The Cynic

Ironies in the Financials

It seems like the US banking sector is in for some longer term pain. I say that because of the whole slowly unravelling story about option ARM mortgages. perhaps WFC is in a better position than most since it didn't get into that line, and hopefully it doesn't own much paper based on such mortgages. But I read a bit the other day that suggests that banks in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) are thriving largely based on petro-dollars. So far it looks like Asian and Middle-Eastern banks are relatively strong, but who knows with the whole unwinding of leverage that'll occur over next years. Perhaps its best to look at the most conservative of banks too, like some Canadian. Or of course just sit out of the whole sector if you're looking at the long side of things. Of course, you can play the down side too, which in this environment could be rather profitable.