Your P/E exercise is misleading and therefore worthless since it conveys the idea the stock market is expensive.
The s&p p/e is high because the "e" in both the financial and consumer discretionary areas have fallen, and these two sectors make up about 29% of the s&p (as of Sept 2007 although it's probably lower today). When one takes a look at the other sectors, where earnings are actually growing because they are heavily tied to the world export market, p/e's are not particularly high on a historical basis and in most cases are lower than a year ago. This was especially true before the latest rally.
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Your P/E exercise is misleading and therefore worthless since it conveys the idea the stock market is expensive.
Apr 06 00:55 am
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All Comments by dancing diva »Stock Valuations On the Rise [View article]
The s&p p/e is high because the "e" in both the financial and consumer discretionary areas have fallen, and these two sectors make up about 29% of the s&p (as of Sept 2007 although it's probably lower today). When one takes a look at the other sectors, where earnings are actually growing because they are heavily tied to the world export market, p/e's are not particularly high on a historical basis and in most cases are lower than a year ago. This was especially true before the latest rally.