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  • Goldman, Morgan's CDS-Prime Broker Plan: Why I'm Skeptical [View article]
    Actually, it is a positive-feedback loop that has negative consequences.
    Positive feedback amplifies the initial perturbation -- as in nuclear fission.
    Aug 20 01:42 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Oil/Gold Arbitrage Opportunity [View article]
    I would assume you are doing the CPI-M1 correlation using the actual levels of the two time series, in which case there is a strong time trend in
    both series causing a lot of the correlation. It would be more accurate to correlate the percentage changes in the two time series.

    Also I don't see any support for the inflation-unemployment rate trade-off. Given your correlation coefficient, only 1.6 percent of the variation in unemplyment is explained by changes in the CPI.
    Jul 14 17:35 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
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