Seeking Alpha

B.M. » Comments |

Sort by:
Latest | Highest rated
  • Murky Objectives of the PPIP [View article]
    Put Problem: I call this the Red 36 example. People who own CitiGroup shares or AIG shares are like people that put a $1 chip down on Red 36. They fully realize it's a longshot, but they also realize it pays 35:1 if they win. So if you are watching some one do this, and you offer them 50 cents to not make that bet, THEY WON'T TAKE YOUR OFFER EVEN THO IT'S A 50% RETURN. Why? Because they are not investors but speculators, looking for volatile "action". Same goes for a C or AIG investor. Tell them they can get a return on their speculation, and they turn away in disgust. They are betting for the longshot, not a small return.

    Or think about it another way. If you are crazy enough to own AIG or C stock, you still aren't crazy enough to put your entire net worth into it. You invest maybe 1% of capital. If your ship comes in, you can make an "easy" 35% while the other 99% of your portfolio adds the rest of your performance. But if someone offers you $1.50 for your $1 speculation, you finish the year 50 basis points, or 0.5% better off. Who cares about that? If you cared about that, you wouldn't have invested in a risky stock like C or AIG in the first place.

    So this author is dead-nuts accurate when he says the taxpayer will have to MASSIVELY overbid for the equity owners to agree to selling toxic assets.

    Great article Linus Wilson.
    Jul 08 21:45 pm |Rating: +1 0 |Link to Comment
  • How Treasury Favors Banks over Taxpayers in Warrant Negotiations [View article]
    Forced into taking TARP? Let me remind everyone that the government tooth fairy gave out free money to GS and other banks who made bets with AIG. Those banks were aware of the counterparty risk of AIG, they chose to ignore it. Did they pay? No, the taxpayer paid. So let's not run around saying the banks took TARP against their will. Had the TARP not been there, WFC, BAC, C, AIG, FNM, FRE, and yes, GS and JPM and MS would have all gone t!ts up from a panic run on those banks.

    You can't listen to people like Warren Buffett either, who say TARP and gov't bailouts were necessary. OF COURSE they were necessary according to Buffett, he's got tremendous skin in the game in the form of ownership of STI, WFC, BAC and other banks which would have gone under.

    The bottom line is, this author is correct in saying the gov't is handing taxpayers money to bankers. This is a fact. Those of you in the banking industry should just shut up and be happy there isn't a lynch mob outside your door, because that is what would have happened in the old days had you ignorantly opened your mouths which are feeding on the gov't teet.
    Jul 08 21:14 pm |Rating: +1 0 |Link to Comment
  • How Treasury Favors Banks over Taxpayers in Warrant Negotiations [View article]
    You dissenters all assume taxpayer gets whole on all the banks who were given TARP. Do you forget that only a minority of banks will pay back the TARP?? So just because your AAA credits are paying, doesn't mean the "cost to taxpayers is nil", we are paying because the sub-prime banks are going to eat all our TARP and give nothing back.

    Furthermore, when part 2 of this crises occurs, the gov't is going to have to bail out TARP-paybackers AGAIN.
    Jul 08 21:09 pm |Rating: +1 0 |Link to Comment
  • Treasury Accepts Lowball Price for TARP Warrants [View article]
    that's BS. If GS and JPM hadn't approved the TARP, they'd have gone bye-bye due to counterparty risk. they were WAY overleveraged, and the AIG payments to GS show exactly what kind of risk GS had taken. The taxpayer deserves the full auctioned value of these warrants, not to mention the gov't shouldn't have done the TARP in the first place, allowing badly run banks to fail and good ones to survive.


    On May 14 12:21 PM accountant wrote:

    > The only problem with your thesis is that several of the original
    > banks, including both Goldman and Morgan Stanley, had the government
    > shove the TARP money down their throat. So why should the taxpayers
    > make a bunch of excess profits off of the deal?
    >
    > Let's see, we'll force the banks to take TARP money that, in several
    > cases, they don't need or want, we will grant ourselves warrants
    > to buy their stock at cheap prices, thus diluting stockholder value,
    > and then, if we don't demand top dollar for the warrants, we will
    > claim that the taxpayer is getting hosed.
    >
    > Seems like an incredibly one-sided transaction to me.
    Jun 01 19:24 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • UAW Still Made No Sacrifices to Make General Motors Competitive [View article]
    Romney is an idiot politician, giving unrealistic politician solutions. The answer to the problem was to let GM go bankrupt in December thru normal channels. distributing GM shares to the public is logistically impossible, who gets what and on what basis? The solution to the problem already existed in the form of bankruptcy, why change it?
    Jun 01 14:28 pm |Rating: +4 0 |Link to Comment
  • Same CDN Major Players Getting All Live Business [View article]
    What about Soccer, internationally. Who streams that?
    Cricket? Australian sports? Hulu? ABC programming? HBO on iTunes?

    What is the point of this article anyway? Are you recommending buying shares of AKAM, Limelight, LVLT?

    How big is the small to medium event market? Competing for the obvious contracts isn't always a recipe for success in business. Big contracts come with extremely low margins.
    Jul 31 12:56 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Google Talk for iPhone: It's Not What You Think [View article]
    This is plagiarism. The exact article was originally published by TechCrunch.
    Jul 03 11:46 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • CSX: One Small Win for Inflation Fighting [View article]
    Government meandering in rails is a joke. Why do you think the PA railroad went bankrupt in the first place? The Surface Transportation Board ought to be given Waterboard torture at Guantanamo for this decision, or disbanded-- whichever is quicker. Republicrats and Demublicans are both retarded parties, vote for 3rd party candidates or Libertarians.
    Jul 02 17:25 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Google's Trends for Websites - Challenge to Comscore and Alexa? [View article]
    Yet another guy who thinks just because he's on the board of a company he's an expert. I am on the board of no company, and I can tell you for sure that the world's leading search engine has a massive massive advantage when it comes to determining which websites are popular or not. The only reason Google wouldn't be more accurate than all the other competitors, is bc they knowingly choose to NOT use some of their information sources (such as toolbar for instance) in order to promote privacy. Since there are many many humans that would trade their privacy for a nickel, this won't likely be a deterrent.
    Jun 23 10:40 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
Comments by Ticker
B.M.'s
Comments Stats
9 comments
Rating: 7 (7 - 0 )