakes, I'll write up postmortems with what I learned, and maybe they'll help you as well... Membership will be limited to the first 250 subscribers.
Seeking Alpha T&C requires me to disclose that I'm a registered investment advisor; regulations require me to reiterate that nothing I say is investment advice - it's just my Monday-morning-quarterback opinion for your entertainment and amusement. Always do your own due diligence, consider your own financial position, and consult your preferred financial professional before making any investment decision.
Civil engineer using nurtured logical predictive ability to increase my retirement accounts and thereby recover somewhat from the one two punch of a divorce (in 2007 I borrowed to settle and keep real estate) and real estate downturn (2008 my real estate went underwater).
Started investing in stocks in mid-2013 with $100k in a Roth IRA. Dropped to $69k, up to $500k, down to $105k, up to $670k, down to $315k, up to $850k. Goal is $4m by end of 2015. I am more than half way there having achieved an 8.5 bagger (end of 2015), I only need another 5 bagger to exceed my goal. TAX FREE.
"A man who follows an independent and contrary path has no guarantee of making money… but a man who follows the great mass of conventional wisdom is practically guaranteed that he will not."
Riches are made through focus and concentration on a few stocks. Riches are kept through diversification . . .
Current investments: RiteAid and Intel LEAPS
LEAPS for Fun and Profit: service only available to family and close friends :-)
Don't try what I am doing without your own extensive research.
Making money investing in financial markets is our livelihood. It's how we put food on the table. The partners of Cup & Handle Macro have over 50 years of combined experience, and have worked together at some of the most high-profile hedge funds in the world. We're independent now and very excited to generate out-sized returns with our readers.
Wall Street Forensics - Chief Research Analyst www.wallstreetforensics.com Instavest Lead Investor - You can follow my personal trades and invest your own money with me via Instavest www.instavest.com My focus is on ground breaking technology and the companies that will deliver them in the future. I have managed a family portfolio since 2008 that has been focused on growth and income generation. You can follow me on twitter @WallStForensics
My Wall Street Forensics weekly newsletter provides in-depth and analysis of tech companies. Individually stock picks are recommended portfolio weightings and price targets. Investment picks may range from emerging technology companies that are highly speculative stocks and come with very high risks and very high rewards or momentum stocks that are more mature and come with downside risks but potential explosive upside potential. Stock picks are held captive for Wall Street Forensic subscribers for weeks or months before they are released to the public. This gives subscribers an advantage to get in early before the general public is alerted of my investment picks.
I am a strategic leader with over 13 years of experience in Internal Audit, Accounting, Finance and independent investment research for multi-billion dollar corporations with a demonstrated record of achievement and understanding of business processes, corporate strategy, financial month end close and forecasting.
I have a financial oriented mind with the ability to understand technology, operations and the financial impact of change on an organization’s income statement. My research efforts are focused on technology and the relationship of various data inputs to assemble conclusions and various scenario outcomes. I have been recognized as an independent research expert in technology specifically related to Apple and Intel by various media outlets including The Wall Street Journal, Forbes, USA Today and CNN Money.
My general area of focus is on technology companies. Specifically, technology companies that will help improve and are improving and impacting our daily lives. I enjoy taking a deep dive into up and coming tech companies or companies that are enduring product or industry transition.
I'm a Managing Director at A North Investments (ANI), a quantitative hedge fund based in New York. Those who'd like to contact me, private message me here or email me at firstname.lastname@example.org.
J. Bradford DeLong is a professor of economics at the University of California at Berkeley, chair of its political economy major, a research associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research, a visiting scholar at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, and was in the Clinton administration a deputy assistant secretary of the U.S. Treasury. You can learn more about his website (http://delong.typepad.com/sdj/about_this_website.html/), visit his home page (http://delong.typepad.com/main/), visit his principal weblog (http://delong.typepad.com/sdj).
ZVI BAR LLC is a legal and financial trust consultancy based on Wall Street, and a leading authority on trust administration and estate planning. ZVI BAR LLC was founded by Zvi Bar-Kochba, an attorney and consultant on trust administration that provides advisory services for trusts and beneficiaries. ZVI BAR LLC provides consulting expert services regarding prudent investing, securities regulations and evaluations of potential fiduciary liability.
Publications here are written by agents, representatives and individuals associated with or contracted by ZVI BAR LLC. No articles or discussions here shall constitute a legal, fiduciary or advisory role, but solely act as informative press and/or a starting point from which further discussion may follow. Comments are welcome, as are questions.
Having always been a learning machine, I speak five languages, have worked as a sales agent, project manager, translator, computer consultant, software engineer, built a house with my own hands, published books and essays on literature, philosophy and art, have written for magazines of various kinds in different countries.
After retiring early in 2004, little by little, I have become a fund manager for some friends and myself, following the principles of value investing laid out by Benjamin Graham, Phil Fisher, Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett. You can read about my thoughts on a suitable portfolio structure for early retirees here.
My articles should not be considered to be any kind of investment advice. What suits me well is not necessarily good for others, as successful investing is somewhat like a marriage: If only one is perfect, the marriage won’t work. So please do your own research and remember Benjamin Graham's advice: “The investor’s chief problem — and even his worst enemy — is likely to be himself.”
I sincerely hope that my readers will ignore the Performance calculations provided by Seeking Alpha (although only to Pro subscribers, I believe). For reasons unknown to me, some of my European stock picks seem to be tracked inaccurately by Seeking Alpha's system. Spin-offs are not included in total return calculations and many of my correction requests didn't receive any answer at all. Moreover, my time frame almost never is as short as only 1 year (the maximum included in Seeking Alpha's table) and personally I consider the 1 year performance of my stock picks to be close to meaningless.
Bill Gunderson @billgunderson is the CEO and Chief Market Strategist of Gunderson Capital Managment in San Diego, CA.
He is also a professional money manager, former research analyst, author of Best Stocks Now, and developer of the Best Stocks Now smartphone app.
He offers four free weeks to his weekly Best Stocks Now to Seeking Alpha readers at gundersoncapital.com
He also hosts a daily stock market radio show that is syndicated nationwide on the Salem Broadcast Network.
Bill has appeared on the Fox Business Channel and on Bloomberg Radio numerous times .His articles have been published in Barron's, Forbes, TheStreet.com and numerous other publications.
He can be reached at email@example.com or by calling (855)611-BEST.
I am a market enthusiast and part-time trader. I started writing for Seeking Alpha in 2011, and it has been a tremendous opportunity and learning experience. I have been interested in the markets since elementary school, and hope to pursue a career in the investment management industry. I have been active in the markets for several years, and am primarily focused on long/short equities.
I hold a Bachelor of Science Degree from Lehigh University, where I double majored in Finance and Accounting, with a minor in History. My major track focused on Investments and Financial Analysis. While at Lehigh, I was the Head Portfolio Manager of the Investment Management Group, a student group that manages three portfolios, one long/short and two long only. I have had two internships, one a summer internship at a large bank, and another helping to manage the Lehigh University Endowment for nearly a year.
Disclaimer: Bill reminds investors to always due their own due diligence on any investment, and to consult their own financial adviser or representative when necessary. Any material provided is intended as general information only, and should not be considered or relied upon as a formal investment recommendation.
I have a PhD from the University of Pennsylvania, and I have a CFA designation. Presently, I am employed at the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, and my focus is healthcare inflation. I have published in the Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, the Journal of Health Economics, the Official Journal of Statistics, the Journal of Social and Economic Measurement, Economic Inquiry, and Contemporary Economic Policy. My specialties include discrete choice econometrics, selection bias, time series, and simulation methods. I am very interested in risk measurement methods and portfolio management theory.
I look for a change in sentiment that precedes the change in trend. Moments of "lag" in sentiment can provide superb entry points into special situations at a discount; and obversely, manic enthusiasm can provide an opportunity to go short.
I research the fundamentals, know what I am getting into, and go long or short accordingly. Technical studies of the market are also an active part of my trading. I have invested for 22 years.
I am an undergraduate finance student and value investor influenced by the likes of Buffett, Graham, Marks, Klarman, Greenblatt, etc. I am currently interning for a value oriented fund based in Texas, and I’m also searching for an internship for summer 2017. I can be contacted by phone at 1-508-505-8910 or e-mail at firstname.lastname@example.org.
For a little more background…
I started reading Graham and Buffett when I was around 14 or 15 years old and quickly began to develop a passion for value investing. People often say that something just “clicks” and that’s certainly what happened for me. I began investing my own money shortly after and then began to write for Seeking Alpha in my junior year of high school. I have come quite a long way as an investor since then, as you can see by looking at the comparative simplicity of some of my earliest articles.
Over time, my investment philosophy has developed into a strictly value oriented approach, but this does not mean we need to make value and growth a dichotomy. Some companies might be a buy at 25x earnings while others might be a sell at 10x earnings. Through a thorough analysis of competitive and other qualitative factors, along with a valuation through DCF and/or comparable company multiples, I will ultimately arrive at my decision whether to buy, sell, or do nothing. Most of the time I don’t do anything. I aim to only purchase stocks when, simply put (and it’s much more complicated in practice), not everything has to go right in order for the investment to work out. Although I think the strong form EMH is quite ridiculous and has been disproven by various track records, I’m willing to admit that it’s quite difficult to find a security that has an adequate margin of safety worked in. It requires that I constantly try to turn over more rocks.
Although I originally started writing for Seeking Alpha as a way to increase my knowledge and earn a little bit of spending money, its primary use has now developed into serving as my investment journal. I will give each idea I write up a thorough qualitative and quantitative overview, and make my decision based on the findings. I will continually revisit past works to see how the idea has been developing and where I may have gone wrong so that I can avoid similar mistakes in the future. I welcome any and all feedback on my articles, and please feel free to reach out if you wish to contact me for whatever reason (information above).
At Valuentum, we think the best opportunities arise from a complete understanding of all investing disciplines in order to identify the most attractive stocks at any given time. Valuentum therefore analyzes each stock across a wide spectrum of philosophies, from deep value through momentum investing. We think companies that are attractive from a number of investment perspectives--whether it be growth, value, momentum, etc.--have the greatest probability of capital appreciation and relative outperformance. The more investors that are interested in the stock for reasons based on their respective investment mandates, the more likely it will move higher.
Brian Nelson is the President of Equity Research at Valuentum Securities, an investment research firm serving individual and institutional investors, as well as financial advisors. Before founding Valuentum, Mr. Nelson worked as a director at Morningstar, where he was responsible for training and methodology development within the firm's equity and credit research department. Prior to that position, he served as a senior industrials securities analyst, covering aerospace, airlines, construction and environmental services companies. Before joining Morningstar in February 2006, Mr. Nelson worked for a small capitalization fund covering a variety of sectors for an aggressive growth investment management firm in Chicago. He holds a Bachelor's degree in finance and a minor in mathematics, magna cum laude, from Benedictine University. Mr. Nelson has an MBA from the University of Chicago Booth School of Business and also holds the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) designation.
Get to Know Brian:
Brian led the charge in developing Morningstar's issuer credit ratings, developing and rolling-out one of the firm's proprietary credit metrics, the Cash Flow Cushion. http://select.morningstar.com/welcome/credit/pdfs/Morningstar_CashFlowCushion.pdf
Brian is frequently quoted in the media and has been a frequent guest on Nightly Business Report, Bloomberg TV, and the Money Show.
Mr. Nelson is very experienced in valuing equities, developing Morningstar's discounted cash-flow model used to derive the fair value estimates for the company's entire equity coverage universe.
Brian worked on a small cap fund and a micro cap fund that were ranked within the top 10th percentile and top 1st percentile within the Small Cap Lipper Growth Universe, respectively, in 2005.
Mr. Nelson is also a contributor to Seeking Alpha and an opinion leader in the Industrial Goods space.
You can reach Brian at email@example.com.
Please read our Disclaimer that applies to all articles published on Seeking Alpha: http://www.valuentum.com/categories/20110613
Follow us on Twitter: @Valuentum
Eric Parnell, CFA, is the Founder and Director of Gerring Capital Partners. Gerring Capital is a registered investment advisory firm seeking attractive returns opportunities emphasizing value, quality and risk control. Eric also publishes The Universal premium service on Seeking Alpha targeting winning strategies in bear and bull markets across the asset class universe. Gerring Capital implements these strategies for its investors and then Eric discusses them on The Universal. Eric is also a Visiting Instructor at Ursinus College in the Department of Business and Economics. Prior to founding Gerring in 2005, Eric was the Director of Investment Communications at SEI Investments and an Economist at Moody’s Analytics.
Invest. Manage risk. Communicate. Educate yourself. Make profits. .
My name is Todd Johnson. I’m a family man, sports fiend, health nut, technology buff, long-time stock investor, and a very lucky mountain climber, all of which has shaped my philosophy as a professional investor for the last 30 years. As my interests might suggest, I am always looking for the upside while striving to minimize risks.
My new passion, which I have realized through DividendLab.com project, is helping other investors learn more about investing; investing in stocks and other assets that are subject to wide price swings can actually enhance their returns when the right investment strategy is applied. To that end, I read company 10k and 10q statements so they can skip them. I compile and analyze the market research that isn’t always at their fingertips. And I don’t make any investment recommendation without committing my own funds first, which is the purest form of accountability.
Investment manager at Rugged Group LLC, an independent, fee-only registered investment advisor based in New York that I formed in August 2015. Find out more and follow my blog here. Email: brian [at] ruggedgrp [dot com]