I am an individual investor that is relatively new to investing, but has a strong scientific background. I seek to use logical and critical thinking to inform and shape my investment philosophy. I write articles to share ideas, refine my own thinking and invite discussion from the astute readership of Seeking Alpha.
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My profession is in biomedical research. I have over 25 years experience investing and trading stocks, options, ETFs, mutual funds, and futures in most asset classes, including volatility. I have a long-standing interest in algorithmic trading strategies. Over the last several years, we have worked towards developing and in some cases deploying with real money the strategies we have developed.
I am a graduate student in biostatistics at Emory University in Atlanta, GA, and an individual investor. While my investments are mostly in low-cost index funds, I enjoy analyzing stock market trends and trying to find ways to beat the market.
Right now I'm convinced that the best way to beat the market is to pair a leveraged S&P 500 ETF (e.g. UPRO) with a total bond fund (e.g. BND). With one-third allocated to UPRO and two-thirds to BND, you get a portfolio with beta approximately 1 (depending on the current correlation between stocks and bonds) and alpha two-thirds that of BND's alpha. The result is a portfolio that sort of mimics SPY, but with an extra couple percentage points added on each year.
I favor computational investment methods over traditional fundamental or technical analysis, which require subjective analysis of earnings reports and visual assessments of price charts, respectively. I am interested in identifying aspects of stock charts that are statistically predictive of future gains, and developing algorithms that trigger buys or sells accordingly.
Wesley R. Gray, Ph.D. has studied and been an active participant in financial markets throughout his career. After serving as a Captain in the United States Marine Corps, Dr. Gray received a PhD, and was a finance professor at Drexel University. Dr. Gray’s interest in entrepreneurship and behavioral finance led him to found Alpha Architect, LLC, an SEC-Registered Investment Advisor, where he is the Executive Managing Member. Dr. Gray has published two books: EMBEDDED: A Marine Corps Adviser Inside the Iraqi Army and QUANTITATIVE VALUE: A Practitioner’s Guide to Automating Intelligent Investment and Eliminating Behavioral Errors. His work has been highlighted on CBNC, CNN, NPR, Motley Fool, WSJ Market Watch, CFA Institute, Institutional Investor, and CBS News. Dr. Gray earned an MBA and a PhD in finance from the University of Chicago and graduated magna cum laude with a BS from The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania.
Brad Zigler's stints as a contributing editor for the Corporate Communications Broadcast Network, the Journal of Indexes, and CRB Trader set the stage for his role as managing editor of Hard Assets Investor and later as alternative investments editor of Registered Rep. magazine, the most highly subscribed publication for financial advisors.
Brad's feature articles have appeared in Registered Rep., Mutual Funds, Financial Planning, Financial Advisor, Futures and Ticker magazines, TheStreet.Com and MarketWatch Web sites, and in journals published by Institutional Investor. After heading up marketing, research and education at the Pacific Exchange's (now NYSE Arca's) option marketplace and Barclays Global Investors, Brad became a financial correspondent for the European Press Network, and a Public Broadcasting System/National Public Radio affiliate. He continues his work as a financial research and communications consultant for a number of private and public organizations.
Young finance professional interested in constructing trading systems. I program in R, and am interested in finding ways of systematically creating alpha. Right now, I'm learning the quantstrat R package, which is a ridiculously powerful backtesting package, created for and used on the research desk of a high-frequency algorithmic trader running the algo-trading desk of a large broker-dealer in Chicago.
I am a 40-something entrepreneur and executive, managing my own portfolio. I have been an Internet entrepreneur, founding and running VC-backed companies. For a little less than ten years I managed several global lines of business as Managing Director for a large management consultancy, where my teams supported primarily senior executives at global 2000 firms. My passion is creating and learning, and I am intensely interested in understanding all aspects of how businesses work, grow, succeed and fail.
Russ Koesterich, CFA, Managing Director, is the Chief Investment Strategist for BlackRock and iShares Chief Global Investment Strategist. He is a founding member of the Blackrock Investment Institute, delivering BlackRock's insights on global investment issues.
Mr. Koesterich's service with the firm dates back to 2005, including his years with Barclays Global Investors (BGI), which merged with BlackRock in 2009. At BGI, Mr. Koesterich was the Global Head of Investment Strategy for active equities and a senior portfolio manager in the US Market Neutral Group. Prior to joining BGI he was Chief North American Strategist for State Street Bank. Mr. Koesterich began his career at Instinet, where he occupied several positions in research, including Director of Investment Strategy for both US and European research.
Mr. Koesterich is a frequent contributor to financial news media and can regularly be seen on CNBC, Fox Business News and Bloomberg TV. He is the author of two books, including his most recent "The Ten Trillion Dollar Gamble," which details how to position portfolios for the impact of the growing U.S. deficit. Russ is also regularly quoted in print media including the Wall Street Journal, USA Today, MSNBC.com, and MarketWatch.
Mr. Koesterich earned a BA degree in history from Brandeis University in 1987, a JD degree from Boston College in 1990 and an MBA degree in capital markets from Columbia University in 1995.
You can follow me on Twitter and StockTwits, just search Nathan Buehler.
I have always had a passion for finance and investing. I enjoy and appreciate engaging with like minded individuals that inspire me to think beyond what is generally accepted. My investment experience spans almost ten years. The bulk of my knowledge has come from independent observation, research, patience, and perseverance. Most of my strategy is geared towards long term outlook with focuses on short term events or situations that create attractive opportunities.
I hope the articles presented here help you in your investment decisions. I value our discussions and look forward to professional dialogues. If I can ever help you with anything please contact me. Know you are always going to get a straight answer. If I don't know the answer I will either research it for you or tell you I don't know.
During the school year there may be a delay in my responses. Keep the feedback coming!
Dr Jonathan Kinlay is the Head of Quantitative Trading at Systematic Strategies, LLC, a systematic hedge fund that deploys high frequency trading strategies using news-based algorithms.
Dr Kinlay, was the founder and General Partner of the Caissa Capital hedge fund, whose volatility arbitrage strategies were developed by Dr Kinlay’s investment research firm, Investment Analytics. Caissa, which managed $400M in assets, was ranked by FIMAT as the top performing fund in its class in 2004. Dr Kinlay went on to establish the Proteom Capital, whose statistical arbitrage strategies were based on pattern recognition techniques used in DNA sequencing. Dr Kinlay was formerly Global Head of Model Review at the US investment bank Bear Stearns.
Dr Kinlay holds a PhD in economics and has held positions on the faculty at New York University Stern School of Business, Carnegie Mellon and Reading Universities. Dr Kinlay is a regular conference speaker and writer on investment research, hedge fund investing and quantitative finance. Kinlay was a member of England’s chess team that won gold in the World Student Olympiad in Mexico in 1978. He is the son of Fleet Street editor James Kinlay and father of British actress Antonia Kinlay.
Further investment research and strategy ideas can be found in his blog at www.jonathankinlay.com .
I was trained in finance, but work in strategy. I invest very infrequently, and balance my portfolio once a year. I buy and hold hold indices and volatility ETFs. I trade a little bit on the side, but that's pure gambling, for fun.
James J. Angel, Ph.D., CFA
James J. Angel is a visiting associate professor at The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania where he teaches Capital Markets. He will return to his permanent position at Georgetown University in 2014. Jim served on the board of directors of the Direct Edge Stock Exchange and is a former Visiting Academic Fellow at the NASD. He has testified five times before Congress, and is a co-inventor of 11 patents on financial technology. He has also been quoted numerous times in the media and appeared on CNN, CNBC, Jim Lehrer News Hour and the Jay Leno Show, among others. Jim’s hobby is to visit stock exchanges ( -- he has visited over 70 of them around the world --) and to visit trading desks. Jim earned his B.S. in engineering from Caltech, his MBA from Harvard Business School, and his Ph.D. from U.C. Berkeley. He is also a Chartered Financial Analyst. You can follow him on twitter at #GUFinProf.
At Valuentum, we think the best opportunities arise from a complete understanding of all investing disciplines in order to identify the most attractive stocks at any given time. Valuentum therefore analyzes each stock across a wide spectrum of philosophies, from deep value through momentum investing. We think companies that are attractive from a number of investment perspectives--whether it be growth, value, momentum, etc.--have the greatest probability of capital appreciation and relative outperformance. The more investors that are interested in the stock for reasons based on their respective investment mandates, the more likely it will move higher.
Brian Nelson is the President of Equity Research at Valuentum Securities, an investment research firm serving individual and institutional investors, as well as financial advisors. Before founding Valuentum, Mr. Nelson worked as a director at Morningstar, where he was responsible for training and methodology development within the firm's equity and credit research department. Prior to that position, he served as a senior industrials securities analyst, covering aerospace, airlines, construction and environmental services companies. Before joining Morningstar in February 2006, Mr. Nelson worked for a small capitalization fund covering a variety of sectors for an aggressive growth investment management firm in Chicago. He holds a Bachelor's degree in finance and a minor in mathematics, magna cum laude, from Benedictine University. Mr. Nelson has an MBA from the University of Chicago Booth School of Business and also holds the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) designation.
Get to Know Brian:
Brian led the charge in developing Morningstar's issuer credit ratings, developing and rolling-out one of the firm's proprietary credit metrics, the Cash Flow Cushion. http://select.morningstar.com/welcome/credit/pdfs/Morningstar_CashFlowCushion.pdf
Brian is frequently quoted in the media and has been a frequent guest on Nightly Business Report, Bloomberg TV, and the Money Show.
Mr. Nelson is very experienced in valuing equities, developing Morningstar's discounted cash-flow model used to derive the fair value estimates for the company's entire equity coverage universe.
Brian worked on a small cap fund and a micro cap fund that were ranked within the top 10th percentile and top 1st percentile within the Small Cap Lipper Growth Universe, respectively, in 2005.
Mr. Nelson is also a contributor to Seeking Alpha and an opinion leader in the Industrial Goods space.
You can reach Brian at email@example.com.
Please read our Disclaimer that applies to all articles published on Seeking Alpha: http://www.valuentum.com/categories/20110613
Follow us on Twitter: @Valuentum
Richard is the managing principal of QVM Group LLC, a fee-based investment advisor based in Connecticut, with clients across the country. QVM also operates the site www.StopAlerts.com and the site www.RationalRisk.com.
QVM manages portfolios uniquely designed for each client on a flat fee basis through the client’s own accounts at Schwab; and provides investment coaching to "do-it-yourself" investors on an hourly fee basis.
The investment approach is based on value, asset allocation, expense control, risk management, customizing portfolios to each client's specific circumstances, and regular communication about strategy and absolute and benchmark performance.
Richard's extensive experience includes serving having served as a Board Director of Phoenix Investment Counsel, a U.S. pension and mutual funds manager, now Virtus Investment Partners (New York Stock Exchange: VRTS http://www.virtus.com); as Managing Director of Phoenix American Investment in London; and as a Board Director Aberdeen Asset Management PLC in Aberdeen Scotland (London Stock Exchange: ADN http://www.aberdeen-asset.com). He has been a Trustee of a $500 million pension fund, and was a charter investor and member of the Board of Directors of several internet companies, including Lending Tree (NASDAQ: TREE http://www.lendingtree.com) prior to its IPO. He is a 1970 graduate of Dartmouth College.
QVM Group LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor. Visit the QVM Group website. (http://www.qvmgroup.com). Follow him on Twitter: @QVMinvest
I trade volatility ETPs (SVXY, XIV, UVXY), S&P 500 through SPY, UPRO, SPXU, and invest long term in Dividend Growth stocks with high dividend CAGR values. Individual stock picking is a waste of time to me unless the company pays out large and high growth dividends. Macro mixed with Volatility investing is how I trade long and short the market.
I have developed a VIX Draw Cycle strategy to go long and short the market. RTS v1.0
Institutional investment manager authoring on a variety of topics that pique my interest, and could further discourse in this online community. I hold an MBA from the University of Chicago, and have earned the CFA designation.
My articles may contain statements and projections that are forward-looking in nature, and therefore inherently subject to numerous risks, uncertainties and assumptions. While my articles focus on generating long-term risk-adjusted returns, investment decisions necessarily involve the risk of loss of principal. Individual investor circumstances vary significantly, and information gleaned from my articles should be applied to your own unique investment situation, objectives, risk tolerance, and investment horizon.
I am a patent litigator with a background in physics and electronics. I enjoy studying quantitative, rules-based investment methods through rigorous backtesting and numerical analysis. I believe that patterns exist in the market that benefit trading -- the challenge is finding them!
Harry Long is the inventor of Hedged Contango Capture and Hedged Convexity Capture and is the Managing Partner of ZOMMA, the world's most innovative strategy index creator.
Mr. Long is a globally recognized expert on the research and development of quantitative investment strategies. The ZOMMA IP portfolio of strategy indices is sought after by asset management firms, investment banks, hedge funds, principal trading organizations, index providers, ETP sponsors, and private equity firms to help them develop and deploy active manager-crushing quantitative investment strategies.
ZOMMA helps investors create long term value by replacing reckless emotional decision making with cutting-edge technology based upon objective evidence.
Mr. Long is a graduate of Rice University with a B.A. in Economics.
Note: Due to the sheer number of requests for bespoke quant strategies, research projects, and quant consulting services, we have instituted the following pricing for the non-exclusive licensing of our algorithms to institutions:
I. Exclusive commercial licenses for unique bespoke algorithms run six figures and up.
II. Non-exclusive AUM licensing fees for our strategy indices run 10 basis points and up for commercial licenses.
Please realize that we often get more than 3,000 e-mails per week. This means that we read everything that comes in, but we cannot respond to any email or message that does not include the sender's full name, phone number, request, and budget. Thank you for your understanding.
This Dubai-like pricing is necessary, because we can't freely give answers to tough problems which we have dedicated massive R&D capital to solving. World-class statistical talent is hugely expensive, valuable, and rare. Our clients recognize that outsourcing quant work to our firm and paying our fees represent a huge cost savings over hiring full time employees, and usually results in a far more profitable, turn-key solution.
My principal interests include: 1) tracking large non-Gaussian deviations in transaction volumes, 2) atypical trading activity, in derivatives markets, and 3) volatility forecasting during periods of high event risk and flow-induced trading.
I'm a computer engineer by trade; Options and ETF trader by passion. My interests are algorithmic trading, index, equity, and futures options as well as structured positions to capitalize on near term volatility spikes. I'm interested in 'R' a statistical programming language used by many in the Quantitative Finance industry, as well as fellow traders.
I buy established, good companies with strong management, solid balance sheets, free cash flow, growing earnings, and increasing dividends. This is a long strategy, which buys value situations, combining the fundamentals of Growth at a Reasonable Price, with Dividend Growth Investing. This style has been coined as "I-GARP" by Clay King.
To further reduce my risk and enhance my returns, I enter positions by selling puts, also known as short puts. I practice Teddi Knight's strategy of using option premium capital to build positions, and use technical analysis, (Bollilnger Bands, 10-20-30 moving averages, and earnings misses) to enter trades, as practiced by Teddi and Dr. Samir Elias.
Darwin Investment Strategies: An elegant reconceptualization of asset allocation using portfolio mathematics, insensitive to noise and regularly reconfigured to account for observed changes in volatility and correlations across the world's major markets and asset classes. No story, no forecasts, no biases; just maximum returns per unit of risk.
I am an individual investor and entrepreneur based in London, United Kingdom. My primary focus is on systematic trading strategies, low volatility investing and tactical asset allocation. I am also a founder a freely available portfolio risk analytics tool investspy.com.
My investing experience dates back to high school years when I was first introduced to the stock market in economics classes and when I became fascinated by financial accounting. My first investing experience was rather painful: I lost a few thousand dollars on FOREX and penny stocks as I did not have a mentor or anybody knowledgeable about finance by my side. I still remember that time in details. After high school, I went to study economics with an emphasis on accounting at the University of Toronto. Four years later, with a finance degree under my belt, a decent experience gained in a few internships (where I got thanks to my soft skills, not my marks by any degree), I moved to Russia to work in investment banking, which I had decided was my passion a few years prior to that. I now live in Moscow, Russia, working as an Associate in Financial Advisory.
Due to the ongoing economic crisis in Russia, invoked by the sanctions, the country's financial industry has found itself in a pathetic state. Hence, things have gotten slow at work which is why I have a lot of free time to develop my services on Seeking Alpha (I started back in 2013, my final year of school). I am a number-cruncher by nature. Hence, my analyses almost always involve financial modeling and various financial metrics' calculations.
I feel that my job on Seeking Alpha is to identify investment opportunities among the smid-cap (small and medium cap) players in North America and Europe. Occasionally, I analyze a number of companies in a specific market segment in order to get a general idea about what is going on there as a whole. Sometimes, I write fairness opinion articles (I think nobody else on Seeking Alpha does that) on recent M&A transactions. I think that I bring value to my followers and other Seeking Alpha members by building analyses that are conservative in nature and present long-term views on individual companies. In my opinion, hard numbers are of more use to investors than tips, rumors, and guesstimates.
Feel free to contact me here or through my email: firstname.lastname@example.org. You may also check my Linkedin: ru.linkedin.com/in/avaltsev/ and Twitter: twitter.com/av_banker
VizMetrics was founded in 2002 to help improve results through better comparisons and reporting. Our founders recognized that there had to be a better, faster way to get the right information into the minds of investors and decision-makers. From the beginning, we have focused on maximizing results with high-visibility tools and superior data visualization.
The VizMetrics Comparisons are 1-page Views that use a no-fluff design to help investors and managers see key metrics in a single view. VizMetrics solutions are delivered as a subscription reporting service.
I am currently a retired Aerospace Engineer. I am married with three children and eight grandchildren. I was born in San Francisco, CA in 1949 and moved to Newport News, VA in 1951 where I lived until I went to college. By God's grace, I received a B.S. degree from Virginia Tech (1972), a M.S. degree from Caltech (1973), and a M.A. - Biblical Studies degree from Birmingham Theological Seminary (2013). I worked at Pratt & Whitney (1973-1986) and CFD Research Corporation (1987-2008).
Now in retirement and trying to preserve my life savings, I currently have a strong interest in tactical asset allocation strategies, and have studied them extensively. I have developed a number of tactical strategies involving the periodic trading of ETFs and, more recently, mutual funds. These strategies have been backtested mainly using Portfolio Visualizer and ETFreplay software. The goal is to earn 10-15% annually with no negative years, and to have maximum drawdowns of less than 10%, preferably less than 5%. The strategies include purchasing a limited number of funds with the highest growth and lowest volatility, and minimizing risk using moving average, dual momentum, and risk parity methods. I have developed strategies for equity as well as bond assets.